Warlike-Kite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-02 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 0% $-4

Other

27% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$134	134	+134	open	—	01-11 03:54
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	1	$134	134	+134	open	—	02-14 08:33
ethereum above 2800 on january 2	1	$133	133	+133	open	—	01-02 07:22
another us strike on venezuela on january 5	1	$132	132	+132	open	—	01-07 06:41
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	1	$132	132	+132	open	—	02-08 08:30
ethereum above 3300 on january 29	1	$131	131	+131	open	—	01-29 02:48
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	04-03 02:43
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	1	$130	131	+131	open	—	01-24 07:11
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 440 459	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	02-28 11:17
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	01-16 08:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	03-11 08:11
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	03-05 07:08
ethereum above 3600 on january 21	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	01-20 07:07
bitcoin above 82k on march 20	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	03-19 10:43
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	03-15 07:43
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$128	128	+128	open	—	04-07 10:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$128	128	+128	open	—	05-23 06:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$127	127	+127	No	+$0	05-11 06:28
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	04-22 03:28
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	04-16 11:07
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$126	126	+126	open	—	03-30 02:25
bitcoin above 80k on march 26	1	$125	125	+125	open	—	03-25 06:29
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	1	$124	124	+124	open	—	04-13 06:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	06-02 07:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-27 01:47
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	02-02 01:53
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 480 499	1	$6	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-15 07:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$4	1,950	+1,950	No	$-4	05-06 02:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	1	$3	1,600	+1,600	open	—	01-16 08:48
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-13 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x9545b1…
05-23 06:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8d3399…
05-11 06:28:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x0c2b8c…
05-06 02:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,950	0¢	$4	0xb37752…
04-27 01:47:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6dca1c…
04-27 01:46:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50b541…
04-22 03:28:48	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3051d6…
04-16 11:07:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xf01270…
04-13 06:34:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x748f2e…
04-13 06:33:53	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f370…
04-13 06:33:39	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27ec5c…
04-13 06:33:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf634ad…
04-07 10:45:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8ac853…
04-07 10:45:21	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8a1db…
04-07 10:45:07	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25b9a4…
04-03 02:43:33	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x677235…
03-30 02:25:14	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xcaca8d…
03-30 02:25:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad80af…
03-30 02:24:44	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d69da…
03-30 02:24:34	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5804f4…
03-25 06:29:27	bitcoin above 80k on march 26	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x41299c…
03-25 06:29:17	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83a209…
03-25 06:29:05	will skyview be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfae62a…
03-19 10:43:27	bitcoin above 82k on march 20	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x558500…
03-15 07:43:31	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5ea71b…
03-15 07:43:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 480 499	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x9e03e5…
03-11 08:11:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9d4611…
03-05 07:08:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd3c5c4…
02-28 11:17:55	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 440 459	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5f6bde…
02-14 08:33:23	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8b45ad…
02-08 08:30:33	bitcoin above 76k on february 8	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x7095ac…
02-08 08:30:23	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 190 214	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x645133…
02-08 08:29:59	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x338a6e…
02-02 01:53:32	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3f588a…
01-29 02:48:54	ethereum above 3300 on january 29	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x910115…
01-24 07:11:54	will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x8008b6…
01-20 07:07:10	ethereum above 3600 on january 21	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x85b260…
01-16 08:48:32	bitcoin above 100k on january 16	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf0d169…
01-16 08:48:14	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x194ffe…
01-16 08:48:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$3	0xd4b591…
01-11 03:54:28	bitcoin above 84k on january 12	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4dc97d…
01-07 06:41:43	another us strike on venezuela on january 5	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbcedb2…
01-07 06:41:25	nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b6c3d…
01-07 06:40:07	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x696d9c…
01-07 06:39:55	highest temperature in london on january 7 8corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78af2f…
01-02 07:22:31	ethereum above 2800 on january 2	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x5d85eb…
01-02 07:22:19	elon musk of tweets january 2026 220 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f345a…
01-02 07:22:09	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad0c80…
01-02 07:21:59	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4591e3…