Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

208

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-05 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 80% -$196

Other

8% 84% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+19	$15	100¢	$18	+$3	10-18 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	2	$50	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	10-19 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$50	71	0	+71	Up	+$22	10-24 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Up	-$50	10-20 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Down	+$12	10-22 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	76	0	+76	Down	-$50	10-19 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Down	+$9	10-23 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	-$50	10-22 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	10-20 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$7	10-20 04:59
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$7	10-20 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Down	-$50	10-25 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$7	10-21 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$8	10-21 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$7	10-24 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$7	10-20 09:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Down	-$50	10-20 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	10-23 21:29
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Down	+$9	10-20 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$50	61	0	+61	Up	+$12	10-20 09:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	-$50	10-23 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	10-20 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Up	+$7	10-20 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	10-25 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$8	10-24 04:39
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$9	10-20 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$8	10-24 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Down	+$8	10-22 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$38	44	0	+44	Down	+$6	10-22 09:14
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$33	38	0	+38	Up	+$5	10-22 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$29	33	0	+33	Up	+$4	10-22 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8b72ff…
11-05 17:44:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x5e3220…
11-05 08:44:28	BNB Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xf0b150…
11-05 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x500669…
11-05 07:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe37517…
11-05 06:14:01	BNB Up or Down - November 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xdccbde…
11-05 02:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x131e2f…
11-04 21:59:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x87ec95…
11-04 19:14:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x97afe4…
11-04 15:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b4d0e…
11-04 14:29:01	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xfae65d…
11-04 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4d0351…
11-04 13:44:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xca24f1…
11-04 12:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdcab58…
11-04 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x48a8b1…
11-04 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaceeca…
11-04 02:14:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x1e7b72…
11-03 23:44:03	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa54eb4…
11-03 16:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x01d28e…
11-03 09:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xadc51b…
11-03 08:14:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1c960f…
11-03 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc624eb…
11-03 01:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2209eb…
11-03 00:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaf0867…
11-02 11:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x425b06…
11-02 09:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x30f89b…
11-02 08:14:04	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x4e5888…
11-02 05:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x848d76…
11-01 21:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbb0c9a…
11-01 14:59:03	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x7aaee4…
11-01 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x14353a…
11-01 04:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2ab6a4…
10-31 23:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe6ba0d…
10-31 17:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x59fdfb…
10-31 16:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x59514a…
10-31 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf4861a…
10-31 12:14:13	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xc594c4…
10-31 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x66d81b…
10-31 10:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0c3146…
10-31 08:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0e2699…
10-31 07:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x92f5be…
10-31 04:29:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xfe8c2c…
10-31 04:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaa2669…
10-31 04:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa1576d…
10-31 01:59:16	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x9f9b99…
10-31 01:14:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf0d071…
10-30 19:14:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x37ed4a…
10-30 18:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xfb3f55…
10-30 18:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x344e23…
10-30 16:14:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x2ea015…
10-30 14:29:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x74d4ee…
10-30 13:09:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2985a3…
10-30 11:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9f5026…
10-30 08:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x352b90…
10-30 07:59:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x14d9c3…
10-30 04:14:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x44c59b…
10-30 01:44:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe715de…
10-30 01:44:01	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xad15a9…
10-30 01:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf87283…
10-29 21:59:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xa3f085…
10-29 21:59:01	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa3ec40…
10-29 21:44:16	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xc31a73…
10-29 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb11d13…
10-29 08:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc619f3…
10-29 08:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8d8f3f…
10-28 21:14:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xfdea79…
10-28 21:14:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x33cab3…
10-28 16:29:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x019131…
10-28 13:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd20a8b…
10-28 13:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf7f7cf…
10-28 13:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc308ad…
10-28 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x70f178…
10-28 13:14:07	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x711cf8…
10-28 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x96ebc3…
10-28 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x14c1f4…
10-27 23:44:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x640edb…
10-27 19:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1db512…
10-27 19:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbee5d4…
10-27 14:59:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x1476ef…
10-27 14:29:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf924c6…
10-27 14:29:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd8e30b…
10-27 06:44:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xaa9e08…
10-26 20:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9e096b…
10-26 02:14:02	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2726b9…
10-25 23:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x765c80…
10-25 08:14:02	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x4b6271…
10-25 04:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xecf031…
10-25 03:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x001346…
10-24 15:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xebdcb8…
10-24 06:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0x454886…
10-24 06:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	69¢	$50	0xfaba01…
10-24 04:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xa62ed2…
10-24 04:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x7e7b86…
10-24 02:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x82571a…
10-23 21:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xad8613…
10-23 19:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x40d928…
10-23 06:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xfabcde…
10-23 00:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xa7838a…
10-22 18:29:03	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x40eb2e…
10-22 18:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x073618…