Vague-Counselor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

3,518

Trades

8,698

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-02 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 49% -$488

Other

35% 42% -$19

Sports

15% 44% +$229

Politics

2% 21% +$124

Tech

0% 67% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-526	-$10	1¢	$-3	+$7	04-29 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06	9	$867	705	576	+130	Team Liquid	+$35	06-06 23:16
lol we blg 2026 06 13	4	$630	350	350	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$70	06-13 13:36
lol g2nord ps1 2026 06 10	2	$626	326	326	+0	G2 NORD	+$26	06-10 16:34
iran closes its airspace by june 15	5	$547	557	557	+0	Yes	+$423	06-07 20:53
mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	12	$490	439	439	+0	Athletics	+$33	06-10 04:43
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	3	$458	315	211	+104	Yes	-$38	06-14 06:14
mlb cws phi 2026 06 05	13	$437	275	275	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$33	06-06 01:30
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	5	$322	219	219	+0	New York Yankees	+$56	06-10 01:42
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	4	$321	226	226	+0	BIG	+$71	06-05 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	20	$321	52,782	37	+52,745	Yes	-$263	06-17 20:16
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	8	$288	179	179	+0	Texas Rangers	+$68	06-03 03:53
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	2	$285	185	185	+0	Germany	+$85	06-14 19:04
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 13	3	$281	332	123	+208	Spirit	-$219	06-13 20:36
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	7	$273	311	311	+0	Knicks	+$100	06-06 03:16
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	9	$271	275	275	+0	Yes	+$29	06-11 04:04
lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	4	$267	251	251	+0	Saigon Warriors	-$13	06-10 15:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 02:15 UTC	72	$263	184	177	+7	Up	+$95	04-06 02:30
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5	2	$241	143	143	+0	Under	+$41	06-15 00:45
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	6	$237	237	237	+0	Boston Red Sox	-$9	06-13 22:37
mlb min det 2026 06 10	2	$229	130	130	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$29	06-11 03:11
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	3	$227	150	150	+0	Yes	+$67	06-18 20:43
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	10	$223	115	115	+0	Alexander Zverev	$0	06-05 15:16
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	3	$222	149	149	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$39	06-03 01:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 09:15 UTC	3	$218	208	182	+26	Down	+$143	06-18 09:28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	7	$211	165	165	+0	Team WE	+$105	06-01 11:37
bkisrsl mac2 hap4 2026 06 12	2	$209	109	109	+0	Maccabi Tel-Aviv	+$9	06-12 13:55
lol fsk kcb 2026 06 12	2	$207	111	111	+0	Karmine Corp Blue	+$7	06-12 19:38
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	8	$206	348	165	+183	LGD Gaming	-$44	06-02 13:31
lol gen kt 2026 06 13	2	$205	105	105	+0	Gen.G	+$5	06-13 09:56
lol fur los 2026 06 06	2	$204	120	120	+0	FURIA Esports	+$36	06-06 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 01:41:53	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x405d7a…
10-01 13:31:29	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x131a14…
10-01 13:25:39	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8f0d55…
09-26 09:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xab0095…
09-26 04:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc0cc3e…
09-25 16:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9dd622…
09-25 15:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0e107a…
09-25 15:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeb8dea…
09-25 15:00:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0f76fe…
09-25 14:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6ac246…
09-25 13:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8b8aaa…
09-25 13:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8abe8a…
09-24 03:42:56	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc8c0c0…
09-24 03:01:55	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd81f45…
09-24 03:01:25	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9497a3…
09-24 03:01:11	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb45e1c…
09-24 03:00:53	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9bb262…
09-24 02:58:20	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xdf75d6…
09-24 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x03b375…
09-24 02:33:04	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x64fdbb…
09-24 02:32:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x169328…
09-24 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe4f6c8…
09-24 02:22:11	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe64a51…
09-24 02:17:48	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd5e287…
09-24 02:06:23	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xae900c…
09-24 01:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8bbe55…
09-24 01:41:47	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x344f10…
09-24 01:40:35	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x30d7da…
09-23 02:36:23	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf11c86…
09-23 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x884882…
09-22 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb5dd55…
09-22 23:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe3e2bf…
09-22 23:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7adc23…
09-22 23:02:05	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xaa2c4a…
09-22 22:51:43	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa13c55…
09-22 21:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x7e9205…
09-22 21:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa581cc…
09-22 21:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9771aa…
09-22 21:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x778213…
09-22 21:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc3821d…
09-22 21:46:35	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x089388…
09-22 21:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x64293f…
09-22 21:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4b9442…
09-22 21:32:19	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x36c494…
09-22 21:28:22	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0xb16e90…
09-22 21:27:07	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5a10d5…
09-22 21:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xd88952…
09-22 21:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf04dbb…
09-22 21:06:13	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd2e5d1…
09-22 20:56:48	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6d64e8…
09-22 20:55:19	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xec6867…
09-22 20:51:40	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x990b3f…
09-22 20:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x57ac0a…
09-22 20:28:03	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb32de4…
09-22 20:17:06	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x719f31…
09-22 20:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb1ef32…
09-22 20:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9ae499…
09-22 19:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x634e7d…
09-22 19:43:09	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x466367…
09-22 19:41:27	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf38143…
09-22 19:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe82d37…
09-22 13:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x355771…
09-22 13:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x40281f…
09-22 12:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbb1910…
09-22 09:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf16c95…
09-22 09:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e1456…
09-22 09:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbf8267…
09-22 08:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7310a9…
09-22 05:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8621a6…
09-22 03:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa1763b…
09-22 02:58:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa030bd…
09-22 01:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3fb82a…
09-22 01:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd544d2…
09-22 00:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x667df0…
09-22 00:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb23633…
09-22 00:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2bb8f5…
09-21 23:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea582b…
09-21 23:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc17016…
09-21 22:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf27336…
09-21 16:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x53b175…
09-21 09:33:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9d6304…
09-21 08:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x184bbe…
09-21 08:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4e21de…
09-21 06:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8d92e3…
09-21 02:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1538e7…
09-21 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf13947…
09-21 01:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcb2519…
09-21 00:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0b1cbd…
09-21 00:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc9bf75…
09-21 00:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf2ea3c…
09-20 23:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x075bc9…
09-20 16:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe9c8ec…
09-20 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x078917…
09-20 15:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf001ac…
09-20 04:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa6651c…
09-20 03:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9b421a…
09-20 02:56:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xabaf88…
09-20 02:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6d0f19…
09-19 20:47:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbce737…
09-19 20:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbd7a41…