Lighthearted-Ideology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$380

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

322

Trades

1,214

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 09-06 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 68% -$38

Other

18% 50% -$368

Sports

1% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?	25	$708	367	367	+0	Yes	+$25	05-16 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	28	$700	813	0	+813	Up	-$700	05-17 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	6	$658	340	340	+0	Yes	+$19	05-16 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	26	$650	799	0	+799	Down	+$54	05-17 16:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?	40	$630	323	323	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	21	$525	562	0	+562	Up	+$37	05-17 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	2	$453	239	239	+0	Yes	+$23	05-16 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	18	$438	666	0	+666	Up	+$8	05-17 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	17	$425	519	0	+519	Up	+$94	05-17 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	10	$404	516	81	+435	Up	+$40	05-17 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	5	$389	200	200	+0	Yes	+$9	05-16 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	9	$384	479	39	+440	Down	+$75	05-17 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	15	$375	438	0	+438	Down	+$63	05-17 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	14	$348	452	0	+452	Down	+$103	05-17 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	13	$325	390	0	+390	Down	+$65	05-17 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$300	330	0	+330	Up	+$30	05-17 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$275	317	0	+317	Down	+$42	05-17 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	10	$275	301	0	+301	Up	+$26	05-17 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	4	$274	141	141	+0	Yes	+$8	05-16 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$274	234	234	+0	Down	+$24	05-16 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 16?	4	$270	300	0	+300	No	-$270	05-16 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	11	$258	331	61	+270	Up	+$28	05-17 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$250	370	0	+370	Down	-$129	05-17 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	10	$250	306	0	+306	Down	+$56	05-17 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$250	270	0	+270	Up	+$20	05-17 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	9	$248	208	208	+0	Down	-$2	05-16 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 16?	4	$232	130	130	+0	Yes	+$27	05-16 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	9	$225	253	0	+253	Up	+$28	05-17 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$225	228	0	+228	Down	+$3	05-17 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?	4	$219	119	119	-0	Yes	+$5	05-16 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 18:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdf95e0…
09-06 18:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf35673…
09-06 18:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x973cff…
09-06 18:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xefce22…
09-06 18:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x02dfde…
09-06 16:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x602dd2…
09-06 16:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5936a6…
09-06 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3ce7fc…
09-06 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae8682…
09-06 15:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x94d6e9…
09-06 15:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x94ec4e…
09-06 15:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaa2cc6…
09-06 15:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe51371…
09-06 14:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x140ed6…
09-06 14:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf308bf…
09-06 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf1be03…
09-06 14:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8490ba…
09-06 14:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe608f7…
09-06 14:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8fe7c3…
09-06 14:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xad3ece…
09-06 13:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xabaadd…
09-06 13:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7b08fa…
09-06 13:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd6cf35…
09-06 13:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x18eaad…
09-06 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5fba10…
09-06 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xed164e…
09-06 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x53fd5f…
09-06 13:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x854b72…
09-06 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf1ce12…
09-06 13:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xbda407…
09-05 19:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xce50ee…
09-05 19:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x452bc9…
09-05 19:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8332c2…
09-05 18:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbe12b0…
09-05 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf9fcb3…
09-05 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11a5eb…
09-05 17:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x06e82d…
09-05 17:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf1ce60…
09-05 17:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0c12ed…
09-05 17:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x51a5a2…
09-05 17:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdba5a2…
09-05 17:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xebbc47…
09-05 17:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x163b79…
09-05 17:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x29c842…
09-05 17:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x40da0f…
09-05 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x631770…
09-05 17:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xa968e0…
09-05 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc92f6f…
09-05 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x1566fc…
09-05 17:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x17c42a…
09-05 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x409f58…
09-05 17:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcc364a…
09-05 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x66a818…
09-05 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x37a4c3…
09-05 16:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x02bf79…
09-05 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xe595fc…
09-05 16:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3b65a9…
09-05 16:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd2ec29…
09-05 16:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xeaa7e5…
09-05 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x7e6ed5…
09-05 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9c52aa…
09-05 16:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd07601…
09-05 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x98ba74…
09-05 16:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x094fa9…
09-05 16:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0xf88a63…
09-05 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x5cf134…
09-05 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1d6436…
09-05 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9f2f3a…
09-05 15:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6101de…
09-05 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8b45cc…
09-05 15:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x44e382…
09-05 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x90e698…
09-05 12:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0x81d965…
09-05 12:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc63ac8…
09-05 12:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x9b21b9…
09-05 12:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x857912…
09-05 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd768c1…
09-05 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xae8d4f…
09-05 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa7b558…
09-05 12:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb1efbf…
09-05 12:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4da3c5…
09-05 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0xcb75d8…
09-05 12:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xa4507c…
09-05 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0x493bda…
09-05 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xa2dbaf…
09-05 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7f8ba4…
09-05 12:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7737ef…
09-05 12:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x374aa4…
09-05 12:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x6fcd21…
09-05 12:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x9b19f9…
09-05 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x47f5a6…
09-05 12:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0xff1faf…
09-05 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xbfb6e8…
09-05 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x055ad0…
09-05 12:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x955854…
09-05 12:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7f4200…
09-05 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x27b4b8…
09-05 11:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x056ac5…
09-05 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe9f8bb…
09-05 11:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0x68a34c…