Ample-Basement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

275

Trades

988

lifetime

Volume

$9.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-07 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 47% -$344

Other

22% 25% +$177

Sports

15% 37% +$403

Politics

7% 45% +$98

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$8

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	8	$362	1,382	900	+481	Yes	+$473	07-15 20:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$291	900	450	+450	Yes	+$111	06-19 10:11
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$288	215	215	+0	Sean Strickland	+$66	05-10 04:46
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	3	$257	259	154	+105	Yes	-$38	06-23 04:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 03:15 UTC	14	$254	266	240	+27	Down	+$10	07-08 03:28
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$241	301	301	+0	Yes	+$101	05-14 04:00
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	4	$213	648	74	+574	Justin Gaethje	+$87	06-15 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:35 UTC	9	$183	224	142	+82	Up	-$87	07-14 21:38
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	3	$181	259	100	+159	Ciryl Gane	-$20	06-15 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:35 UTC	8	$176	169	138	+31	Up	-$24	06-23 05:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	5	$168	668	123	+545	Spain	-$91	07-19 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 03:45 UTC	52	$151	134	134	+0	Down	+$9	07-08 03:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$151	102	102	+0	No	+$51	05-15 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:35 UTC	20	$138	282	24	+258	Down	-$96	07-17 08:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 03:00 UTC	10	$136	103	103	+0	Up	+$6	07-08 03:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:55 UTC	18	$135	150	15	+135	Up	+$15	07-16 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$127	566	66	+500	Down	-$3	05-14 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 09:05 UTC	9	$127	143	10	+133	Down	+$8	07-16 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:25 UTC	8	$126	142	0	+142	Down	+$8	07-17 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	11	$121	135	12	+123	Up	+$12	07-16 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$114	84	84	+0	Up	+$14	06-15 09:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$114	554	197	+357	No	-$24	07-19 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$112	76	76	+0	Up	+$12	05-22 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 09:45 UTC	2	$105	118	0	+118	Down	-$2	06-15 09:48
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	4	$97	322	125	+197	No	-$42	07-07 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC	7	$97	96	68	+28	Down	+$5	06-28 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:30 UTC	4	$97	95	95	+0	Down	-$3	06-23 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	10	$92	124	7	+117	Down	+$29	07-17 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:30 UTC	5	$87	115	15	+100	Up	+$27	07-14 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$84	132	87	+45	Up	+$14	05-22 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 15:31:55	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9f5d5a…
11-07 15:29:55	UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)	Ollie Schmid	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x30b58c…
11-07 15:29:24	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Gabriella Fernandes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7c1727…
10-31 18:51:51	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x04da8a…
10-31 18:51:34	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe145c9…
10-31 18:51:18	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbf2138…
10-31 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x786531…
10-25 17:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x849bb5…
10-25 17:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5d1941…
10-25 17:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe54731…
10-25 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb9e5b6…
10-25 17:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbc0e22…
10-25 17:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xaa5bce…
10-25 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3ab57b…
10-25 17:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x46aa9e…
10-25 17:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6a3d3f…
10-24 21:22:36	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb645ca…
10-24 20:43:05	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x788339…
10-24 20:28:54	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x83b125…
10-24 20:27:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x147743…
10-24 20:26:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31d592…
10-24 20:24:51	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf2d260…
10-24 20:19:45	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4aaf4e…
10-24 20:17:21	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x7702cd…
10-24 20:12:56	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x577c94…
10-24 20:06:38	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcbed7f…
10-24 20:06:06	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x4f9f26…
10-24 20:04:11	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x429792…
10-24 19:09:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x317b2e…
10-24 18:51:36	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3aba4e…
10-24 18:40:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x330de2…
10-24 18:24:24	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4b7a2d…
10-24 18:02:08	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dominick Reyes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcdee5b…
10-24 17:32:09	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3cbdfb…
10-24 17:31:23	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x043146…
10-24 17:22:02	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dominick Reyes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9ef295…
10-24 17:14:00	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3fdb71…
10-24 17:12:15	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x52c6ed…
09-05 19:26:18	UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)	Axel Sola	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x34ae21…
09-05 19:26:03	ufc dan6 salpar 2026 09 05	Dan Hooker	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x2d36cb…
08-31 20:50:27	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xaab06a…
08-31 20:50:27	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x70cc27…
08-31 19:37:45	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xde7e1e…
08-31 19:33:55	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf1952f…
08-31 19:33:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x730593…
08-16 04:15:34	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x221ca2…
08-16 03:59:19	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xba5338…
08-16 03:48:33	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x783cce…
08-16 03:47:34	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x687c9b…
07-25 15:20:25	ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	Muhammad Said	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x25b9b6…
07-25 15:07:57	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25	Santiago Ponzinibbio	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b6f4a…
07-25 15:06:42	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25	Valter Walker	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x7a34fc…
07-25 14:48:13	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25	Valter Walker	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x587198…
07-25 14:46:30	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25	Valter Walker	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdcbe68…
07-25 14:39:13	ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25	Ismael Bonfim	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7d5d36…
07-25 13:24:57	ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	Muhammad Said	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1e13cc…
07-25 13:22:30	ufc cod8 ahusse 2026 07 25	Cody Gibson	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e4ece…
07-24 11:37:04	ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	Muhammad Said	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x315bdf…
07-24 11:35:34	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25	Santiago Ponzinibbio	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x9454c4…
07-23 18:15:39	mlb sd atl 2026 07 23	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc060b1…
07-21 19:15:39	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0bd0a7…
07-21 19:15:21	Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8aa061…
07-20 08:03:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb0405f…
07-20 08:01:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf8dbe3…
07-20 08:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2e47d8…
07-20 08:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9263a8…
07-20 07:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe059ae…
07-20 07:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1414cc…
07-20 07:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe1c738…
07-20 07:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2709d0…
07-20 07:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xcf3149…
07-20 07:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd21709…
07-20 07:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8e88ce…
07-20 07:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3b07ed…
07-20 07:56:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4dd931…
07-20 07:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc52d1c…
07-20 07:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x61e01f…
07-20 07:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d5d1e…
07-20 07:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xd9eeed…
07-20 07:53:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x934231…
07-20 07:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfa9b8e…
07-20 07:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe5c31d…
07-20 07:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9b9382…
07-20 07:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x170880…
07-20 07:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9356c3…
07-20 07:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x09d0c7…
07-20 07:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb9cdb5…
07-20 07:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2de15…
07-20 07:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x074065…
07-20 07:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeafc35…
07-20 07:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x08edae…
07-20 07:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x33df9c…
07-20 07:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x77009b…
07-20 07:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc85572…
07-20 07:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x446b8d…
07-20 07:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe2601d…
07-19 21:58:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	6¢	$23	0x5bac15…
07-19 21:57:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	385	6¢	$25	0x8eb281…
07-19 21:31:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	161	33¢	$53	0x873212…
07-19 21:29:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	123	32¢	$39	0x8d1eff…