Misguided-Pleasure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$235

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-18 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

77% 89% -$11

Tech

13% 80% -$3

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-18 10:49
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-18 11:02
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-31 10:19
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	1	$12	13	0	+13	Vasco Esports	+$1	04-28 19:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-28 19:52
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-18 11:03
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	04-28 19:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-18 11:03
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-28 19:52
will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 10:25
will trump cut off trade with spain	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	1	$7	7	0	+7	Phantom	+$0	04-28 19:53
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-31 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-18 10:50
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-31 10:19
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	-$5	01-26 12:07
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-18 11:04
will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-27 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	03-31 10:23
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 11:03
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 11:03
chatgpt full outage by march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 11:02
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	05-18 11:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 39pt0 and 39pt5 million views on day 6	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	02-27 10:09
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-26 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 11:04:18	Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x68ddc4…
05-18 11:04:11	Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x39ee10…
05-18 11:03:48	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72dbc6…
05-18 11:03:39	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x425db4…
05-18 11:03:31	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xe23b45…
05-18 11:03:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcc4d13…
05-18 11:02:15	Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x891dd7…
05-18 11:02:03	Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e01be…
05-18 10:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x54ff7e…
05-18 10:49:36	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcac756…
04-28 19:53:24	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Vasco Esports	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb60dab…
04-28 19:53:08	Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	Phantom	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd531b7…
04-28 19:52:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd1c8d0…
04-28 19:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e28b5…
04-28 19:52:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb7cb3b…
03-31 10:25:41	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x23ca5f…
03-31 10:25:19	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfa461…
03-31 10:24:47	chatgpt full outage by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04472c…
03-31 10:24:37	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x854c06…
03-31 10:24:15	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf45805…
03-31 10:23:43	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b0d97…
03-31 10:23:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb52a2b…
03-31 10:23:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfaba05…
03-31 10:19:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x95ed8e…
03-31 10:19:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x610a33…
02-27 10:09:49	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x5decf4…
02-27 10:09:29	will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d4eaf…
02-27 10:09:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 39pt0 and 39pt5 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9735e5…
01-26 12:08:03	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x57e48e…
01-26 12:07:57	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2b940e…
01-26 12:07:49	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x87538a…