Safe-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$534

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-08 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$10

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-04 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	open	—	05-20 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	2	$1.0K	1,035	+1,035	open	—	05-19 01:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$1.0K	1,021	+1,021	open	—	05-18 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$1.0K	1,018	+1,018	open	—	05-17 00:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$1.0K	1,016	+1,016	open	—	05-16 01:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$1.0K	1,012	+1,012	open	—	05-15 00:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	3	$1.0K	1,010	+1,010	open	—	05-14 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$1.0K	1,007	+1,007	No	+$1	05-12 11:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	4	$1.0K	1,008	+1,008	Yes	+$2	05-13 07:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	2	$998	1,005	+1,005	No	+$7	05-11 10:33
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	06-08 12:30
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-04 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:30:15	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf710e7…
06-04 04:26:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x04f7cc…
05-20 01:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,036	0x9726f5…
05-19 01:20:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	888	99¢	$876	0x9bb67e…
05-19 01:05:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$145	0x99e04c…
05-18 02:48:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,018	0xace8b2…
05-17 00:42:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,018	100¢	$1,016	0xf11247…
05-16 01:28:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,016	100¢	$1,013	0x2d6d71…
05-15 00:57:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,009	0xfdd58f…
05-14 02:53:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	593	100¢	$592	0x9b83a2…
05-14 02:39:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca66c7…
05-14 02:20:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0xe1dbe4…
05-13 07:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	405	100¢	$404	0xe1b0a4…
05-13 06:21:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd45cf0…
05-13 06:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa51a52…
05-13 06:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xef6757…
05-12 11:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,007	100¢	$1,006	0x9e0e00…
05-11 10:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	577	99¢	$572	0x610c46…
05-11 10:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$425	0x6500f3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	12	$500	224	06-06 22:21
Sparkling-Prevalence 0xdea2…a81e	11	$39.2K	76	06-08 08:32
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	11	$19.4K	271	06-07 06:00
(anonymous) 0x86a2…73a8	11	$14.9K	1,028	06-08 13:03
Outrageous-Table 0x19fc…b4e3	10	$99.2K	327	05-20 01:29
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	10	$92.8K	486	05-20 02:55
Funny-Drudgery 0xd1d1…0422	10	$8.12K	14	06-08 12:30
Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b	10	$1.01K	322	06-08 01:27