Immense-Anniversary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,830

lifetime

Volume

$31.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$183

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-23 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% — —

Politics

39% 0% $-8

Other

21% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-1,048	$-199	18¢	$-183	+$15	06-21 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike lebanon in march	30	$1.1K	10,472	1,263	+9,209	open	—	03-24 19:23
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	44	$977	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	03-08 11:32
will uae strike iran by march 31	37	$660	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	03-26 23:44
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	147	$660	11,807	11,952	-145	open	—	03-08 21:12
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	25	$652	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	03-24 16:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$629	1,281	2,329	-1,048	open	—	06-21 16:49
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	25	$613	3,933	2,352	+1,580	open	—	03-22 21:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	55	$598	8,900	8,517	+383	open	—	05-03 08:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$498	1,191	991	+200	open	—	03-22 21:13
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	33	$464	17,846	21,006	-3,160	open	—	03-10 18:56
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	23	$431	1,496	1,469	+27	open	—	04-19 15:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$412	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	03-07 10:00
starmer out by june 22 2026	5	$404	600	600	+0	open	—	06-21 16:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$396	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-14 18:19
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	112	$372	13,150	13,150	+0	open	—	03-08 16:17
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	121	$365	9,438	7,489	+1,950	open	—	03-08 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 18:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$328	875	875	+0	open	—	03-07 20:02
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	19	$327	500	500	+0	open	—	03-16 07:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	42	$321	3,774	1,897	+1,877	open	—	03-08 23:08
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	12	$308	1,454	2,054	-600	open	—	04-11 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 20:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	8	$296	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-29 16:25
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	9	$282	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-21 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	15	$265	4,611	4,611	+0	open	—	03-10 17:18
btc updown 5m 1774728600	17	$262	240	238	+2	open	—	03-28 20:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	8	$262	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	03-26 18:17
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$260	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-11 22:37
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	8	$251	659	659	+0	open	—	03-26 18:17
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	12	$237	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-24 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:49:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x24711f…
06-23 17:48:56	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	57	37¢	$21	0x4db526…
06-23 17:48:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xf3e8c9…
06-23 00:38:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x561398…
06-22 16:53:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x8fe0ab…
06-21 23:40:49	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 goals darwin nunez gte1	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1f666d…
06-21 23:40:38	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 goals darwin nunez gte1	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xffe6f5…
06-21 16:49:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0xbdb8f4…
06-21 16:12:50	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0xa61fef…
06-21 15:05:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x39a484…
06-21 14:54:59	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x84aeee…
06-21 12:26:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xe7479d…
06-21 09:26:49	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa9b5ab…
06-20 17:20:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	13¢	$78	0xa4b065…
06-14 21:31:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x46cc47…
06-14 13:07:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x09a495…
06-14 12:59:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd17b76…
06-14 12:31:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	15¢	$12	0x1f8b5f…
06-13 22:15:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	16¢	$13	0x5485cb…
06-12 14:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	800	20¢	$160	0x42ee60…
06-11 17:35:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	613	18¢	$110	0xeb7e31…
06-11 17:34:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	187	18¢	$34	0x508f10…
06-10 23:44:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$49	0x15abef…
06-10 21:43:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	729	20¢	$146	0xb43e05…
05-25 19:38:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	6¢	$22	0x6b4910…
05-23 13:37:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	199	33¢	$66	0x10f086…
05-23 13:11:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x822079…
05-23 12:18:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x17ac2d…
05-19 15:08:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x15c6a9…
05-18 19:07:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x793d6d…
05-16 14:50:46	LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	250	16¢	$39	0xcc64cc…
05-12 20:02:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	6,700	0¢	$7	0x453791…
05-12 17:58:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1,477	0¢	$4	0x4179cf…
05-12 17:11:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2d73e4…
05-12 15:16:05	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xb45d75…
05-12 14:49:36	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x98b210…
05-12 14:43:20	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4df4f3…
05-12 14:06:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	602	0¢	$2	0xaa6fc2…
05-12 13:34:00	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x21aa07…
05-12 12:50:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xd5820f…
05-12 12:46:48	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	532	0¢	$2	0xe0b9b6…
05-12 12:41:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa8b8fa…
05-12 10:22:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb309d5…
05-12 10:03:41	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x87da52…
05-12 10:00:51	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x8fde78…
05-12 09:50:49	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x12718e…
05-10 18:46:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x1278fa…
05-03 08:57:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$34	0xf5ad0f…
05-01 15:58:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0xec2244…
04-29 16:25:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	14¢	$14	0x561bd7…
04-29 16:11:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	299	14¢	$42	0xdbc4c4…
04-29 06:56:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	280	12¢	$34	0x6db3c7…
04-29 06:50:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x2953e1…
04-28 21:53:44	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	274	14¢	$38	0xbfcc57…
04-28 21:48:36	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x8127fc…
04-28 19:21:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,100	4¢	$78	0xa37ad7…
04-27 12:59:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x3ea8a8…
04-26 22:23:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	12¢	$38	0x38cb46…
04-26 21:05:02	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$27	0xa8f2b9…
04-26 21:03:32	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x93027c…
04-26 18:37:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7adcac…
04-26 17:03:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x883da9…
04-26 17:03:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x431924…
04-26 17:03:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x377f02…
04-26 17:00:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xa24720…
04-26 15:27:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$70	0xa661b2…
04-25 22:17:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	768	4¢	$31	0x9887c0…
04-25 22:02:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x5d25fd…
04-25 21:36:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xd9febc…
04-25 20:47:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	824	3¢	$26	0xb6d088…
04-25 20:40:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xc62a88…
04-25 20:06:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xc1a946…
04-25 19:28:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	675	13¢	$88	0x879804…
04-25 18:50:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xa347b4…
04-25 18:50:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x2da429…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xfc4b89…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xdeaa0b…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xb250bd…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x60e1f9…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x3c744c…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x28dbec…
04-25 18:50:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf1e8cb…
04-25 18:50:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xda45ba…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x9d14f0…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x332664…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x2e560e…
04-25 18:45:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	68	13¢	$9	0x835a94…
04-25 16:37:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	597	12¢	$72	0x9b12de…
04-25 16:37:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	203	12¢	$24	0x4b91c2…
04-25 16:20:02	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xb3a987…
04-25 15:51:58	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc4d48d…
04-25 15:44:52	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x21d695…
04-25 11:21:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x63ccde…
04-25 08:18:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	622	4¢	$22	0xc8eea7…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0xf8fd4d…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xdba475…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0x79afd2…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x179058…
04-25 08:05:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0xab3126…
04-25 08:05:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x4fe2ef…