Crushing-Rations — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-06 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$3

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Tech

14% 100% +$1

Politics

12% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	1	$153	154	+154	No	+$0	04-03 02:44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	06-24 15:08
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	2	$141	141	+141	Yes	+$0	05-23 04:16
will iran strike saudi arabia in march	1	$131	132	+132	Yes	+$1	03-03 08:54
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-03 07:55
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$76	77	+77	No	+$1	02-10 02:59
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	1	$69	69	+69	No	+$0	05-04 04:31
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	1	$67	67	+67	No	+$0	06-18 15:37
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	03-25 14:35
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	07-14 06:45
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	01-07 14:18
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$35	35	+35	Yes	+$0	10-06 12:32
bitcoin above 94k on january 11	1	$34	34	+34	No	+$0	01-11 11:44
msft above 520 on january 9 2026	1	$34	34	+34	No	+$0	01-09 04:06
will israel strike gaza on january 6 2026	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	01-08 14:27
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	08-18 07:06
bitcoin above 94k on january 7	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	01-07 15:49
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 8 2026	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	01-08 10:05
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	Yes	+$0	09-06 09:56
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	01-08 14:32
open above 8pt5 on february 6 2026	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	02-03 07:56
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	01-07 07:45
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	01-07 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 12:32:28	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb52446…
09-06 09:56:54	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x26d553…
08-18 07:06:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xff977a…
07-14 06:45:13	Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf267a5…
06-24 15:08:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xa1e119…
06-18 15:37:40	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xec5d25…
05-23 04:16:01	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc016ab…
05-22 02:36:27	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07c5aa…
05-04 04:31:34	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x3570d1…
04-03 02:44:15	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in April?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0x290a4b…
03-25 14:35:35	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5fbb6d…
03-03 08:54:31	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0xf47fa5…
02-10 02:59:49	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x5bcbeb…
02-03 07:56:54	open above 8pt5 on february 6 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc3ea82…
02-03 07:55:08	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd77ae8…
01-11 11:44:06	bitcoin above 94k on january 11	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc241e7…
01-09 04:06:38	msft above 520 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x77d448…
01-08 14:32:00	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x915aaf…
01-08 14:27:00	will israel strike gaza on january 6 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x75a810…
01-08 10:05:41	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 8 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x97f9ea…
01-07 15:49:15	bitcoin above 94k on january 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6935d9…
01-07 14:18:49	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x366143…
01-07 07:47:03	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x294be0…
01-07 07:45:21	Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc5eb52…