Wavy-Generation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.53K

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$83.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$4.17K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-03 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

84% 57% -$15,704

Other

16% 50% +$8,485

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		-4,817	-$5,695	86¢	$-4167	+$1,528	06-22 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	167	$18.5K	65,002	0	+65,002	No	-$18,549	01-17 23:13
Iran leadership change by December 31?	25	$15.6K	7,849	12,666	-4,817	open	—	06-22 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	51	$11.9K	21,716	0	+21,716	No	+$9,772	09-03 00:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$10.6K	11,627	0	+11,627	Yes	+$981	04-07 22:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$210	02-05 03:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	26	$8.1K	0	55,009	-55,009	No	+$8,147	01-10 18:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	-$5,460	01-16 15:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$1,420	05-05 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$1.3K	33,875	0	+33,875	No	-$1,287	05-07 22:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$351	738	0	+738	Yes	+$387	05-05 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 00:26:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x9073f3…
09-03 00:26:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf81bc7…
09-03 00:25:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x77d783…
09-03 00:21:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x78d657…
09-03 00:19:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x91a37a…
09-03 00:19:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x14cf02…
09-03 00:11:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7a033b…
09-03 00:11:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x484c26…
09-03 00:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x87064a…
09-03 00:10:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	173	55¢	$95	0x839be3…
09-03 00:09:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5f5174…
09-03 00:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x290c1b…
09-03 00:08:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6077e8…
09-03 00:08:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xc37071…
09-03 00:06:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,100	55¢	$1,155	0x181555…
09-03 00:05:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0x0ce706…
09-03 00:04:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x687bfc…
09-03 00:04:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12,135	55¢	$6,674	0x31d330…
09-03 00:04:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	112	55¢	$62	0xe208f9…
09-03 00:02:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x437d7b…
09-02 23:53:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0x318e51…
09-02 23:51:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	171	55¢	$94	0xb35208…
09-02 23:50:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,058	55¢	$582	0xb6b725…
09-02 23:47:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x09d2b7…
09-02 23:45:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,058	55¢	$582	0x9d3083…
09-02 23:42:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2bc4f7…
09-02 23:41:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa7f9c0…
09-02 23:39:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x85a2ad…
09-02 23:37:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x034191…
09-02 23:37:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc42b16…
09-02 23:35:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0c5f6a…
09-02 23:35:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x15d9a9…
09-02 23:34:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x59a361…
09-02 23:34:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9b6f9c…
09-02 23:33:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c1f98…
09-02 23:33:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6dce4a…
09-02 23:32:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	497	55¢	$273	0x4d321b…
09-02 23:32:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x66d3ce…
09-02 23:31:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x455863…
09-02 23:30:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8a056a…
09-02 23:29:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1cd262…
09-02 23:29:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x751377…
09-02 23:29:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x951486…
09-02 23:28:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc215f…
09-02 23:28:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	449	55¢	$247	0x9aa463…
09-02 23:28:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6e082d…
09-02 23:27:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x2329f9…
09-02 23:27:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa51429…
09-02 23:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x69b4d8…
09-02 23:25:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x70a198…
09-02 23:24:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	55¢	$117	0x447884…
06-22 16:00:38	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3e1f85…
06-18 13:55:25	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2,952	84¢	$2,479	0xebd175…
06-18 13:35:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x9bd192…
06-18 13:06:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x667461…
06-18 13:02:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xddca58…
06-18 13:02:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x539235…
06-18 13:02:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x4f8906…
06-18 13:02:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	69	84¢	$58	0x4fadf1…
06-18 13:01:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xb1b5b2…
06-18 13:01:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	7,604	84¢	$6,388	0x74a3d6…
06-18 12:34:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	54	84¢	$46	0x9a94de…
06-18 10:31:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x6c170e…
06-18 07:47:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0xed0e3a…
06-18 07:47:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0xf70e52…
06-18 07:45:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xf96e62…
06-18 07:43:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x34f5e9…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xbe8c4a…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xaf09c9…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa165cf…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x96b51e…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8602de…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x74b447…
06-18 07:43:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x20cc43…
06-18 07:42:59	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1,869	84¢	$1,570	0x0dbfc1…
05-07 22:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16,657	3¢	$450	0x27af93…
05-07 21:56:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x990c59…
05-07 21:35:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x97a5b7…
05-07 21:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	368	3¢	$10	0x8b61d0…
05-07 21:30:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$1	0xdecc5b…
05-07 21:29:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4a99a1…
05-07 21:17:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x142875…
05-07 21:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,760	3¢	$75	0x131e34…
05-07 21:14:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,600	3¢	$81	0x14d314…
05-07 21:11:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,139	3¢	$94	0x2a6d53…
05-07 21:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x73fdd2…
05-07 13:58:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xef8bbd…
05-07 13:45:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,129	7¢	$222	0x0fc2c1…
05-07 13:35:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xa82364…
05-07 13:34:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,843	7¢	$344	0xc17204…
05-07 13:28:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x53b665…
05-05 22:53:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0xd3bb69…
05-05 19:34:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,902	24¢	$696	0x65c65e…
05-05 19:34:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x6185fc…
05-05 19:32:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2d8145…
05-05 19:10:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x65e238…
05-05 18:53:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x3061e6…
05-05 18:21:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xad1b65…
05-05 18:15:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x379a70…
05-05 18:15:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x482e5c…