That-Ischemia — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$189

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved (90d)

413

Trades (90d)

616

4,264 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.93K

$7.82K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-16 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 60% -$96

Other

32% 44% -$235

Sports

5% 41% +$19

Politics

1% 25% -$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	+18	$4	82¢	$15	+$11	05-30 09:38
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+6	$5	99¢	$6	+$1	05-26 06:43
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+6	$5	80¢	$5	$0	05-25 23:05
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	+18	$15	18¢	$3	-$12	05-26 06:43
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	+6	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	05-30 09:38
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+6	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	05-30 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	38	$68	91	63	+28	Down	+$8	05-30 05:24
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-23 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	27	$61	75	70	+5	Down	+$24	05-30 06:39
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?	1	$50	278	0	+278	No	-$50	06-24 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	27	$43	44	38	+6	Down	-$1	05-30 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	26	$42	76	75	+2	Up	+$4	05-30 05:19
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	9	$40	98	62	+36	open	—	05-30 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	27	$39	50	40	+10	Down	-$1	05-30 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	22	$36	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	22	$36	65	40	+25	Down	+$2	05-30 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	23	$35	45	34	+11	Up	+$12	05-30 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	22	$35	38	33	+5	Down	+$1	05-30 01:29
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	9	$35	43	40	+3	Yes	-$5	04-27 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	22	$34	47	40	+7	Up	+$1	05-30 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	18	$33	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	05-30 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	17	$32	61	26	+35	Up	+$2	05-29 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:45 UTC	1	$32	35	0	+35	Down	+$3	08-09 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	20	$30	32	26	+7	Down	+$5	05-30 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	21	$30	36	30	+6	Down	-$6	05-30 02:48
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	1	$30	64	0	+64	Karolina Muchova	-$30	07-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	15	$30	41	25	+16	Up	+$6	05-30 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	17	$30	28	28	+0	Up	+$6	05-30 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	20	$29	70	64	+6	Up	-$5	05-30 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	18	$28	34	31	+2	Up	+$1	05-30 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	18	$27	28	28	+0	Down	-$1	05-30 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	20	$27	32	29	+3	Down	-$1	05-30 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	19	$27	30	22	+8	Down	+$5	05-30 01:13
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 3?	2	$26	45	0	+45	Yes	-$26	10-02 10:04
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 9?	2	$26	29	0	+29	Yes	-$26	10-08 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	19	$26	29	25	+4	Up	$0	05-30 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 13:05:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x39883b…
10-16 13:05:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xe46b34…
10-16 13:04:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x1e2f74…
10-16 13:04:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x443545…
10-16 13:03:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xad109c…
10-16 13:03:03	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x498538…
10-16 13:03:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5dfd8d…
10-16 13:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xabc9c5…
10-16 13:02:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc5fe48…
10-16 13:02:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x42b8a0…
10-16 13:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x13a8f4…
10-16 13:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1482c6…
10-16 13:02:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x523bfd…
10-16 13:02:42	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe640b1…
10-16 13:02:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x288e64…
10-16 13:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xee7088…
10-16 13:02:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe65331…
10-16 13:02:30	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9de576…
10-16 13:02:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0931ed…
10-16 13:02:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4e4390…
10-16 13:02:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0f394e…
10-16 13:02:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xef648b…
10-16 13:02:16	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on October 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaae77e…
10-16 11:24:37	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x57adfa…
10-16 04:04:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeaede5…
10-16 03:00:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc9a76f…
10-15 11:00:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcbeee6…
10-15 10:49:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x298648…
10-15 10:00:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa92caa…
10-15 09:59:29	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x241045…
10-15 09:47:25	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x896745…
10-15 09:43:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x20f2e2…
10-15 08:27:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x086a40…
10-15 08:20:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x624ca7…
10-15 08:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd6913a…
10-15 08:15:41	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x922588…
10-15 08:15:41	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5db70a…
10-15 06:42:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd2dcfa…
10-15 06:32:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd40f43…
10-15 06:24:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd326ae…
10-15 05:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x48c8aa…
10-15 03:01:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x766eed…
10-15 03:01:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfbd0b8…
10-15 01:01:38	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7e216a…
10-15 01:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x40fa55…
10-14 22:56:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd0b1cd…
10-14 22:53:34	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6e82e1…
10-14 19:34:04	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xb29db5…
10-14 19:01:27	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8b53ff…
10-14 17:00:18	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd906aa…
10-14 16:01:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcab684…
10-14 16:01:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf45c13…
10-14 14:37:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa7ceb7…
10-14 13:44:29	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2f9b8c…
10-14 13:22:06	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x8b6960…
10-14 12:03:51	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8ea67b…
10-14 11:00:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4f6c8e…
10-14 10:58:13	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4fab24…
10-14 09:01:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe2e156…
10-14 08:36:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6d67c…
10-14 08:12:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8c6b52…
10-14 07:51:32	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x5ab5d8…
10-14 07:00:41	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe68b17…
10-14 06:46:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x740b74…
10-14 06:25:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5ad022…
10-14 06:19:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0a04d1…
10-14 06:13:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x663a41…
10-14 06:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5232d7…
10-14 03:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd88f34…
10-14 03:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7dcc29…
10-14 00:22:18	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x374aec…
10-13 23:37:43	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x053587…
10-13 16:01:21	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9ab3cc…
10-13 16:01:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd8cc5b…
10-13 15:34:31	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x158745…
10-13 15:23:16	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd7f6b6…
10-13 12:27:05	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x965349…
10-13 11:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x66ac6f…
10-13 08:18:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7f602c…
10-13 08:13:49	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x37633b…
10-13 08:10:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x03228e…
10-13 07:23:35	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0c8456…
10-13 07:16:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd52177…
10-13 07:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37d4e4…
10-13 06:23:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9b2f92…
10-13 06:16:36	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0dfd10…
10-13 06:13:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc7251d…
10-13 06:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcbaff7…
10-13 06:09:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc917a5…
10-13 04:00:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6b4ecf…
10-13 03:01:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcd3015…
10-13 03:01:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xefd3da…
10-13 01:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x64dbfc…
10-12 20:30:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe36e32…
10-12 20:14:59	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb48285…
10-12 19:00:57	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xeb71cf…
10-12 17:22:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x059695…
10-12 16:58:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xda225a…
10-12 16:26:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbae4f7…
10-12 15:34:21	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc5f88c…