Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9cb9…dabe4d
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$459
Unrealized P&L
+$359
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved (7d)
12
Trades (7d)
23
425 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.93K
$15.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.92K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-30 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
50% 64% +$1,699
Politics
49% 52% +$803
Tech
1% 100% +$36
Crypto
0% 100% +$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +374 $221 96¢ $359 +$138 10-29 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +358 $131 87¢ $312 +$180 06-24 17:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +303 $200 98¢ $297 +$97 10-26 10:25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +317 $200 67¢ $212 +$13 10-06 12:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +217 $100 97¢ $211 +$111 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +185 $100 99¢ $183 +$83 10-29 22:50
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +250 $90 61¢ $152 +$62 10-29 17:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $21 74¢ $39 +$18 07-01 12:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +208 $102 18¢ $38 -$63 10-28 18:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +31 $10 100¢ $31 +$21 10-29 20:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +119 $52 20¢ $23 -$28 10-28 20:02
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +25 $3 88¢ $22 +$19 08-19 00:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +136 $30 11¢ $14 -$16 06-10 20:38
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +299 $161 4¢ $11 -$150 10-29 10:48
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +73 $39 14¢ $10 -$29 07-13 17:41
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +61 $17 3¢ $2 -$15 06-23 12:56
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No +107 $60 2¢ $2 -$58 10-25 19:46
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +91 $25 1¢ $1 -$24 10-25 20:31