Shimmering-Cohesion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

274

Trades

482

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-12 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 92% +$0

Tech

26% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$210	114	114	+0	open	—	06-12 16:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	6	$134	132	132	+0	open	—	06-12 16:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$45	28	28	+0	open	—	06-12 16:58
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 21:25
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 14:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$9	18	18	+0	open	—	06-12 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	05-20 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-20 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 04:29
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 04:24
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	$-5	05-14 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:22:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xf846b5…
06-12 17:04:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc35c68…
06-12 16:58:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x04ed2a…
06-12 16:58:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	114	97¢	$110	0x80c35c…
06-12 16:53:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	132	60¢	$79	0xa9f3d3…
06-12 16:05:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x17029e…
06-12 15:58:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6656aa…
06-12 15:58:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xe2be85…
06-12 15:55:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6731ab…
06-05 06:06:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x247640…
06-05 06:02:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xdf74d2…
06-05 06:02:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x169719…
05-20 13:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x286816…
05-20 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c07f6…
05-20 12:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a8bbf…
05-20 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x412b4e…
05-20 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcae8d2…
05-20 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfc7d18…
05-20 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfdff77…
05-20 05:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x92412a…
05-20 02:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4d863a…
05-20 02:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x877311…
05-20 02:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c5042…
05-20 02:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7fcfcd…
05-20 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe24b61…
05-20 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x463d40…
05-20 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xaabbf7…
05-20 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x968913…
05-20 01:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x375285…
05-20 01:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5775c8…
05-20 01:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x2426bc…
05-20 01:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfb2630…
05-20 01:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5b7726…
05-20 01:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1df383…
05-20 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x00f91e…
05-20 01:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x889402…
05-20 01:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb8d9f2…
05-19 21:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed80cd…
05-19 21:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35640c…
05-19 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e88fe…
05-19 20:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe5293d…
05-19 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x79897d…
05-19 15:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf54567…
05-19 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0ceb99…
05-19 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1ac30f…
05-19 12:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x18a7a2…
05-19 10:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2eeb8…
05-19 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x04e5f1…
05-19 08:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x95f573…
05-19 08:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc988ab…
05-19 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba8d00…
05-19 07:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9bfc34…
05-19 07:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfef86d…
05-19 06:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8e19f0…
05-19 05:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6d4962…
05-19 04:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x37c178…
05-19 04:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb52c84…
05-19 04:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb44a1…
05-19 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xff7408…
05-19 01:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33aca6…
05-18 22:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe98041…
05-18 22:04:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x49c51f…
05-18 21:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6e593…
05-18 21:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x951fac…
05-18 20:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x214a42…
05-18 20:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd85a43…
05-18 20:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x848839…
05-18 16:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6fc08f…
05-18 15:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x76d334…
05-18 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0309da…
05-18 12:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3eba47…
05-18 09:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe2b850…
05-18 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc946b3…
05-18 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1107d6…
05-18 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x23098a…
05-18 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb301a0…
05-18 05:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe92126…
05-18 04:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1be2a…
05-18 04:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xeca4c0…
05-18 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7d6c87…
05-18 04:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x493a6d…
05-18 03:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdffe8c…
05-18 02:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2c96a1…
05-17 23:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf66b37…
05-17 22:49:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x48d191…
05-17 22:24:06	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x038c7e…
05-17 21:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xac9422…
05-17 20:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6a7dd1…
05-17 19:24:12	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfae3a7…
05-17 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3aa9cc…
05-17 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x58501d…
05-17 17:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2dfd0…
05-17 17:39:08	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb4c8d7…
05-17 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xd89f06…
05-17 16:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf0b1b8…
05-17 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa6c367…
05-17 15:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3d3c4e…
05-17 14:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48f6f9…
05-17 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfef34a…
05-17 11:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfab253…