Loose-Reef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$989

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

105

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-23 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

71% 62% +$139

Other

16% 47% -$1,290

Sports

13% 76% +$162

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-606	-$139	18¢	$-112	+$27	05-21 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$2.1K	3,840	0	+3,840	Yes	+$1,696	04-02 00:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$1.9K	1,500	500	+1,000	Yes	+$52	02-28 22:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.7K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$332	05-21 20:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.4K	20,463	12,770	+7,693	No	-$758	05-21 23:49
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$837	03-01 06:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$390	03-06 14:59
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	4	$988	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$24	03-01 06:10
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	6	$885	940	0	+940	Yes	+$56	03-08 05:46
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	8	$805	3,100	0	+3,100	No	-$805	04-14 05:33
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$728	2,250	0	+2,250	No	-$728	03-28 18:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$684	565	565	+0	No	+$17	03-01 19:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$591	15,150	15,150	+0	No	-$409	05-21 17:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$549	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$549	04-12 14:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$506	1,300	0	+1,300	No	-$506	05-04 17:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$500	1,022	0	+1,022	Yes	+$522	02-18 02:45
will israel strike lebanon on march 7 2026	5	$494	504	0	+504	Yes	+$10	03-06 03:34
will iran strike israel on march 7	4	$486	600	0	+600	Yes	+$114	03-07 17:40
nhl tb tor 2026 03 07 total 5pt5	6	$452	500	0	+500	Over	+$48	03-08 02:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$440	600	600	+0	No	-$148	05-21 17:50
will iran strike uae again in march	4	$439	500	0	+500	Yes	+$60	04-01 18:57
nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	2	$428	2,000	2,000	+0	Islanders	-$52	03-18 00:39
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	4	$408	456	0	+456	Yes	+$48	03-01 16:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$400	2,366	0	+2,366	Yes	-$400	04-20 00:50
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	2	$394	200	200	+0	Yes	+$6	04-02 00:32
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	5	$389	600	0	+600	No	-$389	03-08 02:09
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	38	$371	1,237	0	+1,237	Yes	+$625	02-23 15:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$365	400	0	+400	No	+$35	03-01 17:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$345	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$345	03-06 14:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$320	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	-$320	05-22 19:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	9	$314	4,857	0	+4,857	Yes	-$314	05-23 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 08:31:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf47852…
05-23 00:31:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	654	6¢	$37	0xbd58c5…
05-23 00:31:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	311	6¢	$18	0xda60e6…
05-23 00:30:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0xcdfacd…
05-23 00:29:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0efe86…
05-23 00:29:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb98f4e…
05-23 00:29:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x004fda…
05-23 00:29:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	210	6¢	$12	0x5451d7…
05-23 00:29:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0x51cbdc…
05-22 19:57:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,600	20¢	$320	0x022919…
05-21 23:49:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7,693	4¢	$300	0x4c86a2…
05-21 23:48:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0xb56ff7…
05-21 20:17:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,000	9¢	$683	0x223213…
05-21 18:12:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	735	13¢	$93	0xbb8b57…
05-21 18:12:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,993	13¢	$253	0x864887…
05-21 18:07:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	13¢	$71	0x3ba45f…
05-21 18:04:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,800	13¢	$483	0xbef33c…
05-21 17:52:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	916	13¢	$115	0xaacfe1…
05-21 17:50:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	114	25¢	$29	0xe01c2c…
05-21 17:50:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15,150	1¢	$91	0x4d92b8…
05-21 17:50:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	606	23¢	$139	0x27ec14…
05-21 17:50:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	600	24¢	$146	0x8842ee…
05-21 17:50:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12,770	3¢	$342	0xe61d53…
05-19 20:48:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,887	5¢	$271	0x6b0014…
05-19 19:06:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$6	0x72785c…
05-19 19:02:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xa6acdf…
05-19 19:02:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x2b348a…
05-19 18:55:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	169	49¢	$83	0x520f76…
05-19 18:55:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	379	49¢	$186	0x38a61f…
05-19 18:54:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x728d3d…
05-19 18:53:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	399	5¢	$18	0x8b980f…
