Immense-Anniversary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,806

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-25 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Politics

38% 0% $-8

Other

20% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike lebanon in march	30	$1.1K	10,472	1,263	+9,209	open	—	03-24 19:23
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	44	$977	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	03-08 11:32
will uae strike iran by march 31	37	$660	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	03-26 23:44
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	147	$660	11,807	11,952	-145	open	—	03-08 21:12
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	25	$652	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	03-24 16:59
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	25	$613	3,933	2,352	+1,580	open	—	03-22 21:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	55	$598	8,900	8,517	+383	open	—	05-03 08:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$498	1,191	991	+200	open	—	03-22 21:13
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	33	$464	17,846	21,006	-3,160	open	—	03-10 18:56
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	23	$431	1,496	1,469	+27	open	—	04-19 15:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$412	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	03-07 10:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$396	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-14 18:19
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	112	$372	13,150	13,150	+0	open	—	03-08 16:17
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	121	$365	9,438	7,489	+1,950	open	—	03-08 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 18:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$328	875	875	+0	open	—	03-07 20:02
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	19	$327	500	500	+0	open	—	03-16 07:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	42	$321	3,774	1,897	+1,877	open	—	03-08 23:08
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	12	$308	1,454	2,054	-600	open	—	04-11 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 20:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	8	$296	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-29 16:25
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	9	$282	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-21 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	15	$265	4,611	4,611	+0	open	—	03-10 17:18
btc updown 5m 1774728600	17	$262	240	238	+2	open	—	03-28 20:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	8	$262	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	03-26 18:17
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$260	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-11 22:37
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	8	$251	659	659	+0	open	—	03-26 18:17
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	12	$237	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-24 20:17
btc updown 5m 1774705500	12	$236	198	195	+3	open	—	03-28 13:49
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	11	$223	800	800	+0	open	—	03-05 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 19:38:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	6¢	$22	0x6b4910…
05-23 13:37:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	199	33¢	$66	0x10f086…
05-23 13:11:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x822079…
05-23 12:18:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x17ac2d…
05-19 15:08:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x15c6a9…
05-18 19:07:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x793d6d…
05-16 14:50:46	LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	250	16¢	$39	0xcc64cc…
05-12 20:02:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	6,700	0¢	$7	0x453791…
05-12 17:58:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1,477	0¢	$4	0x4179cf…
05-12 17:11:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2d73e4…
05-12 15:16:05	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xb45d75…
05-12 14:49:36	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x98b210…
05-12 14:43:20	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4df4f3…
05-12 14:06:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	602	0¢	$2	0xaa6fc2…
05-12 13:34:00	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x21aa07…
05-12 12:50:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xd5820f…
05-12 12:46:48	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	532	0¢	$2	0xe0b9b6…
05-12 12:41:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa8b8fa…
05-12 10:22:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb309d5…
05-12 10:03:41	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x87da52…
05-12 10:00:51	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x8fde78…
05-12 09:50:49	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x12718e…
05-10 18:46:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x1278fa…
05-03 08:57:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$34	0xf5ad0f…
05-01 15:58:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0xec2244…
04-29 16:25:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	14¢	$14	0x561bd7…
04-29 16:11:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	299	14¢	$42	0xdbc4c4…
04-29 06:56:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	280	12¢	$34	0x6db3c7…
04-29 06:50:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x2953e1…
04-28 21:53:44	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	274	14¢	$38	0xbfcc57…
04-28 21:48:36	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x8127fc…
04-28 19:21:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,100	4¢	$78	0xa37ad7…
04-27 12:59:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x3ea8a8…
04-26 22:23:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	12¢	$38	0x38cb46…
04-26 21:05:02	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$27	0xa8f2b9…
04-26 21:03:32	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x93027c…
04-26 18:37:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7adcac…
04-26 17:03:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x883da9…
04-26 17:03:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x431924…
04-26 17:03:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x377f02…
04-26 17:00:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xa24720…
04-26 15:27:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$70	0xa661b2…
04-25 22:17:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	768	4¢	$31	0x9887c0…
04-25 22:02:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x5d25fd…
04-25 21:36:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xd9febc…
04-25 20:47:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	824	3¢	$26	0xb6d088…
04-25 20:40:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xc62a88…
04-25 20:06:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xc1a946…
04-25 19:28:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	675	13¢	$88	0x879804…
04-25 18:50:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xa347b4…
04-25 18:50:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x2da429…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xfc4b89…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xdeaa0b…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xb250bd…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x60e1f9…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x3c744c…
04-25 18:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x28dbec…
04-25 18:50:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf1e8cb…
04-25 18:50:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xda45ba…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x9d14f0…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x332664…
04-25 18:50:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x2e560e…
04-25 18:45:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	68	13¢	$9	0x835a94…
04-25 16:37:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	597	12¢	$72	0x9b12de…
04-25 16:37:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	203	12¢	$24	0x4b91c2…
04-25 16:20:02	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xb3a987…
04-25 15:51:58	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc4d48d…
04-25 15:44:52	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x21d695…
04-25 11:21:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x63ccde…
04-25 08:18:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	622	4¢	$22	0xc8eea7…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0xf8fd4d…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xdba475…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0x79afd2…
04-25 08:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x179058…
04-25 08:05:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0xab3126…
04-25 08:05:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x4fe2ef…
04-25 08:01:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0xdc2b77…
04-25 08:00:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x4ad719…
04-25 08:00:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	152	4¢	$6	0x2824b3…
04-25 08:00:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x00cfc3…
04-25 07:59:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xcf86cc…
04-25 07:59:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x6421ad…
04-25 07:59:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xb56768…
04-25 07:59:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x788657…
04-25 07:59:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xd9aea3…
04-25 07:59:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xe090ea…
04-25 07:59:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xdb9f4f…
04-25 07:59:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x8cc57c…
04-25 07:59:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x54c313…
04-25 07:57:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	113	4¢	$4	0xf55950…
04-25 07:21:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	156	17¢	$27	0x49a07a…
04-25 06:49:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x773d10…
04-25 05:58:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	435	17¢	$74	0x8a6f17…
04-25 00:37:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x35cdaf…
04-25 00:06:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	281	4¢	$10	0x149b9a…
04-24 23:51:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xce06c0…
04-24 23:47:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xb7f57a…
04-24 23:47:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x2e19ed…
04-24 23:23:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5bfd0a…
04-24 23:20:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x9eb886…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5b87…b6bd	367	$137.8K	30,727	04-04 10:59
Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79	367	$1.76K	858	04-20 23:45
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	367	$841	1,730	04-04 10:59
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	367	$581	1,413	04-04 11:00
Dry-Production 0x9515…5d63	366	$52.8K	20,273	04-04 10:59
(anonymous) 0xb7af…cb65	365	$9.29K	5,141	04-04 10:59
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	364	$20.7K	5,158	04-04 10:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	362	$98.5K	16,998	05-16 10:47