Flaky-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved (7d)

318

Trades (7d)

479

16,914 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$10.3K

$184.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-02 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$590

Other

0% 0% -$44

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	8	$2.0K	2,325	1,901	+424	Yes	-$351	01-08 16:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	15	$1.3K	1,590	1,339	+251	No	-$121	01-07 14:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 13	3	$1.2K	1,196	1,097	+98	Yes	+$162	01-13 14:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	4	$1.2K	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$30	01-12 14:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$692	2,621	2,611	+10	No	-$46	03-13 14:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	7	$636	637	466	+171	Yes	+$141	03-12 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	2	$494	526	519	+7	Up	+$101	01-12 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:05 UTC	4	$459	375	192	+184	Up	+$65	10-17 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$433	268	268	+0	Down	+$81	10-25 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	6	$419	390	283	+108	Down	-$41	10-17 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	5	$412	250	250	+0	Up	-$6	10-17 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	2	$403	217	217	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$399	262	261	+0	Down	-$1	10-25 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:50 UTC	3	$396	218	218	+0	Down	+$36	10-17 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	3	$394	220	220	+0	Up	+$6	10-17 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$393	411	411	+0	Up	-$7	10-13 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	2	$378	198	198	+0	Down	+$18	10-13 11:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 17	5	$374	304	300	+4	No	+$20	03-17 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:20 UTC	2	$372	200	200	+0	Up	+$12	10-14 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:45 UTC	3	$365	203	203	+0	Up	-$31	10-17 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$355	200	200	+0	Up	+$15	10-18 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	3	$347	184	184	+0	Up	+$17	10-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$332	187	187	+0	Up	+$12	10-20 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	2	$329	204	204	+0	Down	-$11	10-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$328	261	250	+12	Down	-$80	10-18 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	2	$325	210	210	+0	Down	+$45	10-16 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$320	205	205	+0	Down	+$20	10-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$319	196	195	+0	Up	$0	10-25 14:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	5	$318	686	255	+431	No	-$50	03-18 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$317	193	193	+0	Down	+$17	10-15 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	58	92¢	$54	0x716431…
11-02 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x3f8303…
11-02 19:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0x571a9a…
11-02 19:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x0d121d…
11-02 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xff61b5…
11-02 18:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x478a9e…
11-02 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0xccbe98…
11-02 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	85¢	$65	0x0aeaa3…
11-02 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x04b761…
11-02 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x17c595…
11-02 18:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x0558c8…
11-02 18:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xe47109…
11-02 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x93e631…
11-02 18:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5a06b7…
11-02 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xed593a…
11-02 18:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x569c6b…
11-02 18:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x370438…
11-02 18:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x231f26…
11-02 15:27:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	174	54¢	$94	0x22c14f…
11-02 15:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0xf71e3e…
11-02 15:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x93baec…
11-02 14:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xe239a3…
11-02 14:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x09265c…
11-02 14:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0xe6893c…
11-02 14:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x4252e6…
11-02 14:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	206	57¢	$118	0xbc135a…
11-02 14:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	206	47¢	$97	0xf4d24e…
11-02 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0xb9a581…
11-02 13:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xe5ee84…
11-02 13:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x12231d…
11-02 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xe6af0e…
11-02 13:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	88	25¢	$22	0xdadf39…
11-02 13:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x655bbc…
11-02 13:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	38	76¢	$29	0xeb9a24…
11-02 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xb06f52…
11-02 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xaf6b53…
11-02 12:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	116	96¢	$112	0x991ada…
11-02 12:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	116	61¢	$71	0x787438…
11-02 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x16ebe0…
11-02 10:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	82	65¢	$53	0x16e400…
11-02 10:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x84b590…
11-02 10:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x06079f…
11-02 10:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x1806a7…
11-02 10:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4515e9…
11-02 10:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x393b77…
11-02 09:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf11089…
11-02 09:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0x41921e…
11-02 09:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x026612…
11-02 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	49	25¢	$12	0xe1d1a6…
11-02 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0xb9a148…
11-02 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xacb696…
11-02 09:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x34706d…
11-02 09:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xeef9b6…
11-02 09:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xff4a8e…
11-02 08:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x149c4c…
11-02 08:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x415476…
11-02 08:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x8d4a31…
11-02 08:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xc5db71…
11-02 08:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x3772f6…
11-02 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x84f56b…
11-02 08:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	74	69¢	$51	0x0e5fa2…
11-02 08:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x60640b…
11-02 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	66	42¢	$27	0x20428c…
11-02 08:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x81a1fe…
11-02 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0x3697ca…
11-02 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xd0a87a…
11-02 08:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0xf020c0…
11-02 08:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x5c0f22…
11-02 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xce72bc…
11-02 08:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xe14ac6…
11-02 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x95d5ae…
11-02 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x5ec7a8…
11-02 07:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x7273b2…
11-02 07:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xa5551a…
11-02 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xde500b…
11-02 06:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xcd45b9…
11-01 22:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x252cad…
11-01 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x183c0e…
11-01 22:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb90563…
11-01 22:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbd5586…
11-01 22:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70a088…
11-01 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x5af5d4…
11-01 22:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x7029bd…
11-01 22:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0e46de…
11-01 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	71	31¢	$22	0xccf5db…
11-01 21:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x412940…
11-01 21:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x2a6c0c…
11-01 21:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5204da…
11-01 21:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x2d5e9a…
11-01 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9fe09f…
11-01 21:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x15bd63…
11-01 21:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x767718…
11-01 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb6df2f…
11-01 21:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe2959d…
11-01 21:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x65a585…
11-01 21:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xdfe8e7…
11-01 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x85d4c9…
11-01 20:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc1bafb…
11-01 20:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9e5dee…
11-01 20:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x787758…