Incomplete-Friendship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

8,105

Trades

16,205

lifetime

Volume

$225.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 09-15 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 86% -$476

Sports

2% 44% -$660

Other

1% 56% +$8

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-24	-$22	96¢	$-23	-$1	09-15 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-24	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$1	08-25 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	6	$1.6K	1,495	946	+549	Knicks	-$164	06-06 03:19
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	7	$868	782	782	+0	Knicks	-$32	06-11 03:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$768	864	200	+664	Yes	-$532	07-07 02:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$752	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$48	06-14 04:37
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$600	390	390	+0	No	+$0	06-02 11:31
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$438	532	532	+0	Yes	+$38	06-04 03:09
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	4	$425	229	229	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$25	06-02 15:11
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	4	$420	234	234	+0	No	+$20	06-11 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:05 UTC	168	$323	690	0	+690	Up	-$33	07-10 08:09
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$303	288	288	+0	Spurs	+$63	06-09 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 01:30 UTC	4	$298	305	0	+305	Down	+$7	07-05 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 03:15 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-09 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:35 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-07 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:30 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-10 00:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:10 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-11 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:20 UTC	7	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-06 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 20:35 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-08 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-09 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:35 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-10 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 07:40 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-06 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 11:50 UTC	8	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-07 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 01:05 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-09 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 01:45 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-10 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 07:40 UTC	4	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-07 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:35 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-11 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:55 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	07-07 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 17:20 UTC	3	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-08 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:40 UTC	7	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-09 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:15 UTC	4	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	07-09 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:55 UTC	3	$296	300	0	+300	Up	+$4	07-10 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 23:10:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x955579…
08-25 09:01:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x101c81…
08-25 08:57:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x5634f3…
08-25 08:56:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfb960d…
08-25 08:56:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa2a604…
08-25 08:56:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x917c99…
08-25 08:56:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x27ea5a…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfc7294…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xeeb7e8…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbe2d0b…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x85ea03…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x5bb04e…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x55dfcb…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x483ce1…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4802ac…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4603cb…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x38f6d9…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1f833c…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x18b85c…
08-25 08:56:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x0f3165…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xdcbce7…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xcd5836…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xca0691…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbf6d34…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa5f6c4…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x946943…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x920987…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x83a21e…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x6883d6…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3e4398…
08-25 08:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3588bc…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xf95049…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xf5d881…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xcb7d95…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbebe04…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x9c1da5…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x7885d2…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x64adc8…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x5fb64b…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x53a59f…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4f8b37…
08-25 08:56:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3bd574…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xf82d4e…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe82702…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xd17485…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa9937f…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa39e04…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x988d72…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x97cf3c…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x837a36…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3d3f39…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x21bfc3…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x10323b…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x0a6165…
08-25 08:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x063d24…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfde70f…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfa7eff…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xf70a9c…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe3d6aa…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xdf4ae1…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbf5ebb…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbbb7fc…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xabb856…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x7ef900…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x2d9be2…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x2129e8…
08-25 08:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x1f3a7c…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfe0c7e…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xd6f002…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xd47a03…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb7a9b2…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb13733…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb10661…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xaf0c84…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x60aa2c…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x397ce5…
08-25 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x24c05d…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xdbfd7a…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xdaa9e7…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbf481f…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xb10532…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x9b0ec8…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x78ee72…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x76640a…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x5dd8f9…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x525281…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x427c81…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x3d8db5…
08-25 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x2524ec…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfa1951…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xd4b4b9…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa12fff…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x9b9844…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4a418f…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x267eae…
08-25 08:56:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x09b3cb…
08-25 08:56:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xf576b4…
08-25 08:56:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xeeb5c9…
08-25 08:56:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xbebffb…
08-25 08:56:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xaa238f…