Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-01 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-11

Other

16% 100% +$4

Crypto

14% 0% $-12

Sports

10% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	131	$813	774	782	-8	Yes	$-11	04-27 19:26
Hurricanes vs. Senators	5	$68	76	48	+27	open	—	04-25 10:15
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$46	48	8	+39	open	—	04-18 15:23
2026 soccer copa del rey winner atltico madrid	5	$33	34	14	+21	open	—	04-17 23:39
will meta close above 670 week april 17 2026	3	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 18:02
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	5	$21	29	0	+29	open	—	04-09 17:54
bitcoin above 74k on april 20	1	$19	27	0	+27	open	—	04-19 21:44
will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event 821 318	1	$18	33	0	+33	open	—	04-21 23:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	05-20 02:22
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	05-09 11:40
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	4	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-09 19:00
will phoenix suns advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 23:29
will charlotte hornets advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	4	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	04-17 19:39
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	4	$13	13	7	+6	open	—	04-27 21:06
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	3	$13	19	0	+19	open	—	04-16 00:14
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	6	$13	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 16:16
Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 20:12
will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 18:02
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	2	$12	12	12	+0	No	$-4	05-07 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$11	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-15 09:11
unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-16 01:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 9	4	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-09 11:07
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	07-01 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-15 06:33
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	5	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-09 16:59
bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	07-01 05:12
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-17 18:02
stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-15 23:18
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-03 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:08:52	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xde9ab5…
07-01 05:12:32	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x134f12…
05-21 03:40:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x36da08…
05-21 03:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xec35c5…
05-20 02:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xf441cc…
05-20 00:33:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfc01a1…
05-15 20:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xf441eb…
05-15 20:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x13a13e…
05-15 14:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd27658…
05-15 14:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67043e…
05-15 14:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdb37ce…
05-15 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x59f8f7…
05-15 09:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x46b0d2…
05-15 06:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9b5de6…
05-15 06:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xfcc5a6…
05-15 06:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x242d7e…
05-14 23:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x2f7667…
05-11 17:47:32	Will Bilibili Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x6741a4…
05-09 11:40:03	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x93d957…
05-08 20:55:01	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x95d0cd…
05-07 22:59:28	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xb10cba…
05-07 09:39:43	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xa0558e…
05-07 07:09:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x218072…
05-06 12:43:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xb1ca96…
05-06 11:57:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x7da0d7…
05-05 20:20:20	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x7e0ee0…
05-04 09:39:04	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x914460…
05-03 04:49:36	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x693f14…
05-01 04:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc86920…
05-01 00:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x72a34f…
04-30 05:12:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x96e1b0…
04-30 05:09:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7cb0f8…
04-30 05:09:12	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8e0422…
04-30 05:08:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x05214e…
04-27 21:06:22	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6662c8…
04-27 20:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x88a63b…
04-27 20:05:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x443d50…
04-27 19:34:28	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc249dc…
04-27 19:31:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x627e63…
04-27 19:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x94e7bd…
04-27 19:26:24	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x36b629…
04-25 20:12:56	Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa83295…
04-25 16:16:10	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xda3178…
04-25 16:16:10	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb7b458…
04-25 16:16:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xefae2d…
04-25 16:16:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc2d074…
04-25 16:16:08	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8c0eef…
04-25 13:58:10	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x51e0cd…
04-25 10:15:12	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xd00f37…
04-25 07:10:46	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xebef96…
04-25 07:10:46	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xca299b…
04-25 07:10:46	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x99c5b7…
04-25 07:03:12	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xb434e3…
04-25 07:02:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33529d…
04-25 06:56:54	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3ffe03…
04-25 06:44:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x0a959b…
04-25 06:16:00	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x19e3fe…
04-25 06:10:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x607b47…
04-25 06:10:52	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x943d45…
04-25 06:10:50	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb7c3b2…
04-25 06:10:48	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x25d62f…
04-25 06:10:46	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x57f8ed…
04-25 05:18:14	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6f0a0a…
04-25 02:33:38	Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xcaac19…
04-25 01:12:08	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x7a753a…
04-24 23:08:06	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6ccdb4…
04-24 21:46:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x362f04…
04-24 21:46:50	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	131	52¢	$68	0x5e9eed…
04-24 21:03:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xff2ea7…
04-24 21:03:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xaa2eac…
04-24 21:03:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x994c3b…
04-24 21:03:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x958b1e…
04-24 20:58:30	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xb3a65a…
04-24 20:38:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xbec17b…
04-24 20:30:06	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xff2996…
04-24 20:29:58	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc11754…
04-24 20:29:08	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xeb4d55…
04-24 19:56:12	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf9f0a2…
04-23 15:21:46	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d260a…
04-22 14:30:28	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb4e0c7…
04-22 13:50:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x60761b…
04-21 23:52:24	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xbe1465…
04-21 23:52:24	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x63e2d5…
04-21 23:52:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xacd4a1…
04-21 23:47:20	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xfe5d61…
04-21 23:47:08	will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event 821 318	Yes	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x2635a9…
04-20 13:53:28	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xcefd56…
04-20 07:33:52	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x033137…
04-20 07:04:02	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x16db69…
04-19 23:33:18	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x08a43e…
04-19 22:00:10	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x36b17e…
04-19 21:54:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd14e70…
04-19 21:52:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a5d38…
04-19 21:52:36	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9b498c…
04-19 21:52:10	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xd6810f…
04-19 21:44:52	bitcoin above 74k on april 20	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x74bb6f…
04-19 21:43:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xfef67a…
04-19 21:43:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0xa7219c…
04-19 12:18:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x578984…
04-19 12:12:44	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf89796…