Roasted-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$874

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-24 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

49% 71% +$116

Other

46% 31% -$965

Sports

3% 25% -$70

Tech

2% 100% +$56

Crypto

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+48	$20	34¢	$16	-$4	10-05 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$3.1K	1,695	1,695	+0	Yes	+$262	06-23 17:51
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.3K	865	865	+0	Yes	+$209	06-09 23:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$1.1K	823	823	+0	open	—	06-02 15:40
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	3	$596	396	396	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$196	06-03 19:04
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$544	345	345	+0	Zverev	+$144	06-05 17:38
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$539	339	339	+0	Andreeva	+$139	06-06 15:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$500	600	0	+600	No	-$500	10-05 10:39
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)	2	$496	306	306	+0	Zverev	+$116	06-02 15:39
atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	3	$494	294	294	+0	Alexander Bublik	+$94	06-10 17:59
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	2	$410	311	311	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$210	06-03 14:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$275	360	360	+0	open	—	10-24 23:39
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$267	167	167	+0	Yes	+$67	07-10 21:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$256	156	156	+0	Yes	+$56	06-12 20:48
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$243	143	143	+0	Yes	+$43	07-08 09:25
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	1	$200	333	0	+333	Maja Chwalinska	-$200	06-04 15:08
wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 set totals 2pt5	2	$200	355	0	+355	Over 2.5	-$200	07-11 15:40
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	1	$200	308	0	+308	Shnaider	-$200	06-03 00:48
atp humbert bonzi 2026 06 10	2	$200	328	0	+328	Benjamin Bonzi	-$200	06-11 10:20
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$196	196	196	+0	cancelled	-$4	06-03 21:08
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$184	161	161	+0	No	-$16	06-03 19:05
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	1	$164	260	0	+260	Yes	+$96	10-24 23:54
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	3	$129	89	89	+0	Bencic	+$49	05-29 20:37
atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	1	$100	169	0	+169	Alexander Zverev	+$69	09-13 18:12
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	1	$100	252	0	+252	Cobolli	-$100	06-07 00:24
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	1	$100	179	0	+179	Over	-$100	07-15 20:36
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	07-19 14:18
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	201	0	+201	No	-$100	07-11 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	07-24 00:20
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$100	244	0	+244	Chwalinska	-$100	06-04 14:02
atp hurkacz fucsovi 2026 06 08	1	$100	179	0	+179	Marton Fucsovics	-$100	06-10 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:54:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	260	63¢	$164	0x0f2987…
10-24 23:39:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	360	46¢	$165	0xd3496e…
10-16 13:11:43	atp zverev fokina 2026 10 16 set handicap home 1pt5	Alexander Zverev	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0xbb0ba6…
10-05 10:39:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	83¢	$500	0x635cd0…
10-05 10:38:35	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6de8d7…
09-13 20:44:00	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x91f5bd…
09-13 18:12:04	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Alexander Zverev	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd3e26e…
07-24 00:20:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xfb7605…
07-23 21:14:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x517273…
07-19 14:18:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x9bcba7…
07-15 20:36:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x9beb65…
07-15 20:36:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xdf794c…
07-15 13:33:35	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	48	36¢	$17	0xb771db…
07-11 21:07:34	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x844377…
07-11 15:40:59	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc645e6…
07-11 15:32:20	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc4d173…
07-11 15:31:56	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Karolina Muchova	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x9b88da…
07-11 15:30:11	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x60d2a3…
07-11 15:29:46	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Karolina Muchova	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf8aaa8…
07-10 21:23:19	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x7ffa04…
07-10 09:48:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x30502a…
07-10 09:48:41	atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08 set handicap home 2pt5	Sinner	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xcf3208…
07-10 09:48:01	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10 set handicap away 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xc0fb18…
07-09 21:11:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x3731f0…
07-09 01:35:23	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x71113e…
07-09 01:34:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xa094b6…
07-09 01:32:50	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x824f12…
07-08 09:25:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xb40772…
07-05 13:38:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x533197…
07-05 12:57:53	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Novak Djokovic	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf3353e…
06-23 17:51:40	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,695	99¢	$1,681	0xec9528…
06-17 10:15:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x608fa9…
06-15 13:16:24	Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe4b919…
06-15 13:16:07	Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)	Shnaider	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2117f9…
