Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

388 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$123

$2.37K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-02 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

50% 66% -$72

Other

27% 70% -$5

Crypto

13% 62% -$25

Sports

10% 60% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes		+10	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	08-15 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	131	$813	774	782	-8	Yes	-$11	04-27 19:26
Hurricanes vs. Senators	5	$68	76	48	+27	Hurricanes	+$12	04-25 10:15
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$46	48	8	+39	Yes	+$7	04-18 15:23
2026 soccer copa del rey winner atltico madrid	5	$33	34	14	+21	No	-$15	04-17 23:39
will meta close above 670 week april 17 2026	3	$29	18	18	+0	Yes	+$7	04-17 18:02
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-25 18:53
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	5	$21	29	0	+29	Yes	+$8	04-09 17:54
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 23:20
bitcoin above 74k on april 20	1	$19	27	0	+27	Yes	+$8	04-19 21:44
will starmer say national security during the next prime ministers questions event 821 318	1	$18	33	0	+33	Yes	+$14	04-21 23:47
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	2	$17	18	0	+18	Yes	+$1	05-04 08:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$16	21	0	+21	No	+$5	05-20 02:22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	05-14 22:20
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	05-09 11:40
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$4	07-28 23:20
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	08-01 19:40
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	08-12 00:20
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	+$6	05-20 02:34
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	07-16 20:20
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	1	$15	23	0	+23	No	-$15	06-04 14:56
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	-$15	05-31 02:19
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	4	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	04-09 19:00
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	08-15 23:40
will phoenix suns advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	1	$14	25	0	+25	Yes	+$10	04-17 23:29
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	07-29 18:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	07-29 18:20
will charlotte hornets advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	4	$14	18	0	+18	No	-$14	04-17 19:39
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$13	19	0	+19	No	-$13	08-07 00:02
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	4	$13	13	7	+6	Yes	+$1	04-27 21:06
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	2	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	08-06 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:16:48	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x3dea3d…
10-27 16:14:05	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x51d1f8…
10-27 05:40:05	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xfedadc…
10-24 00:26:36	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x1ca593…
10-07 04:40:05	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9b84ee…
10-07 00:00:15	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x2b18e8…
09-27 04:00:48	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc7df96…
09-16 18:20:06	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xabdc7c…
09-12 00:01:51	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x193680…
09-10 19:20:06	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbf7044…
09-09 03:11:40	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc7f2c8…
09-06 22:20:06	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	SPD	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x9ce09a…
09-04 07:04:07	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	SPD	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x33e842…
09-01 02:00:04	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf1d0d9…
08-27 07:11:27	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5d6fe6…
08-19 21:41:43	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the Sinquefield Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xa36715…
08-19 02:40:04	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbf64a9…
08-15 23:40:16	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcb9f6f…
08-15 23:40:06	Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x6e13f2…
08-14 07:03:54	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6fd631…
08-13 08:22:07	Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x40fe67…
08-12 12:40:06	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd1d7f5…
08-12 02:48:43	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xfb5bc5…
08-12 00:20:04	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6269bb…
08-08 04:00:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc0e84b…
08-08 00:01:43	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x092425…
08-07 00:05:44	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x806138…
08-07 00:02:33	Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$13	0x7d1647…
08-06 12:00:05	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x42617f…
08-06 00:00:05	Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x02b4e5…
08-04 18:40:05	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x79ff86…
08-02 21:20:05	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x34d45e…
08-02 07:42:53	Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x424f41…
08-01 19:40:05	Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xceedbe…
07-31 15:32:08	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x83c4d7…
07-31 15:00:05	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x903396…
07-31 00:00:09	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5b091a…
07-30 16:00:05	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5f7519…
07-30 00:38:45	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3a9fae…
07-29 20:54:50	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe26bf4…
07-29 20:00:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x2bb3da…
07-29 18:20:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7858bc…
07-29 18:20:05	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0f7534…
07-28 23:20:26	Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x686e4f…
07-28 23:20:05	Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3273c0…
07-28 01:45:30	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1ca7f4…
07-27 04:03:54	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf5d9e7…
07-25 07:19:57	Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3433d8…
07-25 01:41:48	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x7c3b76…
07-25 00:01:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x77177e…
07-19 23:20:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x570df4…
07-19 00:04:03	Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x75d365…
07-16 20:20:05	Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5d8fe9…
07-16 04:01:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xe00d81…
07-14 00:00:32	Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x0dfb96…
07-07 17:24:04	Bohemian FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x818c2e…
07-07 00:41:08	Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd6c6ba…
07-06 21:13:14	Qarabağ Ağdam FK to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdc9af7…
07-05 15:17:25	Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xbf660e…
07-05 14:24:40	Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x57224c…
07-02 16:30:16	bitcoin above 60k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa9ab5b…
07-01 12:08:52	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xde9ab5…
07-01 05:12:32	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x134f12…
06-28 01:55:10	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xce3a55…
06-28 01:54:31	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x07ad69…
06-25 18:53:46	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x48b837…
06-25 18:53:23	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x61633c…
06-24 19:58:14	England to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x37f9d8…
06-18 00:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0x4a24f3…
06-18 00:05:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 19?	Yes	BUY	336	3¢	$10	0xf17467…
06-14 23:31:16	Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0867bd…
06-08 07:04:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 8?	Yes	BUY	589	2¢	$10	0x19d0f0…
06-04 14:56:31	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x867e72…
06-04 14:56:30	Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xff3512…
06-01 16:10:00	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x68b12e…
06-01 12:50:46	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x78cea7…
06-01 11:51:18	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x95ab86…
06-01 11:51:16	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x70a147…
06-01 11:50:32	Will Olympiacos Piraeus win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0beebc…
05-31 02:19:40	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x50f43c…
05-28 21:51:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x511a10…
05-27 03:33:41	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x36c787…
05-25 18:18:58	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x68d132…
05-25 18:07:58	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x80266a…
05-24 05:27:28	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x8d3f85…
05-24 02:59:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x008721…
05-21 03:40:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x36da08…
05-21 03:30:29	Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa5aa58…
05-21 03:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xec35c5…
05-20 02:34:25	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x9a49a2…
05-20 02:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xf441cc…
05-20 01:31:18	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x65e679…
05-20 00:33:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfc01a1…
05-15 20:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xf441eb…
05-15 20:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x13a13e…
05-15 14:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd27658…
05-15 14:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67043e…
05-15 14:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdb37ce…
05-15 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x59f8f7…
05-15 11:36:27	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x79c79f…