Flaky-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$394

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved (30d)

1,377

Trades (30d)

2,227

17,080 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$83.7K

$189.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-07 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$529

Other

0% 0% -$44

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	8	$2.0K	2,325	1,901	+424	Yes	-$351	01-08 16:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	15	$1.3K	1,590	1,339	+251	No	-$121	01-07 14:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 13	3	$1.2K	1,196	1,097	+98	Yes	+$162	01-13 14:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	4	$1.2K	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$30	01-12 14:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$692	2,621	2,611	+10	No	-$46	03-13 14:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	7	$636	637	466	+171	Yes	+$141	03-12 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	2	$494	526	519	+7	Up	+$101	01-12 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:05 UTC	4	$459	375	192	+184	Up	+$65	10-17 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$433	268	268	+0	Down	+$81	10-25 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	6	$419	390	283	+108	Down	-$41	10-17 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	5	$412	250	250	+0	Up	-$6	10-17 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	2	$403	217	217	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$399	262	261	+0	Down	-$1	10-25 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:50 UTC	3	$396	218	218	+0	Down	+$36	10-17 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	3	$394	220	220	+0	Up	+$6	10-17 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$393	411	411	+0	Up	-$7	10-13 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	2	$378	198	198	+0	Down	+$18	10-13 11:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 17	5	$374	304	300	+4	No	+$20	03-17 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:20 UTC	2	$372	200	200	+0	Up	+$12	10-14 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:45 UTC	3	$365	203	203	+0	Up	-$31	10-17 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$355	200	200	+0	Up	+$15	10-18 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	3	$347	184	184	+0	Up	+$17	10-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$345	216	216	+0	Up	+$29	11-03 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$332	187	187	+0	Up	+$12	10-20 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	2	$329	204	204	+0	Down	-$11	10-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$328	261	250	+12	Down	-$80	10-18 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	2	$325	210	210	+0	Down	+$45	10-16 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$320	205	205	+0	Down	+$20	10-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$319	196	195	+0	Up	$0	10-25 14:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	5	$318	686	255	+431	No	-$50	03-18 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x3e4315…
11-07 07:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa8f941…
11-07 07:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6f2098…
11-07 07:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x126bf6…
11-07 07:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x70ea7b…
11-07 07:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfc3ad1…
11-07 07:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcad889…
11-07 00:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xea3881…
11-07 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x342d93…
11-07 00:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6a5adc…
11-07 00:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38d457…
11-07 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x65fe7b…
11-06 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3a5590…
11-06 23:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xb56c21…
11-06 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5aa8d8…
11-06 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x7ed568…
11-06 23:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x235866…
11-06 23:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xfc4ac5…
11-06 23:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x08da35…
11-06 23:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x919e89…
11-05 09:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0xc66768…
11-05 09:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0x977c0d…
11-05 09:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xd344ab…
11-04 17:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xe80d02…
11-04 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x7cf81c…
11-04 17:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0xca971a…
11-04 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	83¢	$42	0xea3815…
11-04 16:27:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xf20e9a…
11-04 15:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	236	9¢	$22	0x97e073…
11-04 15:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0xd8c0b7…
11-04 10:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0xef2a44…
11-04 10:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xd5db2c…
11-04 10:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x536be7…
11-04 10:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x0a75a3…
11-04 10:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xb51393…
11-04 10:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x936fd0…
11-04 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x6dec92…
11-04 10:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x8d1552…
11-04 10:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	39	78¢	$31	0x145cdb…
11-04 10:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xb58d9f…
11-04 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x271ba6…
11-04 09:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe5c5dd…
11-04 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	43	92¢	$39	0xd16ca4…
11-04 05:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xc0ab4a…
11-04 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xccc157…
11-04 05:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2ee988…
11-03 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	24¢	$9	0x103274…
11-03 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xcfd7bf…
11-03 21:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x8bcc58…
11-03 21:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xf41139…
11-03 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0x4603bc…
11-03 21:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xa61449…
11-03 21:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x8dfedd…
11-03 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x405521…
11-03 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x90b7b6…
11-03 21:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x5f02b8…
11-03 20:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xfe3fea…
11-03 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0x6d4e6a…
11-03 20:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xac5247…
11-03 20:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x598b5d…
11-03 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x16af4b…
11-03 20:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xb60cf2…
11-03 20:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	55	81¢	$45	0x50c469…
11-03 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xd0da30…
11-03 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x616872…
11-03 19:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7b67d7…
11-03 19:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xc24cb6…
11-03 19:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x801fd1…
11-03 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xc18bc6…
11-03 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0xd2faee…
11-03 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x67153a…
11-03 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	48	87¢	$41	0xedb219…
11-03 18:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x44e469…
11-03 18:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x261007…
11-03 18:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x36f5a4…
11-03 18:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x2a2770…
11-03 18:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8d7fc4…
11-03 18:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x27e3d2…
11-03 17:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x858324…
11-03 17:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x82d9c7…
11-03 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0xe90563…
11-03 17:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x5a2ed0…
11-03 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x8fbccc…
11-03 17:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x5218ca…
11-03 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x2ca949…
11-03 13:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	385	64¢	$247	0x856d19…
11-03 13:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x7e66a6…
11-03 13:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xc2eb9b…
11-03 12:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x97fa69…
11-03 12:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0x5cc77c…
11-03 12:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	170	83¢	$141	0x7a8ef1…
11-03 12:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	170	71¢	$121	0xf315ee…
11-03 10:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0x16a5cc…
11-03 10:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	63	82¢	$52	0x979db5…
11-03 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xa41152…
11-03 09:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x686ce1…
11-03 09:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	108	41¢	$44	0x89d112…
11-03 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	108	59¢	$64	0x9d703e…
11-03 09:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x2627be…
11-03 07:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xe3910a…