Hard-To-Find-Hat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

269

Trades

612

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-06 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 46% -$613

Other

37% 50% -$99

Politics

15% 33% -$515

Sports

1% 20% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	29	$580	579,919	0	+579,919	No	-$580	06-04 00:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$509	509,000	0	+509,000	Yes	-$509	05-30 05:16
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	+$30	04-13 00:41
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	3	$45	101	14	+86	BIG	-$25	06-05 16:07
cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	4	$40	91	0	+91	FlyQuest	-$40	06-05 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$38	80	80	+0	No	+$1	04-20 01:54
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$36	24	24	+0	Lynn Vision	+$12	06-03 13:15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner	3	$36	18	18	+0	Team Falcons	+$1	05-09 12:16
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	6	$34	106	106	+0	No	-$2	04-07 10:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 15c	4	$34	86	86	+0	No	+$1	04-02 02:16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	5	$32	38	26	+12	B8	-$4	05-20 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	10	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$14	05-14 11:30
cs2 sparta ursa 2026 06 04	2	$30	20	20	+0	SPARTA	+$10	06-04 12:02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winner	2	$30	17	17	+0	Spirit	+$5	05-09 10:37
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	7	$30	200	200	+0	No	-$10	05-22 11:59
wnba gsv min 2026 06 04	2	$29	19	19	+0	Minnesota Lynx	+$9	06-05 03:19
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	05-29 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	14	$26	38	32	+6	Down	+$2	05-15 07:55
cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 06 05	2	$26	16	16	+0	TYLOO	+$6	06-05 13:55
cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	2	$25	16	16	+0	TYLOO	+$7	06-04 15:32
cs2 prv 3dmax 2026 04 07	2	$25	20	20	+0	3DMAX	+$15	04-07 13:24
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	4	$24	28	28	+0	Legacy	-$3	05-23 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	7	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	9	$21	32	32	+0	Up	-$3	05-15 04:39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$21	12	12	+0	MOUZ	+$3	05-09 10:01
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	2	$21	13	13	+0	INOX Division	+$5	06-03 09:44
will falcons win iem rio 2026	15	$20	314	0	+314	No	-$20	04-15 06:45
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	5	$20	50	50	+0	No	-$2	03-24 04:59
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	2	$20	16	16	+0	Otto Virtanen	+$0	06-03 04:26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	1	$20	40	0	+40	GamerLegion	-$20	04-30 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 00:25:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xc41e51…
06-05 16:07:28	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	NRG	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xcabafd…
06-05 16:05:28	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	BIG	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x26a464…
06-05 15:14:09	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2e8064…
06-05 14:46:39	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x91f576…
06-05 14:42:27	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x576ad1…
06-05 13:55:00	cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 06 05	TYLOO	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa5e2ad…
06-05 06:31:34	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Tuncay Duran	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x51b45c…
06-05 05:41:46	atp azkara montsi 2026 06 05	Arda Azkara	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x533352…
06-05 03:19:30	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04	Minnesota Lynx	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc5b68d…
06-05 01:54:48	wnba gsv min 2026 06 04	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb07b10…
06-05 01:47:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x52c8a4…
06-05 01:19:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xf06913…
06-05 01:06:21	cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 06 05	TYLOO	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9a32da…
06-05 01:06:16	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	BIG	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x079fc2…
06-05 01:06:10	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0338e2…
06-04 15:33:03	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Liquid	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4516fb…
06-04 15:32:55	cs2 m80 nrg 2026 06 04	M80	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3f13df…
06-04 15:32:12	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	TYLOO	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5003b0…
06-04 12:10:30	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04	GamerLegion	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd015ff…
06-04 12:10:15	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	MIBR	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd7f767…
06-04 12:06:19	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	TYLOO	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xd06404…
06-04 12:02:25	cs2 sparta ursa 2026 06 04	SPARTA	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdcd2ed…
06-04 07:55:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3c456e…
06-04 07:46:21	cs2 sparta ursa 2026 06 04	SPARTA	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34c4c1…
06-04 06:52:22	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Aurora	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3c9672…
06-04 02:26:33	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03	Chicago Cubs	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xa916f2…
06-04 02:16:06	dota2 eb nem 2026 06 03	Team Nemesis	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbb5a61…
06-04 01:02:31	dota2 eb nem 2026 06 03	Team Nemesis	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2e25c7…
