General-Cougar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$268

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

180

Trades

736

lifetime

Volume

$7.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-11 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

78% 7% -$188

Politics

17% 8% -$64

Tech

4% 0% -$12

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$890	480	480	+0	open	—	05-15 07:43
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	5	$186	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:19
will xagusd reach 66 in august 2026	12	$139	131	131	+0	Yes	-$4	08-05 12:02
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	3	$136	80	80	+0	No	$0	06-01 07:17
will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	8	$115	80	80	+0	No	-$7	08-05 11:53
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	8	$101	86	86	+0	No	$0	08-04 21:14
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$5	05-13 14:54
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	6	$87	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-03 20:43
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	5	$86	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-05 07:46
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	6	$82	80	80	+0	open	—	08-05 00:41
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	5	$81	60	60	+0	No	-$6	08-05 11:53
will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	6	$79	80	80	+0	No	-$1	08-04 22:59
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	7	$78	80	80	+0	No	-$2	08-04 15:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	6	$78	80	80	+0	Yes	-$6	08-05 11:52
iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	10	$72	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	08-05 12:05
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	6	$71	80	80	+0	No	-$12	08-05 11:59
will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	9	$67	80	80	+0	Yes	-$10	08-05 12:06
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$66	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-13 04:15
will wti dip to 75 by august 3 2026	5	$66	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$65	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-13 04:16
Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	3	$62	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 21:31
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	3	$62	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-05 02:00
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	5	$62	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-04 01:11
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	3	$61	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-04 18:32
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	3	$61	40	40	+0	No	-$3	08-05 11:15
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	3	$61	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-03 03:57
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	5	$60	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-05 12:01
Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	3	$60	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-04 18:40
will trump praise andy burnham in august 20260729192811601	3	$59	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	08-03 10:33
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	3	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	08-03 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:45:24	will leviatan qualify for the cblol split 2 playoffs 20260804154923853	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xf019f7…
08-06 01:37:14	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e17 20260803210018416	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xe311f6…
08-05 12:06:38	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xad6224…
08-05 12:06:30	will nvidia nvda q2 data center revenue be above 100b 20260803225408749	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5134b7…
08-05 12:06:21	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xb8bdec…
08-05 12:06:06	will tim walz announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241619	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x943926…
08-05 12:05:56	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xcf9184…
08-05 12:05:47	will aapl reach 320 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2054d0…
08-05 12:05:39	will trump say trump gulf or gulf of trump in august 20260728182325273	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xd2f8c0…
08-05 12:02:57	beezie fdv above 250m one day after launch 20260804180933888	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x4c8ae1…
08-05 12:02:48	will xagusd reach 66 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x54dd2d…
08-05 12:02:39	Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xb1c971…
08-05 12:02:32	Will 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x1e8c1b…
08-05 12:02:23	will trump praise xi jinping in august 20260728221212350	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xca6b52…
08-05 12:02:02	will josh hawley announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241658	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x270e4a…
08-05 12:01:53	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	No	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x5e446e…
08-05 12:01:42	will trump praise roger penske in august 20260728221212351	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xa9440d…
08-05 12:01:29	will jared polis announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241627	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x441a43…
08-05 11:59:27	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xc49b0f…
08-05 11:59:18	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x157b89…
08-05 11:59:08	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	No	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xd752dd…
08-05 11:53:36	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x8d1a45…
08-05 11:53:24	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x47155e…
08-05 11:53:14	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x94ed1d…
08-05 11:53:05	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xde0f45…
08-05 11:52:56	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0x08c8b2…
08-05 11:52:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xe8e6e9…
08-05 11:51:57	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x9f539f…
08-05 11:45:03	will aapl reach 320 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc04632…
08-05 11:44:59	will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x5b213e…
08-05 11:44:41	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x7001b2…
08-05 11:15:41	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x9b06c9…
08-05 11:06:12	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x6775ae…
08-05 11:06:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5ac102…
08-05 10:50:20	will woman be in the headlines this week 20260731155626120	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x68a1fe…
08-05 10:09:39	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb8112b…
08-05 10:09:36	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa70107…
08-05 09:48:11	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x448d17…
08-05 09:48:06	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x3801ce…
08-05 09:04:18	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xb6dfee…
08-05 09:04:17	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xbd253b…
08-05 08:27:50	Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x08bf7d…
08-05 08:24:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2cf2b1…
08-05 08:17:56	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdf5e52…
08-05 08:04:56	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xed3457…
08-05 08:04:54	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x728f6d…
08-05 08:00:08	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x6dcfbe…
08-05 08:00:05	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x59210f…
08-05 07:46:29	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x2e7f9a…
08-05 07:46:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8a25e8…
08-05 07:26:33	Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x3a760b…
08-05 07:23:38	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x68c01e…
08-05 07:23:35	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xcba31e…
08-05 07:20:24	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x8027b7…
08-05 07:20:20	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x50c210…
08-05 07:07:47	Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x9b7280…
08-05 06:48:08	Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x2473f9…
08-05 06:34:54	Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x37e4a4…
08-05 05:51:47	Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xd502dd…
08-05 05:50:15	Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x804128…
08-05 05:42:38	will kamala harris announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241611	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x03f4da…
08-05 05:42:35	will kamala harris announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241611	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x748954…
08-05 05:13:41	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xa5c2aa…
08-05 05:13:36	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x806cd4…
08-05 04:47:35	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x7532a1…
08-05 04:09:57	Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xbdac49…
08-05 04:09:56	Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x340d9b…
08-05 03:43:17	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x8c06ac…
08-05 03:35:26	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x18bf08…
08-05 03:28:06	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x64cc1a…
08-05 03:27:51	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x57afa3…
08-05 03:24:54	Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x983c35…
08-05 03:24:51	Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x800f55…
08-05 03:17:57	Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x8c9cd9…
08-05 03:17:54	Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x55f81f…
08-05 03:11:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xf7634d…
08-05 03:03:54	Will fnatic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x9604fe…
08-05 03:03:53	Will fnatic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x89a586…
08-05 03:01:33	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa4631c…
08-05 02:41:27	beezie fdv above 300m one day after launch 20260804180933889	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x0407ae…
08-05 02:33:15	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xc876a3…
08-05 02:33:12	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe6ded3…
08-05 02:21:45	beezie fdv above 200m one day after launch 20260804180933887	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xbbe50a…
08-05 02:21:23	beezie fdv above 200m one day after launch 20260804180933887	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb7e13f…
08-05 02:19:03	beezie fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260804180933885	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x8a2c7e…
08-05 02:15:42	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	68¢	$23	0xf05440…
08-05 02:15:39	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1fb54a…
08-05 02:04:32	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3ac4b7…
08-05 02:02:54	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x95f20a…
08-05 02:00:21	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xb878a2…
08-05 02:00:18	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3feb8c…
08-05 01:26:26	will tim walz announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241619	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0582d1…
08-05 01:22:24	will jared polis announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241627	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x84a169…
08-05 01:15:48	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x9c4a65…
08-05 01:15:17	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xab32f6…
08-05 01:03:21	will josh hawley announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241658	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3d0d39…
08-05 00:54:12	Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe16ed4…
08-05 00:43:12	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x661a51…
08-05 00:41:54	Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x6fe627…
08-05 00:41:50	Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x43e70f…