Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9cb9…dabe4d
hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$426
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved (30d)
33
Trades (30d)
46
425 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.71K
$15.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.99K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-30 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
50% 64% +$1,699
Politics
49% 51% +$735
Tech
1% 100% +$36
Crypto
0% 100% +$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +374 $221 99¢ $369 +$148 10-29 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +358 $131 86¢ $310 +$178 06-24 17:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +303 $200 98¢ $297 +$97 10-26 10:25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +317 $200 68¢ $217 +$17 10-06 12:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +217 $100 97¢ $210 +$110 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +185 $100 99¢ $183 +$83 10-29 22:50
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +250 $90 58¢ $146 +$56 10-29 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +208 $102 30¢ $63 -$38 10-28 18:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $21 74¢ $39 +$18 07-01 12:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +119 $52 30¢ $35 -$16 10-28 20:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +31 $10 99¢ $31 +$21 10-29 20:33
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +37 $3 76¢ $28 +$25 07-05 15:38
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +25 $3 88¢ $22 +$19 08-19 00:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +136 $30 12¢ $17 -$13 06-10 20:38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +73 $39 16¢ $11 -$27 07-13 17:41
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +299 $161 1¢ $4 -$157 10-29 10:48
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No +107 $60 3¢ $4 -$56 10-25 19:46
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +61 $17 4¢ $2 -$15 06-23 12:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +91 $25 1¢ $1 -$24 10-25 20:31