05-19 18:53:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x718a41…
05-19 18:52:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x16c818…
05-04 17:00:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,300	39¢	$506	0xfbc92f…
05-04 16:58:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15,150	3¢	$500	0x266863…
05-04 16:57:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,250	8¢	$500	0xc1121a…
05-04 16:54:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x0aad92…
04-20 00:51:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x3d44c5…
04-20 00:50:14	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	2,366	17¢	$400	0xb79f32…
04-14 05:33:07	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	142	22¢	$31	0xcbf85e…
04-14 05:31:15	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x063ae5…
04-14 05:25:23	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x46abcf…
04-14 05:23:41	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xe84030…
04-14 05:06:59	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x930311…
04-14 05:04:47	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2,312	22¢	$507	0xf10deb…
04-12 15:07:47	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	491	43¢	$211	0xfe9a2b…
04-12 14:50:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	544	55¢	$299	0x72702d…
04-12 14:50:47	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x6df958…
04-12 14:50:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x04aeab…
04-12 14:50:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xee4de6…
04-12 14:50:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0xcd7bcd…
04-12 14:50:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0xbad654…
04-12 14:50:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xaad68a…
04-12 14:48:55	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	109	42¢	$46	0xda275c…
04-12 14:46:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	266	55¢	$146	0xe7d95e…
04-02 00:49:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,670	55¢	$919	0xfca99f…
04-02 00:32:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x072659…
04-02 00:32:03	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6cc1a7…
04-01 19:40:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,563	57¢	$891	0x73bfb8…
04-01 19:39:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	237	57¢	$135	0xbd8cf3…
04-01 18:57:39	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	247	88¢	$217	0x27210d…
04-01 18:53:45	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x654356…
04-01 18:48:17	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	203	88¢	$178	0xce5363…
04-01 18:44:17	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	114	77¢	$87	0xa8007b…
04-01 18:38:27	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6e2ed9…
04-01 18:38:09	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x135c79…
04-01 18:37:49	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x401b9e…
04-01 18:37:19	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6f4091…
04-01 18:36:31	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xc2fec0…
04-01 18:35:47	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x137074…
04-01 18:35:45	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xebcfc4…
04-01 18:35:33	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$24	0xbbd6b9…
04-01 18:35:05	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xad3326…
04-01 18:34:15	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	94	76¢	$71	0x1f1f93…
03-28 18:03:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	678	8¢	$54	0x0d6c90…
03-28 18:02:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x8299c1…
03-28 17:50:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x6adac7…
03-28 17:46:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xce53d2…
03-28 17:45:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xea08d6…
03-28 17:43:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x6c8e12…
03-18 00:39:15	nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	Maple Leafs	SELL	2,000	9¢	$188	0x20af44…
03-18 00:38:51	nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	Maple Leafs	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0x45e927…
03-16 00:25:59	nhl nsh edm 2026 03 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x9e6697…
03-15 22:27:13	nhl fla sea 2026 03 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x6133e9…
03-15 22:25:41	nhl tor min 2026 03 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xe29709…
03-15 04:36:01	nhl chi las 2026 03 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x8fd8d1…
03-15 02:35:45	nhl det dal 2026 03 14	Red Wings	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x674e10…
03-15 02:26:43	nhl cbj phi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x037814…
03-15 02:26:23	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xf4df77…
03-15 02:25:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xcbcda4…
03-15 02:24:43	nhl cbj phi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb52d90…
03-15 02:23:29	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x00afbc…
03-15 02:23:03	nhl det dal 2026 03 14	Red Wings	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7e0e37…
03-15 02:22:29	nhl cbj phi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x85177e…
03-15 02:22:17	nhl cbj phi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89cefa…
03-15 02:21:13	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xb4da33…
03-15 02:21:11	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeaf499…
03-15 02:21:11	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xc709d5…
03-15 02:21:11	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x430695…
03-15 02:21:09	nhl det dal 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x873c8c…