Hot-Running — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

14 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$80

$80 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 60% +$7

Crypto

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 19:57
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	1	$15	0	15	-15	Yes	$-0	05-09 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-10 11:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$10	0	22	-22	No	+$10	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	4	7	-3	open	—	05-10 07:41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	0	12	-12	open	—	05-10 14:51
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$3	0	11	-11	Yes	$-9	05-06 19:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	05-10 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	05-10 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	05-10 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xdf18cf…
05-10 14:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x1f74da…
05-10 13:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x0e5bc1…
05-10 13:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5f7bc3…
05-10 11:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb46be9…
05-10 07:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0x1689bb…
05-10 07:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2a403c…
05-10 06:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x903545…
05-09 19:57:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa7bc48…
05-09 19:57:07	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x267b25…
05-09 16:29:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x49cbe8…
05-09 12:46:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x0c0b75…
05-06 19:39:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xa39e68…
05-06 19:39:41	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xc4f55e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$9.10K	81	05-10 13:57
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	5	$2.67K	18	05-09 18:32
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$2.15K	250	05-09 18:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$916	133	05-10 14:56
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$56.0K	58	05-09 18:20
Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc	4	$18.1K	60	05-09 18:30
Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5	4	$16.5K	14	05-09 17:59
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	4	$8.70K	194	05-09 16:24