Trained-Patient-Emergency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

2,436

Trades

2,576

lifetime

Volume

$7.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-28 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 68% -$47

Other

30% 94% -$23

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	6	$172	184	184	+0	No	-$1	09-21 07:59
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	23	$126	125	125	+0	open	—	09-16 19:59
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$91	56	56	+0	open	—	09-28 10:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	4	$89	99	99	+0	open	—	10-02 02:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	2	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-05 05:18
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	09-19 02:31
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	2	$72	51	51	+0	open	—	10-21 15:51
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	6	$72	84	84	+0	No	-$4	09-25 22:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 02:51
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	4	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 23:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	2	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	10-01 10:15
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	2	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	10-05 06:57
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$55	55	55	+0	open	—	09-25 19:46
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	09-18 20:20
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 23:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 15:06
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	10-07 02:50
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	2	$47	34	34	+0	open	—	10-28 14:07
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	2	$44	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	09-28 10:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	3	$40	61	61	+0	Yes	-$6	10-01 11:54
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	3	$40	48	48	+0	open	—	10-28 04:30
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	10-05 17:40
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$34	34	34	+0	No	-$1	09-17 13:36
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	2	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	10-02 04:35
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	2	$31	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 16:24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-30 17:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	2	$28	60	60	+0	No	-$9	09-18 16:27
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	2	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	10-05 11:59
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$23	28	28	+0	open	—	09-21 11:35
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	09-28 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:07:01	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x1f6a73…
10-28 14:06:58	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x8023d5…
10-28 04:30:38	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	48	40¢	$19	0xb845d6…
10-28 04:30:35	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb29e81…
10-28 04:30:35	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xa02376…
10-26 06:37:30	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0x6122dd…
10-26 01:29:08	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xe9afa5…
10-26 01:29:08	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xb1df86…
10-24 02:51:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$33	0x50a44d…
10-24 02:51:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf9a09a…
10-22 09:11:41	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x83c2ca…
10-22 09:11:03	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x3c0cf6…
10-21 15:51:35	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	No	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0x6bec73…
10-21 15:51:23	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$36	0x41471c…
10-21 13:08:23	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x43764d…
10-20 23:03:53	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfd453f…
10-17 01:13:17	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0xe3bde8…
10-17 01:13:12	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x33d083…
10-08 23:29:38	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xe9f899…
10-08 23:29:32	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0x33d47a…
10-08 23:29:29	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xf15931…
10-08 23:29:29	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x871e83…
10-08 17:02:45	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd01056…
10-08 17:02:44	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x161970…
10-07 02:50:54	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xc283bf…
10-07 02:50:53	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x9dcc07…
10-06 23:11:55	Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x091664…
10-06 23:11:52	Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xd2af82…
10-05 17:40:56	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x70eee5…
10-05 17:40:53	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x27a319…
10-05 16:24:22	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	26	60¢	$15	0x82b90f…
10-05 16:23:34	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xcecf00…
10-05 11:59:35	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0xd6e99b…
10-05 11:59:32	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x744039…
10-05 06:57:13	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	No	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0xf11d09…
10-05 05:18:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x830e7a…
10-05 05:18:32	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc7f066…
10-05 01:14:28	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0xd34ef7…
10-03 18:07:26	Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x42b471…
10-03 12:59:00	Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x7e60b9…
10-02 08:58:38	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x6dca27…
10-02 08:58:36	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7fa6a1…
10-02 04:35:15	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	No	SELL	22	66¢	$15	0x65034d…
10-02 04:35:11	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x311850…
10-02 02:32:05	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x759c45…
10-02 02:32:02	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x822cea…
10-01 11:54:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0xed013f…
10-01 11:54:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x6fa3bb…
10-01 11:54:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x1aca2d…
10-01 10:15:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0x67f49d…
10-01 10:15:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5c2758…
09-30 17:05:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x61f45e…
09-30 16:55:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x7e87a8…
09-30 15:06:08	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xcc9e0e…
09-30 15:06:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9ac53a…
09-30 08:32:06	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	49	60¢	$30	0x01258a…
09-30 08:32:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xdcbc57…
09-29 23:38:38	Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x77b489…
09-29 23:38:33	Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd6ea6d…
09-29 10:39:59	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x22c37b…
09-29 10:39:56	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xa874ba…
09-29 08:41:15	Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x81db44…
09-29 06:44:39	Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x8053b5…
09-28 13:15:27	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xa1a73d…
09-28 13:15:23	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x837121…
09-28 10:43:41	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0xa2daa1…
09-28 10:43:27	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xfe8933…
09-28 10:39:53	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x9720de…
09-28 10:36:51	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x8ae59c…
09-26 00:26:14	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x8ac389…
09-25 23:13:08	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x9e3e51…
09-25 22:56:53	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xdd15b7…
09-25 22:56:48	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0xc8e74b…
09-25 22:56:45	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x9278b6…
09-25 19:46:48	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	50¢	$27	0xa559d6…
09-25 19:46:44	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	50¢	$27	0x797623…
09-24 10:08:56	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0xdabf0e…
09-24 10:08:51	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xd9044d…
09-24 10:08:48	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2a48c1…
09-24 09:29:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x32f92f…
09-24 09:29:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x00a2a6…
09-24 07:24:53	SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x3e08fc…
09-24 07:24:48	SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x004650…
09-24 07:24:45	SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9b94d9…
09-23 12:41:19	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x914ff7…
09-23 12:41:16	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xdd9798…
09-22 12:43:04	Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x3184f1…
09-22 12:29:48	Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xebed2e…
09-21 11:35:15	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0ddc20…
09-21 11:19:27	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x7db746…
09-21 07:59:36	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	80	72¢	$58	0x645113…
09-21 07:59:27	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0x30eccc…
09-21 06:47:23	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x9d9b02…
09-21 06:05:44	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1d0968…
09-20 17:45:39	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0x5a0dcd…
09-20 16:35:52	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$21	0x131295…
09-19 20:38:17	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x7290e5…
09-19 20:38:09	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x149fe8…
09-19 10:44:44	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd4a656…
09-19 10:44:37	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x156857…