Realized P&L
+$107
Unrealized P&L
+$582
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,991
lifetime
Volume
$779.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$261
Open exposure
$1.21K
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-09 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
74% 80% +$78
Other
26% 100% +$29
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,659 $-1,156 36¢ $-606 +$551 06-04 02:11
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +493 $440 89¢ $441 +$1 06-09 12:02
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +120 $100 84¢ $100 +$1 06-09 15:53
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes -47 $-11 35¢ $-16 $-6 05-29 17:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 $-15 82¢ $-16 $-1 05-28 05:47
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes -50 $-30 29¢ $-14 +$16 05-29 14:08
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes -100 $-19 10¢ $-10 +$10 05-29 11:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -50 $-20 18¢ $-9 +$11 05-28 14:25