Trim-Handlebar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$248

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

5.7%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-18 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-224

Crypto

26% 67% $-14

Tech

7% 0% $-10

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	06-18 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	13	$598	787	737	+50	open	—	05-10 10:51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$300	610	610	+0	Yes	$-200	05-06 16:57
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 16:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$114	130	60	+70	open	—	05-28 18:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-21 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$55	61	61	+0	open	—	05-20 19:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 01:07
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$48	180	180	+0	open	—	04-20 23:19
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	2	$46	66	64	+1	open	—	04-11 21:58
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 15c	3	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	04-13 07:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	04-12 20:48
btc updown 5m 1775576700	7	$35	35	34	+1	open	—	04-07 15:49
btc updown 5m 1775554800	3	$32	50	17	+33	open	—	04-07 09:44
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	04-07 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$28	50	50	+0	open	—	05-06 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$26	38	38	+0	open	—	05-28 18:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 09:02
btc updown 5m 1775553300	3	$24	22	19	+3	open	—	04-07 09:19
highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 10c	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 21:05
highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 6c	5	$22	62	59	+3	open	—	04-12 21:21
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	2	$21	17	16	+1	open	—	04-13 17:20
btc updown 5m 1775577000	6	$21	25	24	+1	open	—	04-07 15:53
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 18:31
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	05-28 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 80forhigher	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-13 17:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-28 18:52
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 19:25
btc updown 5m 1775574600	6	$18	16	15	+1	open	—	04-07 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	1	$18	158	0	+158	Yes	$-18	05-05 18:32
btc updown 5m 1775578500	2	$18	18	17	+1	open	—	04-07 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 12:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf77e09…
06-18 12:36:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf98b2f…
06-09 16:49:10	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc439b2…
06-09 12:20:24	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x642145…
06-09 12:20:18	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9dfd00…
06-03 16:43:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x51d298…
06-01 10:02:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xea43de…
05-28 19:01:53	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4995bb…
05-28 19:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x677ac9…
05-28 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdba849…
05-28 19:00:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb87ddc…
05-28 19:00:46	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfdf4d8…
05-28 18:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd92dcd…
05-28 18:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc93866…
05-28 18:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x70e874…
05-28 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x91f251…
05-28 18:52:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd4d66b…
05-28 18:52:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x224887…
05-28 18:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x57460b…
05-28 18:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x865d1b…
05-28 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5a4a5…
05-28 18:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5b5b88…
05-28 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1a93e6…
05-28 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xcab115…
05-28 09:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0b97e0…
05-28 08:59:53	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xf0ea95…
05-26 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2a9cb5…
05-26 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x07206d…
05-26 14:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3c0294…
05-26 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa2433…
05-26 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xad1be2…
05-25 17:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x59e236…
05-25 17:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa015c7…
05-25 17:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x968473…
05-25 17:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb28ace…
05-25 17:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x2d994e…
05-25 17:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xfa81a4…
05-25 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1a5c90…
05-25 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x499c36…
05-22 13:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xf12e16…
05-22 13:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x16bb97…
05-22 11:27:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x218391…
05-22 11:19:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x148c56…
05-22 11:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4434ab…
05-22 11:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x965ce2…
05-22 11:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1400f7…
05-21 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x42195d…
05-21 18:55:04	XRP Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xc2aa39…
05-21 18:52:34	XRP Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa8654c…
05-21 18:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x854dca…
05-21 18:52:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x7fef73…
05-21 18:27:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x62f9f7…
05-21 18:14:46	XRP Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xefd0e8…
05-21 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe49885…
05-21 01:07:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x60f52e…
05-20 20:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x53cd9b…
05-20 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x38c11d…
05-20 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd12380…
05-20 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xbce663…
05-20 19:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xeeef9f…
05-20 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xefc560…
05-20 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7e2420…
05-20 19:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdedc55…
05-20 19:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x3f513e…
05-20 19:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6086ec…
05-20 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb74f8a…
05-20 19:10:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xe7eec4…
05-20 19:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc0665c…
05-20 19:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	61	49¢	$30	0xaeb581…
05-20 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x13af38…
05-20 19:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x711494…
05-20 19:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x79f1bb…
05-20 18:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5c4da…
05-20 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2d715…
05-20 11:32:34	Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x881961…
05-20 10:46:01	Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x782b40…
05-19 11:09:06	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x9151bc…
05-15 13:31:10	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x764b50…
05-15 13:26:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 15?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1eb2f3…
05-15 13:25:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x522cdb…
05-15 13:25:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x39cff7…
05-15 12:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4e67f6…
05-15 12:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x91befb…
05-15 11:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x6f45fd…
05-15 11:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x333bc7…
05-15 11:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xb14b82…
05-15 11:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0aa373…
05-11 08:12:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x0dbea7…
05-11 08:10:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5393c7…
05-11 08:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x9a2613…
05-11 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3ce176…
05-11 08:06:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x3b6052…
05-11 08:05:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc18214…
05-10 11:06:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x042e1b…
05-10 11:06:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x6b9c1d…
05-10 11:05:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1d0419…
05-10 11:02:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x569f32…
05-10 11:00:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcf2f7c…
05-10 10:58:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3c84e2…
05-10 10:51:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	462	59¢	$273	0xc456d4…