Graceful-Roster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

849

Trades

2,557

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 43% -$2,376

Politics

36% 44% +$381

Other

22% 34% -$217

Sports

1% 43% +$35

Tech

0% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$3.3K	3,940	3,940	+0	No	-$74	01-25 00:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	19	$1.7K	1,265	1,435	-170	Yes	+$657	06-15 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:40 UTC	66	$960	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$1,040	07-17 11:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	9	$887	630	630	+0	No	+$234	08-26 13:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	33	$775	568	568	+0	No	+$106	04-29 16:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	13	$639	1,000	500	+500	Yes	+$711	06-26 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	9	$621	382	382	+0	No	+$110	08-30 20:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$610	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$30	01-26 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 06:15 UTC	2	$583	385	385	+0	Down	+$183	01-05 06:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$524	613	446	+167	Yes	-$96	04-21 04:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	18	$507	699	58	+642	Yes	+$217	04-29 18:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 10:15 UTC	5	$507	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	-$507	01-11 10:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:30 UTC	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$500	07-17 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:15 UTC	14	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$490	07-17 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC	33	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$490	07-17 11:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$473	275	275	+0	No	+$72	02-01 00:49
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	11	$446	285	285	+0	No	+$108	07-22 08:40
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	9	$431	537	116	+420	No	+$218	07-28 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:45 UTC	29	$400	800	0	+800	Down	-$400	07-17 10:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	3	$385	680	0	+680	Yes	-$385	09-09 09:08
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	9	$381	669	276	+393	No	-$145	08-09 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:15 UTC	26	$371	540	500	+40	Down	+$268	02-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	12	$370	325	325	+0	Down	+$84	05-03 13:42
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	9	$329	553	0	+553	Yes	-$329	07-22 06:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	8	$329	280	280	+0	No	+$223	05-28 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	14	$305	1,773	0	+1,773	Yes	-$305	09-09 08:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 06:45 UTC	1	$300	588	0	+588	Up	+$288	01-05 06:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$295	220	220	+0	Yes	+$10	02-16 11:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	12	$279	180	180	+0	No	+$11	04-11 18:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	16	$275	477	0	+477	Yes	+$202	06-21 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:19:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	220	38¢	$84	0x7353bc…
10-29 13:16:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	220	46¢	$101	0x2d83fb…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xfe7766…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd1eabb…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xb68c1b…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7cd591…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x756831…
09-24 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3eabfb…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xea1cea…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd8e0e5…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc704ea…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc60ee8…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x66eb22…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x657bfc…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x4d69ee…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2f8dda…
09-24 12:15:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x0287fa…
09-24 12:09:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	103	44¢	$45	0xb85067…
09-24 11:59:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x63d386…
09-09 09:17:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	61	43¢	$26	0xc22c79…
09-09 09:08:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x255f9a…
09-09 09:02:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa04a70…
09-09 08:40:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	310	4¢	$12	0x417d2b…
09-09 08:08:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0x0465a5…
09-09 07:22:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa6563d…
09-09 07:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9fab46…
09-09 07:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x4e4d71…
09-09 07:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0x55c906…
09-09 07:18:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbc1a0c…
09-09 07:18:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xa8a02d…
09-09 07:18:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x7fdc22…
09-09 07:17:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb74473…
09-09 07:16:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0x70c6d9…
09-08 08:27:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfca40b…
09-08 08:27:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x99b2b1…
09-08 08:24:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	181	46¢	$83	0xe316f5…
09-08 08:16:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x2768be…
09-08 08:01:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0x3e7074…
09-05 04:23:30	will wti dip to 80 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	260	36¢	$94	0xc03bb5…
09-04 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d3191…
09-04 14:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8199b…
09-04 13:52:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xbc7b47…
09-04 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xf98a3b…
09-04 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0xf92eee…
09-04 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa17e7b…
09-04 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1021d0…
09-04 13:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x37d4f3…
09-04 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc3bc32…
09-04 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9620a5…
09-04 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	50¢	$72	0x79bc0a…
09-04 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x5458dd…
09-04 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0bd4fe…
09-04 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb877db…
09-04 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0102a2…
09-04 13:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3244e9…
09-01 18:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	667	8¢	$53	0xacbcff…
09-01 18:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xbca64d…
09-01 18:05:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x087553…
09-01 16:31:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x542ff0…
09-01 16:30:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xce54a8…
09-01 16:26:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xc6c93c…
09-01 16:24:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x885d03…
09-01 16:24:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xae2b8e…
09-01 16:24:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x78c636…
09-01 16:21:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x6bc5db…
09-01 16:13:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xf88894…
09-01 15:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x358112…
09-01 14:43:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xc66092…
09-01 12:32:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x236de7…
09-01 11:00:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x67e7fd…
09-01 09:20:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x4be869…
09-01 08:54:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x43bd89…
09-01 05:51:27	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x3ec00f…
09-01 05:13:21	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xda72dc…
09-01 04:58:24	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xb35b92…
09-01 04:58:10	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0xe61d96…
09-01 04:38:03	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$9	0xc22dd1…
08-31 16:52:27	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x95ed5d…
08-31 16:52:27	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	99	15¢	$15	0x6c8d33…
08-31 16:08:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x3a47f9…
08-31 15:28:45	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	88	15¢	$13	0x3eff3e…
08-31 06:27:52	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf7aba4…
08-30 20:32:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0xd7513f…
08-30 20:28:25	will wti reach 85 in august 2026 from august 26	No	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x086a06…
08-30 20:27:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x312976…
08-30 20:26:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x6153b9…
08-30 20:19:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x7baefd…
08-30 20:18:54	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	SELL	77	7¢	$5	0x61296f…
08-30 20:18:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xb64c5d…
08-30 20:16:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	SELL	210	98¢	$206	0x6a4fad…
08-30 20:16:03	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x581eaf…
08-30 20:15:51	will wti reach 85 in august 2026 from august 26	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa40157…
08-30 20:15:43	will wti reach 85 in august 2026 from august 26	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x25d8b0…
08-30 20:14:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbefabd…
08-30 20:12:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	112	10¢	$11	0xaf871d…
08-30 20:12:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xefd3b5…
08-30 20:12:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x63a629…
08-29 16:32:36	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc1b944…
08-29 16:06:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xc83d6f…
08-29 16:05:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xbe332a…