Wavy-Generation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$20.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.19K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

345 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$27.3K

$98.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

$4.50K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-04 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

87% 73% -$5,336

Other

13% 50% +$8,485

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		-4,817	-$5,695	94¢	$-4504	+$1,191	06-22 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	167	$18.5K	65,002	0	+65,002	No	-$18,549	01-17 23:13
Iran leadership change by December 31?	25	$15.6K	7,849	12,666	-4,817	open	—	06-22 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	51	$11.9K	21,716	0	+21,716	No	+$9,772	09-03 00:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$10.6K	11,627	0	+11,627	Yes	+$981	04-07 22:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$210	02-05 03:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	18	$9.4K	21,450	0	+21,450	No	+$6,767	11-04 00:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	26	$8.1K	0	55,009	-55,009	No	+$8,147	01-10 18:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	-$5,460	01-16 15:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$2.6K	1,416	1,416	+0	Yes	+$253	11-04 17:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	4	$2.2K	5,477	0	+5,477	Yes	+$3,233	11-04 00:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$1,420	05-05 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	16	$1.3K	33,875	0	+33,875	No	-$1,287	05-07 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	10	$1.2K	1,268	0	+1,268	Yes	+$114	11-04 00:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$351	738	0	+738	Yes	+$387	05-05 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:34:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa483ea…
11-04 17:34:12	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,415	100¢	$1,414	0x85c2e6…
11-04 00:59:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	128	40¢	$51	0x6fd200…
11-04 00:59:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,047	41¢	$424	0x5fda1a…
11-04 00:59:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xadfee6…
11-04 00:59:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	40¢	$399	0x125f82…
11-04 00:58:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,566	41¢	$637	0x4907d0…
11-04 00:58:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	41¢	$203	0xd61313…
11-04 00:42:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	40¢	$64	0x6114ab…
11-04 00:15:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	129	82¢	$106	0x9770c6…
11-04 00:14:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	127	82¢	$104	0xf22f4f…
11-04 00:14:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,160	82¢	$951	0x9c8ce7…
11-04 00:13:07	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xcb4dae…
11-04 00:13:07	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x4662a6…
11-04 00:13:06	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	91¢	$252	0xf5bf86…
11-04 00:13:06	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xe4e42a…
11-04 00:13:06	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x5ad877…
11-04 00:13:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x5ef703…
11-04 00:13:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	91¢	$450	0x4ad3dd…
11-04 00:13:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	91¢	$207	0x3ab31f…
11-04 00:13:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x397121…
11-04 00:13:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x240040…
11-04 00:04:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	690	41¢	$284	0x552b41…
11-04 00:04:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x677c5e…
11-04 00:04:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	270	41¢	$111	0x009f06…
11-04 00:03:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xe8ce02…
11-04 00:03:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	622	41¢	$256	0xe67f17…
11-04 00:03:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0x6cd5b9…
11-04 00:03:49	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,298	41¢	$942	0x2be122…
11-04 00:02:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,523	41¢	$1,034	0x940435…
11-03 23:49:13	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	58¢	$180	0x11ac56…
11-03 23:48:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,100	58¢	$2,378	0x263de2…
11-03 23:48:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	830	58¢	$481	0x05c4be…
11-03 23:44:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,050	42¢	$440	0xc46400…
11-03 23:34:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,298	38¢	$500	0xd16c50…
11-03 23:34:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7,988	39¢	$3,075	0x1ad895…
09-03 00:26:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x9073f3…
09-03 00:26:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf81bc7…
09-03 00:25:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x77d783…
09-03 00:21:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x78d657…
09-03 00:19:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x91a37a…
09-03 00:19:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x14cf02…
09-03 00:11:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7a033b…
09-03 00:11:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x484c26…
09-03 00:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x87064a…
09-03 00:10:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	173	55¢	$95	0x839be3…
09-03 00:09:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5f5174…
09-03 00:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x290c1b…
09-03 00:08:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6077e8…
09-03 00:08:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xc37071…
09-03 00:06:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,100	55¢	$1,155	0x181555…
09-03 00:05:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0x0ce706…
09-03 00:04:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x687bfc…
09-03 00:04:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12,135	55¢	$6,674	0x31d330…
09-03 00:04:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	112	55¢	$62	0xe208f9…
09-03 00:02:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x437d7b…
09-02 23:53:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0x318e51…
09-02 23:51:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	171	55¢	$94	0xb35208…
09-02 23:50:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,058	55¢	$582	0xb6b725…
09-02 23:47:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x09d2b7…
09-02 23:45:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,058	55¢	$582	0x9d3083…
09-02 23:42:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2bc4f7…
09-02 23:41:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa7f9c0…
09-02 23:39:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x85a2ad…
09-02 23:37:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x034191…
09-02 23:37:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc42b16…
09-02 23:35:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0c5f6a…
09-02 23:35:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x15d9a9…
09-02 23:34:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x59a361…
09-02 23:34:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9b6f9c…
09-02 23:33:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c1f98…
09-02 23:33:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6dce4a…
09-02 23:32:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	497	55¢	$273	0x4d321b…
09-02 23:32:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x66d3ce…
09-02 23:31:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x455863…
09-02 23:30:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8a056a…
09-02 23:29:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1cd262…
09-02 23:29:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x751377…
09-02 23:29:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x951486…
09-02 23:28:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc215f…
09-02 23:28:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	449	55¢	$247	0x9aa463…
09-02 23:28:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6e082d…
09-02 23:27:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x2329f9…
09-02 23:27:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa51429…
09-02 23:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x69b4d8…
09-02 23:25:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x70a198…
09-02 23:24:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	55¢	$117	0x447884…
06-22 16:00:38	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3e1f85…
06-18 13:55:25	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2,952	84¢	$2,479	0xebd175…
06-18 13:35:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x9bd192…
06-18 13:06:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x667461…
06-18 13:02:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xddca58…
06-18 13:02:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x539235…
06-18 13:02:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x4f8906…
06-18 13:02:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	69	84¢	$58	0x4fadf1…
06-18 13:01:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xb1b5b2…
06-18 13:01:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	7,604	84¢	$6,388	0x74a3d6…
06-18 12:34:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	54	84¢	$46	0x9a94de…
06-18 10:31:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x6c170e…
06-18 07:47:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0xed0e3a…