Greedy-Effect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-17 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$7

Crypto

33% 100% +$6

Tech

6% 100% +$3

Politics

6% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No		+93	$90	99¢	$92	+$2	10-17 08:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$493	248	248	+0	No	+$1	06-18 02:01
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$430	431	0	+431	No	+$1	02-05 15:35
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$368	370	0	+370	No	+$2	03-12 05:28
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 5?	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	05-03 02:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	01-14 05:41
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-20 08:25
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 120 139	1	$287	287	0	+287	No	+$0	04-11 08:16
Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	1	$282	282	0	+282	No	+$0	04-11 08:18
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 240plus	1	$275	276	0	+276	No	+$1	03-09 08:30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$269	270	0	+270	No	+$1	06-02 06:26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$261	133	133	+0	No	+$1	06-02 06:47
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	01-14 05:40
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	05-03 02:54
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	01-23 12:59
will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-05 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$195	195	0	+195	No	+$0	06-10 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	06-02 06:38
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	08-03 12:51
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-17 10:30
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	01-14 05:40
Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	09-23 05:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$115	116	0	+116	No	+$1	09-04 12:23
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	08-04 04:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	10-17 08:17
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-21 07:00
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	03-09 08:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	10-17 08:17
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	03-18 11:07
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	08-04 04:32
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$1	04-11 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:17:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3d7c10…
10-17 08:17:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x16dffd…
09-23 05:44:31	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb8a3e9…
09-04 12:23:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xa87039…
09-04 12:22:39	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xa4d6bc…
08-04 04:32:03	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9bf09c…
08-04 04:30:50	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x99da81…
08-03 12:51:56	untitled market 1 20260626153941173	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf45347…
07-21 07:00:58	Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01190c…
07-21 06:56:21	Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0b82d0…
06-18 02:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x0700e6…
06-17 10:30:07	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x01e1a0…
06-17 10:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	248	99¢	$246	0xa09547…
06-10 14:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x589371…
06-02 06:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x006942…
06-02 06:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x752532…
06-02 06:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x99b905…
06-02 06:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x2233e4…
06-02 06:26:20	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x5f9cf6…
05-03 02:57:50	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 5?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0xa78f1f…
05-03 02:54:46	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x1607d0…
05-03 02:53:54	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xaf46f8…
05-03 02:51:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xba9d3d…
04-20 08:25:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x4f2ca8…
04-11 08:18:33	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x14d68d…
04-11 08:17:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x4ce8e6…
04-11 08:16:55	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 120 139	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xf4fdf3…
03-18 11:07:01	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7ed319…
03-12 05:28:01	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xcb3d87…
03-12 05:26:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x29f275…
03-09 08:30:27	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 240plus	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0xd3ea82…
03-09 08:29:51	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0x1c5c35…
03-09 08:29:17	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfdb4f3…
02-25 05:20:22	bitcoin above 56k on february 26	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcf27f7…
02-05 15:36:19	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x11cb8d…
02-05 15:35:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0x86fc40…
01-23 12:59:14	will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x11cc5a…
01-14 05:41:28	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x55e2a7…
01-14 05:40:48	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x059514…
01-14 05:40:10	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x08f69a…