06-15 13:03:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x24b627…
06-14 13:43:00	atp majchrz minaur 2026 06 14	Alex de Minaur	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x311bf8…
06-14 12:07:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x5734b6…
06-13 00:44:45	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xfd761d…
06-12 22:29:00	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5902de…
06-12 20:48:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0xcca8b4…
06-11 14:14:00	atp shimabu kyrgios 2026 06 11	Nick Kyrgios	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x825111…
06-11 13:39:04	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x7ce5b8…
06-11 10:20:24	atp humbert bonzi 2026 06 10	Ugo Humbert	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x88085d…
06-11 10:19:36	atp humbert bonzi 2026 06 10	Ugo Humbert	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xcc12cb…
06-11 10:18:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa5d9d8…
06-10 17:59:33	atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	Alexander Bublik	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x37d8df…
06-10 13:55:25	atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	Alexander Bublik	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x702440…
06-10 13:04:31	atp hurkacz fucsovi 2026 06 08	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x0cc5e9…
06-10 12:17:03	atp struff bublik 2026 06 10	Alexander Bublik	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x40c697…
06-09 23:29:43	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	865	89¢	$769	0x521f35…
06-08 02:52:16	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0xf4e08b…
06-08 01:31:12	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa52c82…
06-08 01:30:12	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0xb96eb3…
06-07 20:55:42	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x3cf7ba…
06-07 00:24:28	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x9380c2…
06-06 15:19:58	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Andreeva	SELL	339	100¢	$339	0xe37465…
06-05 17:39:33	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Andreeva	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x37b010…
06-05 17:38:03	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 1pt5	Zverev	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x214646…
06-05 11:51:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 1pt5	Zverev	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xbdb2f0…
06-05 10:57:09	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0xfe36a0…
06-04 15:08:03	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xb92fb1…
06-04 14:02:39	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04 set handicap home 1pt5	Shnaider	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x2dd5ec…
06-04 11:43:15	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 first set total 9pt5	Over	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x5682ef…
06-04 11:42:00	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x2d57f2…
06-04 11:09:13	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x9d36ec…
06-03 21:08:36	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 set handicap home 1pt5	Arnaldi	SELL	196	49¢	$96	0x6676d8…
06-03 19:05:00	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	161	52¢	$84	0x2d22e9…
06-03 19:04:07	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x6f48d9…
06-03 17:38:37	Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)	Arnaldi	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdf4efe…
06-03 14:42:27	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x8797c1…
06-03 14:37:04	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0xc77421…
06-03 13:46:29	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa3fea6…
06-03 13:17:00	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0xc11106…
06-03 00:49:24	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xcb92e5…
06-03 00:48:14	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	Sabalenka	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x45585d…
06-02 18:03:10	Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)	Fonseca	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x00818f…
06-02 18:02:47	Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Fonseca	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x77d039…
06-02 15:40:55	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	823	65¢	$537	0xab7acc…
06-02 15:39:52	Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)	Zverev	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0xfd868b…
06-02 15:28:50	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa43afb…
06-02 12:31:43	Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)	Zverev	BUY	306	62¢	$190	0xa82a36…
06-02 11:22:47	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1fb82…
06-02 10:49:29	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	736	67¢	$493	0x44f86c…
06-02 10:38:05	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xdcbcb6…
06-01 13:07:22	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xac9480…
06-01 11:21:50	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xbb2905…
05-31 13:50:17	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Rublev	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xd3cc94…
05-31 13:10:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x675cdd…
05-31 13:09:44	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x50f385…
05-31 13:08:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xaee4b7…
05-29 20:39:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6f34cd…
05-29 20:37:18	Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	Bencic	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xcd342f…
05-29 16:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x004169…
05-29 16:35:11	Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	Bencic	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x64528b…
05-29 16:29:02	Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	Bencic	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x772f44…
05-29 16:28:11	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Minaur	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xbd31be…
05-29 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd93103…
05-29 15:27:59	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Minaur	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xdb27ec…