Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$654.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.23K

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

12,148

lifetime

Volume

$5.83M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$480

Open exposure

$201.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-02 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

74% 27% -$968,558

Sports

16% 42% +$381,542

Politics

10% 50% -$67,776

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+493,552	$146,499	30¢	$145.6K	-$902	11-02 03:02
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+233,730	$44,409	22¢	$52.6K	+$8,181	10-26 01:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+58,541	$5,269	6¢	$3.2K	-$2,049	07-20 10:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	928	$2.42M	1,177,258	1,459,578	-282,320	No	+$204,345	03-30 13:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3,617	$848.7K	2,594,143	0	+2,594,143	No	-$848,671	04-11 10:03
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$210.0K	400,000	0	+400,000	Belgium	-$210,000	07-06 21:10
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	542	$203.9K	599,998	0	+599,998	Max Holloway	-$203,901	07-09 19:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$200.0K	321,526	0	+321,526	No	+$121,526	04-23 04:45
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	247	$189.5K	409,999	0	+409,999	Argentina	+$220,525	07-15 15:03
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1,064	$153.1K	195,814	0	+195,814	Yes	+$42,715	03-15 23:06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$146.5K	493,552	0	+493,552	open	—	11-02 03:02
ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	1	$132.5K	200,000	0	+200,000	Dricus Du Plessis	+$67,545	07-18 23:25
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	5	$129.7K	615,441	0	+615,441	Justin Gaethje	+$485,761	06-15 04:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	703	$128.3K	408,217	0	+408,217	Yes	-$128,300	04-10 16:37
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	166	$102.0K	299,999	0	+299,999	Spain	-$102,000	07-06 04:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	83	$100.5K	150,000	0	+150,000	Yes	-$100,500	04-10 09:20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,090	$99.1K	1,999,958	0	+1,999,958	No	-$99,073	06-29 22:59
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	191	$80.2K	150,000	0	+150,000	No	-$80,169	07-15 19:37
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	816	$77.9K	100,470	0	+100,470	Yes	+$22,608	03-15 23:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$72.2K	160,897	160,897	+0	Yes	-$71,839	03-01 20:30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$67.6K	159,000	0	+159,000	No	-$67,575	07-19 11:21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$65.7K	305,558	0	+305,558	Yes	+$239,863	07-14 13:18
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	835	$50.2K	137,696	0	+137,696	No	-$50,173	03-15 15:44
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$45.5K	200,000	0	+200,000	France	-$45,500	07-09 12:45
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	794	$44.4K	233,730	0	+233,730	open	—	10-26 01:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	36	$41.6K	36,413	36,413	+0	Yes	+$2,078	03-29 11:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	16	$28.6K	46,089	0	+46,089	Yes	-$28,600	03-26 20:55
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	108	$25.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$25,000	07-09 16:30
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$25.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Ciryl Gane	+$25,015	06-15 03:28
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	112	$23.1K	116,561	0	+116,561	Mauricio Ruffy	-$23,147	06-15 01:18
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	19	$20.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	Carlos Ulberg	-$20,000	04-10 06:32
ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	142	$15.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Vicente Luque	+$35,000	04-11 15:56
will qatar strike iran by march 31	13	$12.1K	21,703	0	+21,703	No	+$9,559	03-04 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:50:01	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$4	0x3abae1…
11-02 03:02:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	98,804	30¢	$30,000	0xe1927f…
11-02 03:00:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	54,981	30¢	$16,494	0xe287a9…
11-02 02:58:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	202,357	29¢	$58,783	0xf07559…
11-02 02:58:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	137,392	30¢	$41,217	0x2ae0fe…
11-02 02:57:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x385bf6…
11-02 02:25:51	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2b647f…
11-01 19:47:09	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x05ea6d…
11-01 18:47:16	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9e3fc4…
11-01 17:22:39	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	891	3¢	$27	0xaee2e5…
10-30 22:24:07	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x45538a…
10-29 13:00:02	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x4701a8…
10-29 04:06:19	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xd26aaa…
10-29 04:06:17	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xae4e5e…
10-29 04:06:17	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8f69e3…
10-28 13:23:58	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x6a7c11…
10-28 13:05:44	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xd92d99…
10-27 19:23:48	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x1dad6e…
10-27 13:58:11	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xb72a41…
10-27 04:05:20	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	595	3¢	$18	0xdf154f…
10-26 03:12:14	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x59f563…
10-26 03:12:12	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbebfb0…
