Cooperative-Cornmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$748

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$209

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-02 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

79% 64% +$547

Politics

12% 100% +$201

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	-500	-$80	21¢	$-105	-$25	10-07 08:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-500	-$75	15¢	$-74	+$1	08-22 17:18
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$68	30¢	$29	-$38	08-16 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$826	704	1,204	-500	open	—	10-07 08:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$794	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$186	08-28 19:15
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	6	$451	948	0	+948	Yes	+$497	05-16 12:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	6	$446	660	660	+0	open	—	10-22 18:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$429	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	04-15 10:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$382	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	09-08 18:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	6	$381	5,600	5,600	+0	No	-$179	09-08 18:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	08-24 17:41
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$192	250	0	+250	Yes	+$58	05-19 07:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	3	$157	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$95	11-02 19:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$102	300	0	+300	Yes	+$198	04-07 17:53
will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	4	$91	123	0	+123	Yes	+$31	06-17 15:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$75	0	500	-500	open	—	08-22 17:18
will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	4	$69	100	0	+100	Yes	+$31	06-16 23:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	1	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	08-16 15:07
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	3	$62	441	441	+0	No	-$52	10-09 16:44
will warsh say dual mandate during june press conference 20260608181156660	1	$54	100	0	+100	Yes	+$46	06-16 07:10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$36	556	0	+556	No	-$36	05-18 14:32
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$35	960	0	+960	No	-$35	06-22 16:13
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	6	$33	100	0	+100	Yes	+$67	06-28 16:58
will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	8	$32	40	0	+40	Yes	+$8	06-16 11:13
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$20	0	500	-500	No	+$20	05-15 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:31:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	2¢	$31	0xc2a6ea…
10-30 19:44:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	9¢	$81	0x7a7812…
10-30 19:43:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x1d1008…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	494	26¢	$129	0xc8e29a…
10-16 15:22:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	184	42¢	$77	0xbe1cf0…
10-16 15:21:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0xeced8a…
10-13 18:13:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x6603ed…
10-13 17:00:19	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	51¢	$35	0x212039…
10-09 16:44:01	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	SELL	441	1¢	$5	0x6b9f4c…
10-08 17:30:44	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xa54a1f…
10-07 08:56:17	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	218	13¢	$28	0xbeb4cf…
10-07 08:55:36	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	223	13¢	$29	0xb07b7a…
10-07 08:54:56	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,204	38¢	$453	0xcf52a8…
09-08 18:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,820	8¢	$146	0x2b396b…
09-08 18:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5,600	2¢	$101	0xe2e745…
08-28 19:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,820	13¢	$237	0x367ef2…
08-28 19:15:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x88ca4f…
08-28 19:14:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,800	5¢	$240	0x50e2bc…
08-28 15:13:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x4c2779…
08-24 17:41:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x53231e…
08-23 15:03:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$15	0x6c164b…
08-23 14:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	440	30¢	$132	0x642d4e…
08-23 14:47:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	108	30¢	$33	0xcddbe9…
08-22 23:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	685	5¢	$34	0x98e329…
08-22 21:00:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcfdbb0…
08-22 18:35:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x436b6d…
08-22 17:57:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xc3ab56…
08-22 17:18:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0xb78287…
08-22 17:17:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xc00ba1…
08-16 15:07:54	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xbd5ee0…
06-28 16:58:04	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x543d2a…
06-28 16:21:59	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e9c55…
06-28 16:20:58	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xb3e132…
06-28 14:44:46	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe52006…
06-28 13:44:55	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdd66c6…
06-27 12:21:43	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x359c63…
06-22 16:13:17	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xfb958e…
06-22 16:13:13	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xb0c26b…
06-22 15:41:26	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xf36b22…
06-22 15:28:40	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x5c51f3…
06-17 15:14:08	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x88e685…
06-17 06:58:05	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x932240…
06-16 23:50:37	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	Yes	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0x05bc42…
06-16 19:04:22	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x782e8c…
06-16 15:47:31	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7a352c…
06-16 13:58:47	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc0ee14…
06-16 11:13:51	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x864a55…
06-16 11:12:34	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcdbc1a…
06-16 11:10:15	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x495d5c…
06-16 11:08:42	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x106ded…
06-16 11:06:28	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3156d3…
06-16 11:04:51	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8ab357…
06-16 11:02:39	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe238fe…
06-16 11:00:48	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf92b2a…
06-16 07:34:57	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x02d4f5…
06-16 07:10:33	will warsh say dual mandate during june press conference 20260608181156660	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x84f3b9…
06-16 07:08:40	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659	Yes	BUY	63	74¢	$46	0x2b986a…
05-20 09:59:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	53¢	$373	0xb632f3…
05-19 07:10:19	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x54c717…
05-19 07:09:51	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xd8e972…
05-18 14:32:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	376	6¢	$24	0xcba071…
05-18 14:31:56	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$12	0x01f656…
05-16 12:39:47	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2487dc…
05-16 12:33:12	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	409	47¢	$192	0xa7f4ad…
05-16 12:28:23	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8f42c6…
05-16 12:28:11	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfd2451…
05-16 12:26:05	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3f965e…
05-16 12:18:07	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	499	48¢	$240	0xe9f6d9…
05-15 10:54:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa2a855…
05-15 07:58:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x9f5644…
04-15 10:42:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x09e440…
04-09 17:24:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x284d33…
04-07 17:53:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x9678c1…