Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 09-15 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

75% 52% +$0

Politics

21% 50% -$5

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-11 16:49
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-07 22:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-16 06:51
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-04 01:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-06 13:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-10 08:14
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-12 18:54
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-15 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-15 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 16:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-15 21:48
will xauusd reach 4150 by august 3 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 00:05
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-15 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-23 02:32
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-06 22:32
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-07 12:02
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-21 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 23:04
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-28 19:36
will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-19 14:06
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-03 12:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-16 17:05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-01 17:46
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-05 21:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-06 05:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 11:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-04 01:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-18 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 16:28:36	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1fbb00…
09-11 16:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbfefc3…
09-10 08:14:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3c30d7…
09-10 00:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4fbdce…
09-08 14:29:31	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf96297…
09-08 06:25:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb08c2d…
09-07 22:23:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x00baea…
09-07 12:02:30	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xccd941…
09-03 12:31:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xde0023…
09-03 01:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd13d0e…
09-02 14:47:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb26849…
09-02 06:24:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa3f228…
09-01 17:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x020f96…
09-01 08:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x429f9f…
08-29 12:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xedab7b…
08-29 03:45:12	Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x46ec77…
08-28 19:36:30	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x04d4a8…
08-24 22:57:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe88805…
08-23 11:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1845a8…
08-23 02:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x813a76…
08-21 15:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x440310…
08-21 07:30:46	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x411c53…
08-20 23:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf250d9…
08-19 14:06:36	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7d9aa0…
08-19 05:41:58	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdbf86e…
08-18 19:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd62702…
08-18 11:18:00	Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x980e10…
08-18 03:17:36	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbb8f1a…
08-16 17:05:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcbfdb0…
08-16 06:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xba85a0…
08-15 21:48:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcd89d2…
08-15 13:10:07	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8fc789…
08-15 05:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf514c1…
08-13 19:08:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8ee481…
08-13 11:04:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x59305e…
08-13 03:03:45	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x27188f…
08-12 18:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x09b5c0…
08-06 22:32:32	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1239c6…
08-06 13:56:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7be007…
08-06 05:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x48c7bf…
08-05 21:50:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5b53e7…
08-05 13:49:23	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd33def…
08-05 05:49:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x30127f…
08-04 21:48:48	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4aff65…
08-04 01:48:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdb92c3…
08-04 01:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9e6c9f…
08-03 17:46:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x323313…
08-03 09:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x030351…
08-03 00:05:48	will xauusd reach 4150 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x41ad5b…
08-02 16:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xaffb19…
08-02 07:55:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4e376d…
08-01 23:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x91b526…
08-01 14:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x05693b…
08-01 06:08:09	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xaa74dc…
07-31 22:07:09	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb6d359…
07-31 14:06:42	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd6f5c0…
07-31 05:58:23	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe37713…
07-30 13:12:18	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb60545…
07-30 02:28:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x201cbe…
07-29 14:59:05	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6f4d3e…
07-28 06:39:12	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe4e00c…
07-27 18:35:09	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4fcfd1…
07-27 04:19:34	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb21247…
07-26 16:16:54	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xcac64b…
07-26 04:16:33	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x11cc26…