Watchful-Sailboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$599

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-18 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

85% 90% -$557

Sports

14% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% 50% -$47

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	-$3	04-28 18:00
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$1	04-28 19:01
Spurs vs. Thunder	13	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	+$6	05-26 13:19
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$544	800	0	+800	England	-$544	07-18 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 09:00 UTC	1	$47	100	0	+100	Up	-$47	03-02 09:01
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$29	580	580	+0	No	-$1	04-28 18:00
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$19	580	580	+0	No	-$5	04-28 18:01
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$14	535	535	+0	No	-$4	04-28 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-15 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-09 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 02:21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-15 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:49:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0x495ed2…
07-17 02:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b29ae…
07-17 02:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x74c86a…
07-14 02:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d37a0…
07-14 02:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x849f71…
06-24 02:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf79f6…
06-24 02:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xee8862…
06-24 02:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x732f00…
06-24 02:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00106d…
06-24 02:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ce95f…
06-24 02:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5df0f…
06-24 02:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22fa05…
06-24 02:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf25aeb…
06-22 02:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fe4fd…
06-22 02:50:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f0b61…
06-22 02:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b4579…
06-22 02:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb50cd3…
06-22 02:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80b8f2…
06-22 02:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc4fa26…
06-22 02:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f5224…
06-22 02:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65fcf5…
06-15 06:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x01c897…
06-15 06:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5fb40f…
06-15 06:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb03ca…
06-15 06:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x271b74…
06-15 06:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1ad0e…
06-15 06:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1ad7b…
06-15 06:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00fcc4…
06-15 06:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fd810…
06-09 09:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf16319…
06-09 09:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38bb5b…
06-09 09:42:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f99fb…
06-09 09:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd631b8…
05-29 08:45:29	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a21e…
05-29 08:40:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x915a4c…
05-29 08:39:25	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5031b…
05-29 08:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24e754…
05-29 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca24ec…
05-29 08:33:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xae0ed7…
05-29 08:31:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x133808…
05-27 07:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfcee8c…
05-27 07:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f8d7e…
05-27 07:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbecb99…
05-27 07:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb7a5fd…
05-27 07:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x928f7d…
05-27 07:05:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x856735…
05-26 13:19:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x65a0da…
05-26 13:18:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x63adc2…
05-26 13:18:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8f68ff…
05-26 13:18:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	31	37¢	$12	0xf86ac3…
05-26 13:18:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x3901d6…
05-26 13:18:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x439b01…
05-26 13:18:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x15ea4c…
05-26 13:17:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb17e7c…
05-26 13:17:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x31fc4a…
05-26 13:17:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	298	37¢	$110	0xe5d29f…
05-26 13:16:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf96ab6…
05-26 13:16:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	77	37¢	$28	0x7db25b…
05-26 07:04:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	550	62¢	$341	0x5a2d6f…
05-21 02:44:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x44a651…
05-21 02:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce40a9…
05-21 02:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa25b9b…
05-21 02:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10e0f9…
05-14 03:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc89e87…
05-14 03:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb7228…
05-14 03:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80a6fc…
05-14 03:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x498fdf…
05-11 03:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2087d6…
05-11 03:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77528e…
05-11 03:46:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x89a5a6…
05-11 03:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d80e1…
04-28 19:01:28	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	570	96¢	$549	0xc55c52…
04-28 18:55:40	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	570	96¢	$550	0xfb47f1…
04-28 18:02:10	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$2	0xd87b95…
04-28 18:01:52	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	1¢	$5	0x974977…
04-28 18:01:28	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	580	1¢	$7	0xbbb4a7…
04-28 18:00:50	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	580	2¢	$14	0xb1223c…
04-28 18:00:26	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	580	96¢	$556	0xa1b67e…
04-28 17:38:08	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0x6fd85f…
04-28 17:38:02	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x895316…
04-28 17:29:10	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x3bea6e…
04-28 17:28:00	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	3¢	$15	0x989ae3…
04-28 17:27:56	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$7	0x286471…
04-28 17:27:50	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xd4e49e…
04-28 17:24:20	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0xc54d62…
04-28 17:16:22	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	498	96¢	$480	0x8e6e2f…
04-23 07:45:06	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f5b19…
04-23 07:42:16	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97e399…
04-23 07:40:44	highest temperature in jeddah on april 24 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02f010…
04-23 07:38:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x982d69…
03-02 09:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6358de…