Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
340
Trades
2,426
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$75
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-28 18:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
53% 52% -$304
Crypto
22% 49% -$21
Politics
20% 47% -$63
Tech
3% 89% +$15
Sports
1% 25% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 10-24 08:17
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 10-24 15:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 81¢ $11 +$1 10-05 02:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 10-24 10:40
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +12 $10 78¢ $10 $0 10-24 06:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 56¢ $9 -$1 10-24 01:53
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +15 $10 54¢ $8 -$2 10-24 04:13
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 09-30 08:41
US recession by end of 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 05-02 12:44
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 $0 05-02 12:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 10-25 22:29
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$1 09-30 01:18
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 09-27 10:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +0 -$2 72¢ $0 +$2 10-28 18:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$2 61¢ $0 +$2 10-27 19:51