Harmful-Collar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$200.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

$675

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-08 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$532

Other

38% 40% $-373

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$650	68¢	$675	+$25	06-08 22:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	22	$22.1K	15,800	15,800	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	84	$16.1K	12,211	11,964	+247	open	—	04-27 18:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	22	$14.8K	13,292	12,019	+1,272	open	—	05-26 09:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$14.2K	14,946	14,946	+0	open	—	03-23 11:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	36	$13.5K	18,507	17,673	+834	open	—	05-19 06:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$11.3K	7,208	7,208	+0	No	+$532	04-28 13:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$10.5K	12,597	12,597	+0	open	—	05-30 05:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	40	$10.3K	5,868	5,868	+0	open	—	04-28 13:45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	10	$10.1K	12,471	12,471	+0	open	—	03-18 01:53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	10	$7.6K	10,484	10,484	+0	open	—	03-22 05:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$6.5K	3,500	5,300	-1,800	open	—	06-01 11:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	50	$6.4K	7,092	7,092	+0	open	—	04-30 13:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	24	$6.0K	9,308	7,166	+2,142	open	—	05-01 17:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$5.7K	3,140	3,140	+0	open	—	03-09 22:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	123	$4.7K	3,007	3,700	-693	open	—	03-12 21:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	05-10 21:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.6K	2,250	2,250	+0	open	—	05-27 12:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	24	$3.1K	4,499	2,678	+1,821	open	—	05-01 12:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$2.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-23 11:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	27	$2.5K	4,882	4,882	+0	open	—	05-19 03:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-09 10:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$1.8K	14,298	2,000	+12,298	open	—	04-26 11:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	14	$1.7K	6,427	6,427	+0	open	—	05-19 03:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$1.5K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	03-09 10:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	18	$1.5K	4,334	4,334	+0	open	—	04-11 19:48
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.2K	1,291	1,500	-209	open	—	04-23 17:35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	5	$1.1K	1,033	641	+392	open	—	05-08 11:07
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	15	$1.0K	658	658	-0	open	—	05-04 09:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	19	$992	640	640	+0	Yes	+$19	05-02 19:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$965	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-27 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:37:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x526444…
06-01 11:45:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	3,500	93¢	$3,255	0x53226d…
05-30 05:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	85¢	$2,975	0x41c930…
05-30 05:38:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,800	15¢	$270	0x020564…
05-30 05:37:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	95¢	$1,425	0xea1365…
05-27 12:46:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	76¢	$1,140	0xa633f6…
05-27 12:35:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,250	77¢	$1,732	0xecea34…
05-27 12:35:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	63¢	$627	0xfca99c…
05-26 09:28:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,987	7¢	$489	0xad1a6b…
05-19 11:34:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,250	85¢	$1,912	0x6815ee…
05-19 11:32:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	34¢	$338	0x6bf6fa…
05-19 06:01:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	67	24¢	$16	0xd66f3a…
05-19 05:48:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xcbadee…
05-19 05:38:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd81cdc…
05-19 05:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	24¢	$240	0x79ffdd…
05-19 04:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x48ab93…
05-19 03:54:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	6,958	24¢	$1,670	0x4990a4…
05-19 03:53:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	748	4¢	$28	0x0a2218…
05-19 03:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,000	8¢	$160	0x8ef16e…
05-19 03:50:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,579	4¢	$103	0xec5fa0…
05-13 00:30:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x87fbf4…
05-12 07:59:55	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0x1a9551…
05-11 13:45:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xccddec…
05-10 21:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,400	95¢	$2,275	0xeaff9b…
05-08 11:07:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x553ef0…
05-07 07:56:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	26¢	$75	0xd65aca…
05-06 22:38:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	61	76¢	$46	0x91d78d…
05-06 12:54:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	84¢	$2,011	0x61700a…
05-06 10:59:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	581	53¢	$308	0xf9ff1e…
05-06 09:40:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x861540…
05-06 09:26:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	99	60¢	$59	0xe37988…
05-06 09:26:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	486	60¢	$291	0xe51e7b…
05-06 09:23:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa95738…
05-06 09:23:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3f479a…
05-06 06:51:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xaf8e63…
05-06 03:44:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	SELL	157	77¢	$121	0x1c2735…
05-06 03:43:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0xa79fcb…
05-04 23:53:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xb7b41e…
05-04 23:52:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	No	SELL	64	78¢	$50	0xfafd44…
05-04 20:55:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	246	80¢	$197	0x96a26d…
05-04 20:12:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x04a27e…
05-04 19:46:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xde6c99…
05-04 19:46:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xb068ea…
05-04 17:45:02	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$1	0x0719a6…
05-04 16:17:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	251	53¢	$133	0x92b806…
05-04 16:05:08	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x0c67cd…
05-04 15:11:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	443	71¢	$314	0x8f60c7…
05-04 14:40:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xeb01b0…
05-04 13:42:34	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42d332…
05-04 10:13:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x84c537…
05-04 10:10:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xe6f983…
05-04 10:08:22	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0xaca1dd…
05-04 09:39:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	94	40¢	$38	0x4a2323…
05-04 09:35:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	433	80¢	$347	0x18ecf3…
05-04 09:13:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xb69f32…
05-04 08:31:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0c4d4b…
05-04 08:30:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x296ea8…
05-04 08:30:46	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xe75ddf…
05-04 08:26:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x5af3e1…
05-04 08:20:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x086409…
05-04 08:14:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x17f360…
05-04 06:39:04	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9cfeee…
05-04 03:36:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0x727f07…
05-04 02:51:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x42ebe8…
05-04 02:48:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x3a553a…
05-04 01:12:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x81ef05…
05-03 22:00:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0x16a7ff…
05-03 20:32:56	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x8c5afe…
05-03 20:17:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	148	53¢	$78	0xf7a23d…
05-03 19:53:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbef49…
05-03 19:52:44	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xd29d62…
05-03 19:20:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0xfd11a4…
05-03 18:50:46	Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0xefbcd4…
05-03 18:35:58	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x5c419b…
05-03 18:05:14	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0xfb83c5…
05-03 18:05:14	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	5¢	$6	0xfa7a89…
05-03 17:55:58	Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x7d1e33…
05-03 17:20:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67d3da…
05-03 15:36:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x65f07d…
05-03 15:18:38	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6c41a7…
05-03 14:55:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x1dec9d…
05-03 14:07:08	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0xa7d7f5…
05-03 13:15:26	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xd82215…
05-03 06:27:30	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x638697…
05-03 06:07:20	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x374acc…
05-03 05:46:52	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x8642ea…
05-03 05:03:52	Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe79888…
05-03 04:56:58	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xc21f8e…
05-03 04:42:48	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x184e27…
05-03 03:06:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xb96c7c…
05-03 02:17:58	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x564b0b…
05-02 22:09:10	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x63b7d7…
05-02 21:28:28	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xc359f1…
05-02 21:27:22	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$11	0x9297c8…
05-02 21:18:54	Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x13b630…
05-02 21:11:06	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x04d93c…
05-02 21:06:54	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf85857…
05-02 21:01:50	Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6d65dc…
05-02 21:01:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x5ea32c…
05-02 20:58:56	Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xa31385…