Understated-Papaya — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

152

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-15 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

89% 91% -$14

Sports

11% 41% -$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	4	$93	48	48	+0	Yes	+$2	05-31 13:07
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	2	$88	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	2	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	4	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 11?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	07-10 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	06-25 03:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 16?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-15 13:59
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-07 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on July 4?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-04 04:28
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on July 14?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-13 17:29
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 10?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-09 12:53
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 2?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-02 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	06-30 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-05 07:36
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 5?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	06-04 23:34
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 7?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	07-06 22:10
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on June 11?	2	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	06-11 12:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 27?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-26 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on July 3?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	07-02 22:52
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 1?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-31 23:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 10?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-09 21:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 29?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-29 08:16
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-19 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	3	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 10:59
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-20 16:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on June 22?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-22 00:10
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	04-04 12:54
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	3	$32	29	29	+0	No	-$20	04-12 23:52
highest temperature in milan on march 25 2026 17c	1	$31	35	0	+35	Yes	+$4	03-25 14:08
nba phi was 2026 04 01 total 245pt5	1	$30	31	0	+31	Over	+$1	04-02 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 13:59:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5f11dc…
07-13 17:29:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x67eec9…
07-12 00:08:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfd5af…
07-12 00:08:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x834f76…
07-12 00:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f70e9…
07-10 16:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 11?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xe66433…
07-09 12:53:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xa2cb4b…
07-07 20:51:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xedcf6d…
07-06 22:10:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 7?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb38336…
07-05 07:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x8e9036…
07-04 04:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on July 4?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xa74e1c…
07-02 22:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x440926…
07-02 06:43:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 2?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xe1f143…
06-30 07:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3932ff…
06-29 08:16:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf29a20…
06-26 16:18:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1e4031…
06-25 03:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x079d5f…
06-22 00:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa51fe3…
06-22 00:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x514942…
06-20 16:07:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcbbf94…
06-19 08:03:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x69c6e7…
06-11 12:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on June 11?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x46ee19…
06-11 09:23:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on June 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ec832…
06-09 21:50:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 10?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x48a3e0…
06-08 22:30:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x082c43…
06-08 22:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x270254…
06-04 23:34:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x0ab41f…
05-31 23:08:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x977317…
05-31 13:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x3ce880…
05-31 11:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7b9be8…
05-31 07:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xde5b82…
05-31 07:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x807b4c…
05-26 08:20:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x62e145…
05-25 12:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3689d7…
05-25 12:33:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29bd26…
05-20 01:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on May 19?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x813b42…
05-20 00:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 19?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xde88b9…
05-20 00:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcefb4a…
05-20 00:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 19?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xee9106…
05-20 00:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa4148…
05-20 00:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67c5f5…
05-20 00:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 19?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xea7d0c…
05-13 14:54:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xd9df4d…
05-13 12:32:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x0dc1fe…
05-11 10:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x46a78c…
05-10 15:01:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x809354…
05-10 03:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6bb620…
05-10 01:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcba3b0…
05-10 01:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cb93a…
05-10 01:25:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd68738…
05-03 18:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7f0ab8…
05-03 01:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x354eb1…
05-03 01:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x377cd1…
05-03 01:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x03d212…
05-03 01:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6e152…
05-03 01:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2cb29…
05-03 01:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeef1f6…
04-28 00:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6ff222…
04-28 00:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x391ad2…
04-28 00:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa7ed80…
04-27 23:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa6420e…
04-27 16:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbedf78…
04-27 08:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc6face…
04-20 00:57:52	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x24d190…
04-20 00:54:02	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb648e3…
04-19 09:12:30	bun fre hei 2026 04 19 fre	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x174afa…
04-19 09:10:06	sea ver mil 2026 04 19 mil	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfa7e3b…
04-19 09:09:26	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb72a7b…
04-19 09:08:34	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x63e754…
04-19 09:07:14	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x095622…
04-19 09:03:18	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x853489…
04-19 09:03:08	nba orl det 2026 04 19 total 218pt5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc28cc2…
04-19 09:03:02	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1babb7…
04-19 09:02:44	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 total 213pt5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8e2c25…
04-18 16:40:40	highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x98a939…
04-18 16:37:36	highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xc6ff94…
04-18 16:34:44	highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x094c6c…
04-18 16:33:54	highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xc3c924…
04-17 22:12:20	highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x0528de…
04-14 09:09:45	highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dbae0…
04-13 00:13:25	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xa08190…
04-12 23:59:39	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Celtics	BUY	8	78¢	$7	0xffe50c…
04-12 23:52:29	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xd56dce…
04-12 07:18:07	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x64c395…
04-12 07:18:07	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x2887cd…
04-07 03:12:29	highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xb490a6…
04-07 03:11:35	highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xea77d4…
04-04 12:54:51	highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x64c104…
04-02 00:43:33	nba atl orl 2026 04 01 spread away 2pt5	Hawks	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdc3a1d…
04-02 00:39:15	nba phi was 2026 04 01 total 245pt5	Over	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x60d466…
03-29 04:44:30	highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 20c	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x162487…
03-29 03:32:06	highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x333c31…
03-29 03:26:12	highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x68a733…
03-29 03:25:20	highest temperature in chengdu on march 29 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x916f3c…
03-25 14:08:31	highest temperature in milan on march 25 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x87fbf0…
03-19 00:50:29	nba tor chi 2026 03 18 total 235pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd01cd5…
03-19 00:50:15	nba uta min 2026 03 18 total 234pt5	Under	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8e6773…
03-19 00:23:11	nba atl dal 2026 03 18 spread away 8pt5	Mavericks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x135934…
03-19 00:22:13	nba atl dal 2026 03 18 total 237pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xba7460…
03-19 00:21:23	nba okc bkn 2026 03 18 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1fd03a…