Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$63.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$609

Open exposure

$556

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-31 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

75% 30% -$17,947

Other

25% 100% +$1,413

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No		-568	-$523	98¢	$-556	-$33	05-31 06:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$10.0K	13,393	0	+13,393	Yes	-$10,000	04-05 07:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$8.8K	6,527	3,264	+3,264	No	+$969	04-01 04:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$8.8K	6,630	3,315	+3,315	No	+$1,127	04-01 04:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$8.4K	4,474	4,474	+0	Yes	+$365	04-07 08:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$7.0K	7,248	1,549	+5,698	Yes	-$4,977	04-06 02:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$5.3K	5,341	5,341	+0	Yes	+$337	04-12 06:35
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	8	$4.0K	4,434	0	+4,434	No	+$434	03-26 14:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$2.0K	3,813	0	+3,813	Yes	-$2,000	04-04 12:35
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$2.0K	3,064	0	+3,064	Yes	-$2,000	04-04 12:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,282	1,282	+0	No	+$0	04-08 12:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$1.0K	847	847	+0	No	+$46	04-12 06:36
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$990	576	576	+0	No	-$10	03-27 05:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$523	0	568	-568	open	—	05-31 06:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$500	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$500	04-03 12:38
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	16	$476	691	578	+113	Yes	-$224	04-12 10:16
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	3	$401	1,638	1,638	+0	Yes	+$1	04-10 09:28
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$364	652	652	+0	No	-$36	04-09 17:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$214	475	475	+0	No	+$14	04-11 09:43
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$173	102	102	+0	No	+$10	04-08 07:00
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	2	$170	3,535	3,535	+0	No	-$30	04-10 06:48
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	2	$35	4,656	4,656	+0	No	-$25	04-10 06:50
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$17	658	0	+658	Yes	-$17	03-10 03:08
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	2	$13	1,415	1,415	+0	No	-$7	04-10 06:51
military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	1	$10	347	0	+347	Yes	-$10	04-12 14:39
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	04-10 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:15:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	568	92¢	$523	0xee215e…
04-12 14:39:37	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	347	3¢	$10	0xe8c531…
04-12 10:16:25	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	113	20¢	$22	0x00887e…
04-12 08:10:05	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x32a642…
04-12 06:36:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	SELL	847	64¢	$546	0x6c9b50…
04-12 06:35:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1,049	54¢	$571	0x997f8e…
04-12 03:54:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xfb0f15…
04-12 03:50:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x4120f1…
04-12 03:50:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	420	48¢	$200	0xab1510…
04-12 03:49:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xfaceac…
04-11 11:39:43	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	465	22¢	$104	0x5f45bf…
04-11 11:30:07	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x036490…
04-11 11:25:11	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7052d2…
04-11 11:23:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc746db…
04-11 11:22:35	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2e477c…
04-11 11:22:27	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x34ed36…
04-11 11:22:11	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xd50186…
04-11 11:19:03	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6049d9…
04-11 11:14:31	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7df319…
04-11 11:14:21	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x630152…
04-11 11:13:15	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc07abf…
04-11 11:12:03	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc7a2ab…
04-11 11:09:13	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa76752…
04-11 10:52:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd719db…
04-11 09:43:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	475	24¢	$114	0x753aa3…
04-11 07:50:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	475	21¢	$100	0x126f01…
04-10 12:18:55	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa9e308…
04-10 09:28:11	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	1,638	12¢	$201	0xb64946…
04-10 07:20:47	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	805	12¢	$100	0xc26e22…
04-10 07:19:09	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xa93ed9…
04-10 06:51:27	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,415	0¢	$3	0x969f3e…
04-10 06:50:15	Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,656	0¢	$5	0x893dbf…
04-10 06:48:35	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,535	2¢	$70	0x1c4b09…
04-10 04:42:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,535	3¢	$100	0x9bf1c5…
04-10 04:40:21	Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,656	1¢	$30	0xe1eb5f…
04-10 04:39:17	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,415	1¢	$10	0x776c0b…
04-10 04:22:35	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ad48e…
04-09 19:14:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,268	51¢	$1,158	0x87a1d0…
04-09 17:18:51	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	652	25¢	$164	0x409e2c…
04-09 16:57:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	892	45¢	$400	0x6e1e12…
04-09 16:53:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xa994b8…
04-09 16:44:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	933	43¢	$400	0xb2f746…
04-09 16:23:35	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	652	31¢	$200	0x8fd910…
04-09 16:05:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0xed49cc…
04-09 13:53:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,024	55¢	$1,109	0x56a3c6…
04-09 08:10:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	998	50¢	$500	0x6cdda6…
04-09 06:45:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	615	49¢	$300	0x327d6a…
04-09 06:45:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	411	49¢	$200	0xef403d…
04-08 12:57:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x97bf8f…
04-08 11:37:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0xb9cbc3…
04-08 07:00:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	102	90¢	$91	0x40eb30…
04-08 06:44:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	102	80¢	$81	0x73dc1a…
04-07 08:44:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,047	96¢	$1,009	0xd68b94…
04-06 04:48:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,047	96¢	$1,000	0xa649a1…
04-06 02:48:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xa7bc7e…
04-05 07:10:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,410	83¢	$2,000	0xd4608d…
04-04 12:36:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x92bc0b…
04-04 12:35:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0x571fbf…
04-04 04:44:41	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	1,961	51¢	$1,000	0xde761b…
04-04 04:44:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1,385	65¢	$900	0x891cce…
04-03 12:38:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x21ec5e…
04-03 07:59:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xcd5fd5…
04-03 06:59:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,469	81¢	$2,000	0xd24a07…
04-02 13:30:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x357f2c…
04-02 11:09:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3,427	98¢	$3,355	0x789860…
04-02 07:27:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,222	90¢	$2,000	0x61c851…
04-02 07:07:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,208	71¢	$3,000	0x8e901c…
04-02 03:48:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x8d911f…
04-02 02:25:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x3c0b66…
04-02 02:09:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x1ac7bd…
04-02 02:08:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x10c30c…
04-02 01:55:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x094e81…
04-01 04:26:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3,264	100¢	$3,260	0xc2db33…
04-01 04:21:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,315	100¢	$3,312	0x3d90e5…
03-29 15:00:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xcdd375…
03-27 15:03:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xa3c4ad…
03-27 05:15:43	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	576	85¢	$490	0x2efa75…
03-26 14:20:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xa4f153…
03-26 14:18:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x35d721…
03-26 05:46:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,091	92¢	$1,000	0xf6e098…
03-26 05:39:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xae1171…
03-26 01:30:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	1,549	66¢	$1,023	0x831e89…
03-25 03:07:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x0c6324…
03-24 10:14:49	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	576	87¢	$500	0xd96856…
03-24 05:01:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x05c5f3…
03-23 13:13:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,087	81¢	$2,500	0x82f1ca…
03-23 12:56:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	756	66¢	$500	0x426ccc…
03-23 12:56:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x5e268a…
03-23 12:49:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x7f0e77…
03-23 12:48:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,239	81¢	$1,000	0xf66e39…
03-23 05:47:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	449	89¢	$400	0x0d6e46…
03-22 13:52:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1420e0…
03-21 09:39:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe4c74d…
03-21 00:53:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x86de0c…
03-17 09:23:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x593955…
03-10 03:08:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	658	3¢	$17	0xb5c256…
02-28 09:24:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,315	76¢	$1,000	0xcabe62…
02-28 09:10:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,325	75¢	$1,000	0x371d7f…
02-11 08:34:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,634	92¢	$1,500	0x3399d0…
02-10 09:39:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,093	91¢	$1,000	0xbbe282…