10-26 03:12:02	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4194d0…
10-26 03:11:59	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbdec8a…
10-26 03:11:51	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa90129…
10-26 03:11:50	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x830785…
10-26 03:11:47	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x86d68e…
10-26 03:11:39	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3b2163…
10-26 03:11:32	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x6bd5df…
10-26 03:11:30	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa2c960…
10-26 03:11:24	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0fed3a…
10-26 03:11:23	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xce7368…
10-26 03:11:20	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8e101e…
10-26 03:11:14	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1a9967…
10-26 03:11:11	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe764e8…
10-26 03:11:09	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xaf2fde…
10-26 03:11:08	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe3c610…
10-26 03:11:02	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xe918dd…
10-26 03:11:00	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc287a0…
10-26 03:10:53	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3c1210…
10-26 03:10:51	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd17030…
10-26 03:10:48	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x90793d…
10-26 03:10:45	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1af0c1…
10-26 01:13:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x754fb8…
10-26 00:51:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x37620e…
10-26 00:25:54	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x0a1988…
10-26 00:25:53	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xb4cb11…
10-26 00:25:45	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x7f5183…
10-26 00:13:03	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x65241d…
10-25 23:40:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x69a535…
10-25 22:47:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x16bcd4…
10-25 22:12:06	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x28721d…
10-25 21:08:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$5	0xb74acd…
10-25 21:08:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5fca40…
10-25 21:08:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0x788e3a…
10-25 21:08:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x243f1d…
10-25 20:40:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9cbd24…
10-25 19:46:23	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x39db59…
10-25 19:30:12	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3c9032…
10-25 19:11:11	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x6b4a60…
10-25 19:10:33	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	544	19¢	$103	0xedf81f…
10-25 19:10:33	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x3ba675…
10-25 19:10:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0xbdde61…
10-25 19:10:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x64f04d…
10-25 19:10:32	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	291	19¢	$55	0x12dd3b…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	226	19¢	$43	0xfc8a03…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xdb060e…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	185	19¢	$35	0xb2797a…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	208	19¢	$40	0xb185d5…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	144	19¢	$27	0x68ba61…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x4ea3de…
10-25 19:10:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	172	19¢	$33	0x196973…
10-25 19:01:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe85ac5…
10-25 19:00:51	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x40f86d…
10-25 19:00:51	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x250a57…
10-25 19:00:27	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x750bc9…
10-25 19:00:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0xb5ceed…
10-25 19:00:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	19¢	$48	0x799f04…
10-25 19:00:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0x5636b6…
10-25 19:00:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x4e53a6…
10-25 18:59:18	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xbe16f8…
10-25 18:59:06	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa7802c…
10-25 18:59:05	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x246a83…
10-25 18:59:05	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x01bd49…
10-25 18:57:51	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	93	19¢	$18	0xa54ac7…
10-25 18:57:51	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x837ba7…
10-25 18:57:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x9bffe2…
10-25 18:57:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x735a30…
10-25 18:57:30	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x202739…
10-25 18:57:29	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeae03b…
10-25 18:57:23	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xcf847c…
10-25 18:57:11	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x82305d…
10-25 18:56:54	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x0c1ce6…
10-25 18:56:44	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xfd8cd0…
10-25 18:56:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xba4ac6…
10-25 18:56:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x2bfcd4…
10-25 18:56:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x279dd5…
10-25 18:56:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	360	19¢	$68	0x19f68f…
10-25 18:56:41	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x75a0dd…
10-25 18:56:36	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x983938…