Dimpled-Philanthropy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-17 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 90% -$9

Other

43% 91% -$8

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$0	01-26 07:36
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 0 39	1	$195	195	+195	No	+$1	01-21 10:51
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 0 39	1	$194	195	+195	No	+$0	01-17 07:07
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$193	193	+193	No	+$0	01-07 11:19
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$190	191	+191	No	+$1	02-14 09:42
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	1	$190	190	+190	No	+$0	02-10 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$190	190	+190	No	+$0	02-03 03:19
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$189	190	+190	No	+$0	01-30 09:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	03-17 02:50
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	03-13 02:21
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$181	181	+181	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$181	181	+181	No	+$0	06-05 01:37
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 190 214	1	$181	181	+181	No	+$0	03-27 02:32
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	03-31 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	05-17 01:52
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	03-07 01:54
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	04-12 02:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	05-25 01:45
ethereum above 2100 on april 23	1	$179	179	+179	Yes	+$0	04-23 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	05-09 08:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	1	$175	175	+175	Yes	+$0	05-30 03:17
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	1	$174	174	+174	No	+$0	05-31 07:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$171	171	+171	No	+$0	05-28 01:38
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	1	$170	170	+170	No	+$0	03-23 01:50
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$170	170	+170	No	+$0	04-17 02:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$170	170	+170	Yes	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	1	$152	152	+152	No	+$0	04-30 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-30 09:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-29 08:55
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-23 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 09:05:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa5409f…
10-17 08:59:02	atp daniel basilas 2026 10 17	Taro Daniel	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xe0d5d2…
09-21 14:18:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0af409…
09-21 14:14:56	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x53fe13…
08-29 08:55:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x01e090…
07-23 08:20:45	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf09651…
06-12 02:28:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd3cd1…
06-12 02:28:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa88793…
06-12 02:27:39	ethereum above 1900 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x964e98…
06-12 02:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20be58…
06-12 02:27:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x943fd7…
06-12 02:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0cc613…
06-12 02:24:51	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50ed58…
06-12 02:24:45	Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49c683…
06-12 02:24:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca0200…
06-05 01:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xbc50c2…
05-31 07:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x91a0de…
05-30 06:18:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ea5c0…
05-30 03:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x0d8567…
05-28 01:38:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x3eaca7…
05-28 01:38:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51b3d3…
05-28 01:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7738d…
05-28 01:37:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6f29c…
05-28 01:37:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd20a67…
05-28 01:37:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e0ccc…
05-28 01:37:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cc9e2…
05-25 01:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd0914e…
05-17 01:52:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x8398f7…
05-09 08:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x72979f…
05-05 02:35:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9fb935…
05-05 02:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,210	0¢	$4	0xa5920a…
04-30 09:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xe4cf2b…
04-30 09:18:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x42d9fe…
04-23 02:14:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xa37b24…
04-17 02:35:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9abcb9…
04-17 02:34:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d0018…
04-17 02:34:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65f266…
04-12 02:41:01	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x1eb1e2…
04-12 02:40:51	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x984ae2…
04-12 02:40:37	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x314ed6…
04-12 02:40:27	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x697402…
04-07 02:00:39	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x6f995e…
04-07 02:00:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6a115…
04-07 02:00:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x043e9a…
03-31 07:07:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x632941…
03-27 02:32:35	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 190 214	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x585d2c…
03-23 01:50:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xa54ce8…
03-23 01:49:47	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf6c6c…
03-23 01:49:35	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x105846…
03-23 01:49:21	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 240plus	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$4	0xe99ea0…
03-17 02:50:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 17	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x6ffa63…
03-13 02:21:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xc0bb10…
03-07 01:54:49	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xee80b9…
03-07 01:54:17	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d090f…
03-07 01:53:59	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24385d…
03-07 01:52:31	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf9a628…
02-14 09:42:51	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x5752cb…
02-10 09:14:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xcfc3c4…
02-03 03:19:48	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xab82d8…
01-30 09:30:46	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x3d3939…
01-30 09:30:32	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x8d34c0…
01-26 07:36:37	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xcb31c7…
01-21 10:51:46	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 0 39	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x1c7a37…
01-17 07:07:24	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 0 39	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x297442…
01-07 11:19:45	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x48a6ac…