Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$517

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-24 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Sports

45% 50% -$825

Politics

22% 50% -$145

Other

17% 64% +$453

Crypto

14% 67% -$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	10-24 23:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba hou ind 2026 02 02	2	$714	2,100	0	+2,100	Rockets	-$714	02-02 02:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$493	0	1,202	-1,202	Yes	-$108	03-08 05:14
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	1	$225	500	0	+500	No	+$275	01-28 06:32
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-28 06:32
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-28 06:33
nba mil okc 2026 02 12	1	$164	200	0	+200	Bucks	-$164	02-12 21:20
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	1	$144	200	0	+200	Lakers	+$56	02-12 21:21
nba por uta 2026 02 12	1	$142	200	0	+200	Trail Blazers	+$58	02-12 21:21
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-26 19:08
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-26 19:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	03-26 19:10
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	03-26 19:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$81	81	0	+81	Yes	+$0	03-26 19:17
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$64	200	0	+200	No	-$64	01-28 06:34
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$35	500	0	+500	No	-$35	02-12 21:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	10-24 23:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-19 05:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 05:43
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-12 00:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$11	200	0	+200	No	+$189	02-12 21:24
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-07 07:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-03 02:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 05:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	-$10	02-12 21:25
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$1	300	0	+300	No	-$1	03-26 19:15
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$1	300	0	+300	No	-$1	03-26 19:10
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$1	400	0	+400	No	-$1	03-26 19:14
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$1	400	0	+400	No	-$1	03-26 19:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	03-26 19:13
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	03-26 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:39:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9a414f…
09-19 05:05:12	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9c6126…
08-14 05:43:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3e2549…
07-12 00:27:08	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa316d2…
06-08 05:13:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3ff23…
05-03 02:56:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3f024…
04-07 07:21:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06c28e…
03-26 19:17:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xef4ce2…
03-26 19:15:07	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xfbf56f…
03-26 19:14:03	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xbf4355…
03-26 19:13:35	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x42ade5…
03-26 19:13:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xaac099…
03-26 19:12:47	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc294e7…
03-26 19:11:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xebb9d3…
03-26 19:10:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x353e11…
03-26 19:10:01	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xdb2000…
03-26 19:09:39	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x04e651…
03-26 19:08:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7652e…
03-08 05:14:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xdb182b…
03-08 05:14:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x363401…
03-08 05:14:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	565	37¢	$209	0x2a7532…
03-08 04:51:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	272	45¢	$122	0x892c1c…
03-08 04:49:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	330	45¢	$148	0x0d3d76…
02-12 21:25:37	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x1b4b95…
02-12 21:25:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x15b50f…
02-12 21:24:33	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x9cb9ac…
02-12 21:21:45	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Lakers	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x57f8d4…
02-12 21:21:21	nba por uta 2026 02 12	Trail Blazers	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x6c923c…
02-12 21:20:51	nba mil okc 2026 02 12	Thunder	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x7fb939…
02-02 02:32:46	nba hou ind 2026 02 02	Pacers	BUY	192	34¢	$65	0x9547d5…
02-02 02:32:36	nba hou ind 2026 02 02	Pacers	BUY	1,908	34¢	$649	0x882900…
01-28 06:34:35	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x2ef143…
01-28 06:33:13	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0371c2…
01-28 06:32:55	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x619f70…
01-28 06:32:37	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	No	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x4f06e9…