Frilly-Fight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$6.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-10 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 96% +$23

Sports

33% 12% -$25

Other

22% 57% -$94

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	06-13 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the los angeles chargers win super bowl 2026	3	$1.1K	560	560	+0	No	$0	01-08 05:13
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	2	$1.0K	559	550	+9	No	$0	01-05 07:52
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	+$1	01-06 09:48
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	-$1	01-13 02:45
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	2	$995	499	499	+0	No	$0	01-06 09:50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$82	162	0	+162	No	-$82	07-11 06:45
Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?	1	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$1	09-09 05:14
Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	10-10 02:53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$45	32	32	+0	Yes	+$3	02-05 11:29
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	23	22	+1	open	—	06-13 07:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$28	15	13	+2	No	+$0	02-27 02:35
ice shooter charged by march 31	2	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$1	01-19 03:11
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-05 03:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-26 09:01
will bitcoin dip to 50k august 3 9 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-05 03:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	01-25 01:35
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	01-25 01:36
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-05 03:08
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-26 09:09
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$22	16	16	+0	No	+$0	01-30 06:46
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$21	14	14	+0	No	+$1	01-19 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	1	$20	43	0	+43	Yes	+$23	05-16 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-26 09:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 5	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-05 11:31
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-05 11:31
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-10 07:05
will ethereum reach 3600 january 26 1	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-30 06:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-13 07:53
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-05 11:31
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-10 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:53:29	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3474cd…
09-09 05:14:22	Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x218008…
08-26 09:01:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1d0d03…
08-05 03:09:54	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x312a40…
08-05 03:09:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3340d8…
08-05 03:08:15	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3ba075…
07-26 09:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f80d5…
07-26 09:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa393b7…
07-26 09:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe639a8…
07-26 09:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd87331…
07-11 06:46:52	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75e64e…
07-11 06:45:50	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	162	50¢	$82	0x4af7c5…
06-23 06:13:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x23e4c0…
06-23 06:13:40	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd43d1e…
06-23 06:13:32	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x708d38…
06-23 06:13:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0444e3…
06-23 06:13:11	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd6dc95…
06-23 06:13:05	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xab37a4…
06-23 06:12:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfc02b8…
06-23 06:12:50	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xabf516…
06-23 06:12:43	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x82fbfe…
06-23 06:12:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf48475…
06-13 07:54:33	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d231a…
06-13 07:54:06	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0de026…
06-13 07:53:46	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e8f63…
06-13 07:53:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x828e7a…
06-13 07:52:07	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x2ee84d…
06-10 07:06:15	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x722e40…
06-10 07:05:57	Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x234904…
06-10 07:05:37	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xda3e81…
06-10 07:05:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa833d…
06-10 07:05:04	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x91691b…
05-26 06:07:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52514e…
05-26 06:06:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd11a5a…
05-26 06:06:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc090e1…
05-26 06:06:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb3ad57…
05-18 08:17:45	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5efc05…
05-18 08:17:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc96566…
05-18 08:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb46ce3…
05-18 08:16:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x291b7b…
05-18 08:15:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc9024c…
05-16 10:13:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x789620…
05-16 10:13:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdef385…
05-16 10:12:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9495ef…
04-30 12:35:18	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x27e96f…
04-14 01:18:41	bitcoin above 62k on april 16	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3f5e40…
04-14 01:18:31	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5695ea…
04-03 01:49:01	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89ec4b…
04-03 01:48:53	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa47133…
04-03 01:48:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa651ef…
04-03 01:48:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1d367…
03-31 01:31:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa2d802…
03-31 01:31:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb84402…
03-31 01:31:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc79b72…
03-29 02:34:40	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xac2886…
03-29 02:34:14	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x092e5a…
03-29 02:34:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b45e1…
03-29 02:26:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x33af9d…
03-16 01:14:47	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09ed74…
03-16 01:14:37	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfe7179…
03-16 01:14:19	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x690ff7…
03-16 01:14:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b9acf…
03-08 03:22:21	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x2e0827…
03-08 03:21:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3b0208…
03-08 03:21:47	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134f1f…
03-08 03:21:35	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x088114…
03-08 03:21:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c4881…
03-08 03:21:15	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x957f6b…
03-08 03:20:59	cbb okl tx 2026 03 07	Texas Longhorns	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0f640d…
03-08 03:20:37	cbb mstm siena 2026 03 07	Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x02f44a…
03-08 03:20:31	cbb elon wm 2026 03 07	Elon Phoenix	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2403b3…
03-08 03:20:23	cbb cabap sutah 2026 03 07	Southern Utah Thunderbirds	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x530e8e…
03-08 03:20:05	mls col lag 2026 03 07 lag	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xabe7a9…
03-08 03:19:51	mls stl sea 2026 03 07 stl	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa19a1d…
03-08 03:19:43	mls skc sdg 2026 03 07 skc	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x8dfc87…
03-08 03:19:31	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x678f79…
03-08 03:19:25	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Jazz	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6ce1c8…
03-08 03:19:19	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Grizzlies	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbdfcdf…
02-27 02:36:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506643…
02-27 02:36:32	solana above 70 on february 27	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7fba01…
02-27 02:36:20	xrp above 1pt6 on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67f50a…
02-27 02:36:06	will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d3370…
02-27 02:35:54	ethereum above 1700 on february 27	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x719ea0…
02-27 02:35:44	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb4e7ef…
02-27 02:35:26	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x075e33…
02-05 11:31:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 5	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c2132…
02-05 11:31:19	will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9c91ff…
02-05 11:31:01	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaa126e…
02-05 11:30:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x31a624…
02-05 11:29:03	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xad61c3…
01-30 06:51:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 30	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x35a560…
01-30 06:50:46	will ethereum reach 3600 january 26 1	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9ee97…
01-30 06:50:04	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85edd6…
01-30 06:46:50	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xe49883…
01-25 01:39:24	nba gsw min 2026 01 24	Timberwolves	BUY	17	69¢	$11	0xf95e3b…
01-25 01:39:00	nba cle orl 2026 01 24	Cavaliers	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x433aa5…
01-25 01:38:32	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Pimblett	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3b0e97…
01-25 01:36:06	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9e79f9…
01-25 01:35:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xfb8b08…
01-19 03:15:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x527fce…