Jubilant-Ocelot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

102

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-28 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

43% 98% +$6

Politics

36% 89% +$0

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$85	53	35	+17	No	+$1	08-26 21:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$79	41	41	+0	No	+$4	09-30 22:43
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	08-14 10:58
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$67	46	46	+0	open	—	10-19 18:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$62	38	38	+0	No	+$0	10-18 01:37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	10-05 00:58
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	09-22 12:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-16 03:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-30 22:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	2	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	06-29 21:26
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-05 00:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-22 01:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-08 02:11
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-17 07:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-14 19:44
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	08-21 02:26
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	09-03 16:01
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	09-10 05:47
will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-26 21:55
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	07-30 18:14
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	09-11 04:47
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-28 03:01
Will Solana reach $190 in October?	2	$15	7	7	+0	open	—	10-28 10:17
will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-25 13:03
meta above 780 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-23 19:21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-20 20:24
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-23 04:23
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 18:36
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-15 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:17:55	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf6da8c…
10-23 23:50:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xbb5e14…
10-23 23:50:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x303d8a…
10-23 23:50:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x58647b…
10-23 23:50:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfd5718…
10-23 23:50:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x1db7d8…
10-23 23:50:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x9b8213…
10-19 18:02:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0x0ee598…
10-19 18:02:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1e9035…
10-19 16:56:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0x470490…
10-18 01:37:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0xd362f0…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x887af5…
10-09 12:16:45	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2ff042…
10-05 00:58:43	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5a5bff…
09-30 22:48:56	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x65ebfe…
09-30 22:43:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x1ef04e…
09-25 07:42:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0x81085d…
09-24 09:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f4021…
09-22 12:16:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x248ebd…
09-16 03:59:15	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb9e4d4…
09-11 04:47:07	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xba70f8…
09-10 05:47:12	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x024b16…
09-07 13:03:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x498113…
09-06 02:43:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc93703…
09-06 02:43:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x990708…
09-03 16:01:55	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x213001…
09-03 11:04:18	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xaad830…
08-28 03:01:42	Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf83c9b…
08-26 21:39:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x710119…
08-26 16:40:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x5e27a4…
08-26 01:20:21	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe1d12…
08-24 05:59:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xee7429…
08-24 05:31:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d1ad6…
08-24 01:50:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37f489…
08-22 01:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x347b92…
08-21 11:53:45	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xb14624…
08-21 02:26:12	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xc19736…
08-20 22:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa4417b…
08-20 22:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe5306c…
08-20 21:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3e195f…
08-20 21:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5b815a…
08-20 20:02:16	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x9f0430…
08-17 07:16:15	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xacfe6e…
08-14 19:44:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd4a398…
08-14 10:58:48	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x0933d0…
08-10 23:06:49	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x21baba…
08-09 16:39:30	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8953b…
08-08 02:11:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x71e52c…
08-07 08:24:31	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b943c…
08-05 00:15:57	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xedf374…
08-04 23:42:09	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x644274…
07-31 20:20:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb66fdc…
07-30 18:14:05	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x392c33…
07-28 23:42:25	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x930471…
07-26 16:35:31	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e31e8…
07-26 16:28:40	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4f61…
07-24 23:11:06	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb8204…
07-24 21:54:45	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xfaaf56…
07-24 14:00:09	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x5c6527…
07-23 12:34:34	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2d8daf…
07-21 11:54:28	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc703d6…
07-20 11:22:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b0438…
06-29 21:26:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x805113…
06-27 17:58:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ec064…
06-26 21:55:17	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x844bb9…
05-09 04:28:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30f457…
05-09 02:50:53	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4388c7…
05-08 20:42:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x15a6be…
05-08 10:44:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4dda64…
05-08 07:14:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x330714…
05-08 03:41:38	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8eb743…
05-07 18:36:27	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20029a…
05-06 16:14:35	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6d9de7…
05-06 02:06:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4c1d4c…
05-05 23:26:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x920c78…
05-05 22:53:18	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4723b0…
05-05 18:32:46	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb58ba…
04-25 13:31:20	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25c09b…
04-24 02:08:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x788f49…
04-23 04:23:32	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xca3d40…
04-21 07:57:36	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f6459…
04-20 20:24:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x52b564…
04-20 00:27:28	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xee56b7…
04-19 10:12:18	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc316a3…
04-18 05:37:24	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8116b5…
04-17 19:37:02	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4f1f58…
04-17 02:35:18	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb90214…
04-16 15:56:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xa12451…
04-16 00:19:08	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff1ad1…
04-14 22:24:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x826718…
03-29 03:05:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0087ab…
03-27 15:28:07	googl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa2370…
03-26 11:18:55	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ab46d…
03-26 03:47:27	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a780f…
03-24 04:18:53	msft above 465 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x172a23…
03-22 19:51:37	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce1b55…
03-22 15:31:15	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ccb83…
03-20 09:27:35	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x494139…
03-18 08:59:57	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c76e1…
03-15 22:51:25	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x928c08…