Complicated-Intentionality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$613

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

285

Trades

552

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-26 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Politics

66% 79% +$597

Crypto

19% 100% +$2

Other

15% 93% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	60	$1.1K	99,222	99,222	+0	No	+$188	04-13 04:32
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	18	$604	120,797	120,757	+40	No	+$121	04-24 10:06
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	22	$452	56,463	56,463	+0	No	+$113	04-14 04:52
will green alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	24	$432	28,488	28,488	+0	No	+$52	03-31 05:43
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$231	29,353	29,353	+0	No	+$59	04-07 03:43
will la u win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	12	$163	47,952	47,952	+0	No	+$68	03-18 06:04
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	10	$116	58	58	+0	No	$0	02-23 08:05
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	54	$97	48,466	48,466	+0	No	+$0	02-10 16:24
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	03-09 09:34
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-31 08:03
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-04 07:43
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-30 05:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-04 03:35
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:43
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-16 07:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	02-28 06:27
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	8	$16	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$0	02-11 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 20:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	04-03 09:11
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	6	$12	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 09:16
will islami andolan bangladesh win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$11	5,400	5,400	+0	No	+$0	02-13 04:34
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 80 99	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-28 09:03
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 02:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 15:36
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-26 11:00
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 15:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 05:33
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-16 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:55:02	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x506436…
10-26 20:54:48	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebf256…
10-26 20:54:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b9916…
10-20 21:59:06	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fd95a…
10-20 21:58:48	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfedf4a…
10-20 21:58:38	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x038bb8…
10-20 21:58:26	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4debca…
10-20 21:58:14	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb34f2…
10-20 21:58:05	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe98c55…
10-20 21:57:54	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cb139…
10-20 21:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc3d2e…
10-20 21:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x232084…
10-20 21:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x759290…
10-14 10:49:28	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e7016…
10-14 10:49:23	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7360cb…
10-14 10:49:11	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d4d45…
10-14 10:49:02	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf3605…
10-14 10:48:56	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84a4c4…
10-14 10:48:50	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3ba8a…
10-14 10:48:44	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3e21e…
10-14 10:48:38	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc8cec…
10-14 10:48:31	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06e4a8…
10-11 18:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24d8c1…
10-11 18:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7dac47…
10-11 18:48:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd6af2…
10-09 20:28:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ee0ca…
10-09 20:28:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5caaf…
10-09 20:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47673e…
10-08 21:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab51af…
10-08 21:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6e74b5…
10-08 21:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x695cbc…
10-08 21:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9298e8…
10-08 21:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6c11ee…
10-08 21:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67e99b…
10-08 18:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x053db9…
10-07 15:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9ae9e…
10-07 15:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x644ef8…
10-07 15:43:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4871a…
10-04 07:44:16	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fd386…
10-04 07:43:35	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70d9b8…
10-04 07:43:26	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4755ea…
10-04 07:43:13	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78d1c8…
10-04 07:42:55	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x418031…
10-01 15:56:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9044f0…
10-01 15:56:24	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2125e4…
10-01 15:55:57	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x767fb9…
10-01 15:55:50	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d8e1c…
09-29 06:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee9c16…
09-29 06:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cd8df…
09-29 06:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe21a55…
09-29 06:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fa8b0…
09-29 06:17:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77b011…
09-29 06:17:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4cb3…
09-22 11:25:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd19013…
09-22 11:24:58	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61bb5b…
09-22 11:24:48	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c86ba…
09-22 11:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82af58…
09-22 11:21:43	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea3c7c…
09-22 11:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19b4fc…
09-22 11:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd96348…
09-18 03:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfef937…
09-18 03:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf02e44…
09-18 03:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf03655…
09-18 03:35:00	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4fdb0…
09-18 03:34:46	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32c339…
09-18 03:33:55	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc1a34…
09-18 03:33:34	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x702766…
09-18 03:33:24	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4375b4…
09-06 10:21:07	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x127774…
09-06 10:20:57	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdcb6e…
09-06 10:20:46	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05cb11…
09-06 10:20:30	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e5b6a…
09-06 10:20:19	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a10a0…
09-06 10:19:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x559795…
09-06 10:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaad309…
09-06 10:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb32ed6…
09-06 10:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24464c…
09-06 10:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf00fd6…
08-31 21:00:01	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed4e8b…
08-31 20:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc08ae3…
08-28 18:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x048748…
08-28 18:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x448fb6…
08-27 16:38:51	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63b535…
08-27 16:38:36	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x350dc1…
08-27 16:38:27	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa23b39…
08-27 16:38:13	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x681c27…
08-27 16:38:03	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00445e…
08-27 16:37:48	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93fc33…
08-27 16:37:36	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80419d…
08-27 16:37:15	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047e28…
08-19 19:02:31	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe45c44…
08-19 19:02:19	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f00be…
08-15 10:26:19	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64a804…
08-15 10:26:01	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x309fda…
08-15 10:25:49	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30b5ef…
08-15 10:25:39	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07ce47…
08-15 10:25:30	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a2f72…
08-15 10:25:21	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x371c21…
08-15 10:25:12	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x045f55…
08-15 10:25:01	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c5797…