Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$249

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$841

Open exposure

$1.43K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-19 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$145

Other

41% 100% +$89

Tech

5% 100% +$3

Crypto

2% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+1,431	$1,417	100¢	$1.4K	+$12	10-19 06:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.6K	1,286	1,286	+0	No	+$5	04-30 20:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$1.4K	1,431	0	+1,431	open	—	10-19 06:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1	$1.4K	1,418	0	+1,418	No	+$10	09-25 18:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.4K	1,407	0	+1,407	No	+$7	09-11 10:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	No	+$3	08-13 05:17
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$1.4K	1,398	0	+1,398	No	+$6	08-04 04:57
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$1.4K	1,392	0	+1,392	No	+$4	08-01 07:58
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	No	+$6	07-25 21:09
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$1.4K	1,382	0	+1,382	Yes	+$4	07-21 20:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$1.4K	1,378	0	+1,378	No	+$1	07-17 04:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$1.4K	1,377	0	+1,377	No	+$4	07-07 16:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$1.4K	1,372	0	+1,372	No	+$8	06-25 19:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$1.4K	1,365	0	+1,365	No	+$1	06-21 19:52
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$1.4K	1,363	0	+1,363	No	+$3	06-18 20:37
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$1.4K	1,361	0	+1,361	Yes	+$3	06-17 22:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1.4K	1,357	0	+1,357	Yes	+$7	06-14 22:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	1	$1.3K	1,351	0	+1,351	No	+$1	06-12 19:08
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,350	0	+1,350	Yes	+$1	06-12 05:44
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$1.3K	1,348	0	+1,348	Yes	+$3	06-08 01:40
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.3K	1,346	0	+1,346	Yes	+$3	06-05 17:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,342	0	+1,342	No	+$12	06-02 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.3K	1,331	0	+1,331	No	+$1	06-01 19:29
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1.3K	1,325	0	+1,325	No	+$7	05-20 21:52
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1.3K	1,307	0	+1,307	Yes	+$3	05-16 22:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	No	+$1	05-15 20:45
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,303	0	+1,303	No	+$1	05-15 03:27
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	2	$1.3K	1,302	0	+1,302	No	+$3	05-14 19:15
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1.3K	1,299	0	+1,299	No	+$3	05-11 02:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.3K	1,296	0	+1,296	Yes	+$6	05-01 21:19
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	No	+$5	04-30 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:57:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1,431	99¢	$1,417	0xe7ec82…
09-25 18:09:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1,418	99¢	$1,408	0x0036d7…
09-11 10:43:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,407	100¢	$1,400	0x22cb3a…
08-13 05:17:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,401	100¢	$1,398	0xa4626d…
08-04 04:57:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,398	100¢	$1,392	0xb9b312…
08-01 07:58:12	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1,392	100¢	$1,388	0xfa1a71…
07-25 21:09:18	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1,388	100¢	$1,382	0x69060f…
07-21 20:46:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,382	100¢	$1,378	0x7fa031…
07-17 04:30:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,378	100¢	$1,377	0xb22b40…
07-07 16:02:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,377	100¢	$1,373	0xb35d76…
06-25 19:37:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,372	99¢	$1,364	0x227c3d…
06-21 19:52:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1,365	100¢	$1,363	0x4a80fe…
06-18 20:37:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,363	100¢	$1,361	0x32a14e…
06-17 22:15:29	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,361	100¢	$1,358	0xbac62e…
06-14 22:39:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,357	99¢	$1,351	0x5744a0…
06-12 19:08:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	1,351	100¢	$1,350	0xd01715…
06-12 05:44:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,350	100¢	$1,348	0x3bcb06…
06-08 01:40:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,348	100¢	$1,346	0x32ab5c…
06-05 17:35:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,346	100¢	$1,343	0x4b80e9…
06-02 19:28:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,342	99¢	$1,330	0x164a45…
06-01 19:29:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,331	100¢	$1,330	0x575e68…
05-24 04:52:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$697	0x4d4d67…
05-23 20:09:27	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	630	100¢	$628	0x4457b9…
05-20 21:52:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,325	100¢	$1,318	0xb25faf…
05-16 22:22:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,307	100¢	$1,304	0xa3dabc…
05-15 20:45:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,303	0xfdf21b…
05-15 03:27:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,235	100¢	$1,234	0xcd6bfd…
05-15 03:04:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x75551f…
05-14 19:15:33	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9a2890…
05-14 19:15:13	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1,264	100¢	$1,262	0xf83fbb…
05-11 02:12:41	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,299	100¢	$1,297	0x72c078…
05-01 21:19:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0x559fd5…
05-01 21:18:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$999	0xe2f440…
05-01 21:18:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x56386f…
04-30 20:18:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,290	100¢	$1,285	0x050fdd…
04-30 20:18:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,286	100¢	$1,285	0x9e5b8c…
04-21 07:15:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	803	100¢	$799	0x24e047…
04-21 07:14:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	483	100¢	$481	0x1c19ce…
04-17 15:55:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,275	100¢	$1,274	0xa3d726…
04-15 06:39:30	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	1,274	98¢	$1,255	0xa7311b…
04-15 03:44:12	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5420c8…
04-13 19:56:17	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	1,139	99¢	$1,124	0xea47ad…
04-13 19:55:33	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	121	99¢	$119	0xa61373…
04-09 04:39:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,243	100¢	$1,241	0xd71bf5…
04-07 04:34:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,237	0x2b95a8…
04-05 00:28:49	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe3e685…
04-05 00:26:29	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x48bd6d…
04-05 00:24:33	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	990	100¢	$988	0xf52494…
03-20 18:54:47	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,228	0x92170a…
03-18 05:14:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,228	100¢	$1,222	0x191a43…
03-13 19:32:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xb08925…
03-13 19:32:31	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x0a08cb…
03-13 19:32:21	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x35fa71…
03-13 19:32:13	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	748	98¢	$729	0x2d48f5…
03-12 18:22:19	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47c88a…
03-12 18:21:33	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e5a57…
03-08 07:17:55	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	744	100¢	$742	0x38c74e…
03-08 07:16:37	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83e520…
03-08 07:10:33	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x657f58…
03-08 07:05:43	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$378	0xcf92f9…
03-05 10:33:13	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30ab9f…
03-05 10:26:41	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xbd0b90…
03-05 10:25:49	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa096c5…
03-05 10:25:11	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xa2eaa2…
02-02 06:06:18	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xd58280…
02-02 06:02:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0x566803…
02-02 05:59:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1f82bc…
02-02 05:58:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbe0d38…
02-02 05:52:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0xbd8c21…
01-27 22:15:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,179	98¢	$1,158	0xef11bb…