Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
19
lifetime
Volume
$355
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$310
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-30
last 06-30 20:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
17%
Tech
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +33 $20 99¢ $33 +$13 06-30 07:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +36 $20 62¢ $22 +$2 06-30 07:19
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 80¢ $22 +$2 06-30 07:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 $-0 06-30 16:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 $-0 06-30 07:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +33 $20 60¢ $20 $-0 06-30 07:19
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +68 $20 29¢ $19 $-1 06-30 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +111 $20 18¢ $19 $-1 06-30 20:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +143 $20 14¢ $19 $-1 06-30 16:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +83 $20 22¢ $19 $-1 06-30 06:39
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +44 $20 40¢ $18 $-2 06-30 16:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +182 $20 10¢ $17 $-3 06-30 07:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +67 $20 25¢ $17 $-3 06-30 07:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +53 $20 26¢ $13 $-7 06-30 07:19
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +43 $15 26¢ $11 $-4 06-30 06:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-30 16:08
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +40 $10 24¢ $10 +$0 06-30 07:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +41 $20 $0 $-20 06-30 07:29