06-04 00:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,931	0¢	$10	0x31e08d…
06-04 00:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,451	0¢	$5	0x2edae5…
06-04 00:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,930	0¢	$10	0x21e1d3…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,933	0¢	$10	0xd2a65c…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,935	0¢	$10	0xca0516…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,936	0¢	$10	0xc1bde1…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xafc6aa…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	601	0¢	$1	0x99548c…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160,146	0¢	$160	0x7fe710…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,932	0¢	$10	0x76bf24…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,937	0¢	$10	0x741f32…
06-04 00:34:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,934	0¢	$10	0x37beb9…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,941	0¢	$10	0xd661fa…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,940	0¢	$10	0x5dc5d6…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180,200	0¢	$180	0x538e97…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,938	0¢	$10	0x49bfdc…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,939	0¢	$10	0x33beb1…
06-04 00:34:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,942	0¢	$10	0x160194…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,943	0¢	$10	0x89a53e…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,946	0¢	$10	0x77311a…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,944	0¢	$10	0x65d477…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,947	0¢	$10	0x3b3eba…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,949	0¢	$10	0x2353a6…
06-04 00:34:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,945	0¢	$10	0x139d3e…
06-04 00:34:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,950	0¢	$10	0xc1959a…
06-04 00:34:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,948	0¢	$10	0xb3a343…
06-04 00:34:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,951	0¢	$10	0x39dff2…
06-04 00:34:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,879	0¢	$4	0x133b1a…
06-04 00:34:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,952	0¢	$10	0x07442f…
06-03 13:19:41	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xed868c…
06-03 13:15:22	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Lynn Vision	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf6c539…
06-03 09:54:03	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Lynn Vision	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xd975bc…
06-03 09:44:17	Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	INOX Division	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xca6ab2…
06-03 08:26:23	Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	INOX Division	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xcee23e…
06-03 04:26:01	Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	Otto Virtanen	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xb9b3f5…
06-03 03:31:13	Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	Otto Virtanen	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf7c32a…
06-03 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x6d610f…
06-02 01:07:14	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x75764c…
05-30 05:16:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	432,850	0¢	$433	0x66e1bf…
05-30 05:15:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	76,150	0¢	$76	0xdcebd4…
05-29 13:40:08	Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xf7a9d5…
05-29 02:23:33	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xdf9cc0…
05-29 01:16:16	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xea53e8…
05-29 00:50:16	Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x34e8d2…
05-28 03:08:51	Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x105925…
05-28 01:26:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x06f489…
05-24 04:54:58	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3050af…
05-24 04:54:37	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc7c717…
05-24 00:46:21	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc6f41b…
05-23 10:35:36	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x5f303c…
05-23 10:33:35	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x23c778…
05-23 10:31:50	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x6a44bd…
05-23 07:52:02	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xf31de4…
05-23 07:50:45	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfd48c8…
05-23 02:14:06	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x619f8c…
05-22 11:59:10	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x3bebde…
05-22 10:38:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x22a973…
05-22 10:36:08	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x42c391…
05-22 06:52:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdd89cc…
05-22 05:47:56	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x92b782…
05-22 05:24:38	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb4a103…
05-22 05:24:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0002b7…
05-22 05:22:55	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	MIBR	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3590d2…
05-22 05:04:48	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	MIBR	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x71d148…
05-22 05:03:38	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x5b7e91…
05-22 04:56:26	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe14f3d…
05-22 02:08:59	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3700cc…
05-20 10:10:50	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	TYLOO	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0xe1262f…
05-20 10:09:32	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8e7645…
05-20 10:09:16	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	B8	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xf20ff2…
05-20 09:37:55	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	MIBR	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfdca9d…