Vigilant-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$285

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

$693

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$174

Other

37% 100% +$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	No		+662	$656	98¢	$651	-$5	11-04 04:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-490	-$132	8¢	$-42	+$91	08-22 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	7	$1.7K	1,821	1,765	+57	Yes	+$45	01-05 09:57
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	964	500	+464	Yes	+$102	04-29 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$986	515	515	+0	No	+$0	05-12 20:33
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	2	$805	409	400	+8	No	+$3	04-28 03:19
Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$657	662	0	+662	No	+$5	01-06 03:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	1	$656	662	0	+662	open	—	11-04 04:19
Will Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	1	$656	657	0	+657	No	+$1	10-05 06:27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$651	350	350	+0	Yes	+$35	03-16 22:10
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$588	700	700	+0	Yes	+$28	01-05 08:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	1	$528	530	0	+530	No	+$2	09-21 02:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 31-September 6?	2	$527	528	0	+528	No	+$1	09-05 13:08
will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	1	$524	527	0	+527	No	+$3	08-10 12:56
will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	1	$522	524	0	+524	No	+$2	07-17 02:49
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 11?	1	$522	523	0	+523	No	+$1	07-08 10:28
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 4?	1	$521	522	0	+522	No	+$1	07-02 15:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 25-31?	1	$496	497	0	+497	No	+$1	05-27 07:56
Will Solana reach $120 May 11-17?	1	$494	497	0	+497	No	+$3	05-13 06:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$418	210	210	+0	No	+$0	05-12 05:26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	14	$411	526	526	+0	No	+$11	05-05 09:49
will bitcoin reach 84k march 16 22	1	$343	350	0	+350	No	+$6	03-18 13:54
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$339	340	0	+340	No	+$1	03-27 05:01
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1080 1119	1	$284	284	0	+284	No	+$0	01-12 06:31
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	3	$277	280	0	+280	No	+$3	05-05 07:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$251	127	127	+0	open	—	09-21 09:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	01-12 05:49
elon musk of tweets january 2026 180 199	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	01-01 15:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$132	0	490	-490	open	—	08-22 02:19
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	3	$130	86	86	+0	No	+$30	01-10 15:54
will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-01 15:43
will ethereum reach 3600 december 29 january 4	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	01-01 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:19:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in November?	No	BUY	662	99¢	$656	0x3be540…
10-05 06:27:32	Will Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	657	100¢	$656	0x0b3f06…
09-21 09:48:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x1721fe…
09-21 02:24:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	530	100¢	$528	0x8f884e…
09-05 13:08:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$357	0x9bac1d…
09-03 05:20:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xf8b9e7…
08-22 02:20:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$125	0x24bc87…
08-22 02:19:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	27¢	$132	0x135265…
08-10 12:56:12	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	527	99¢	$524	0xa84249…
07-17 02:49:19	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	524	100¢	$522	0x837dc6…
07-08 10:28:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on July 11?	No	BUY	523	100¢	$522	0x7a67db…
07-02 15:58:04	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on July 4?	No	BUY	522	100¢	$521	0xa75cd9…
06-16 03:19:28	will bitcoin reach 80k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x0e3cab…
06-04 03:28:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 6?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xd7f33c…
05-27 07:56:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 25-31?	No	BUY	497	100¢	$496	0x8bc6c6…
05-13 06:58:33	Will Solana reach $120 May 11-17?	No	BUY	497	99¢	$494	0x0d8b02…
05-12 20:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	515	96¢	$493	0x727dc1…
05-12 05:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	515	96¢	$493	0x436517…
05-12 05:26:46	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x1d8867…
05-06 15:04:09	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xc669ae…
05-05 09:49:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x61d7da…
05-05 09:48:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0xb49273…
05-05 09:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	95	40¢	$38	0xae3a41…
05-05 09:42:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0xb03deb…
05-05 07:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xdb18ff…
05-05 05:37:04	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x993141…
05-05 05:01:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	47	40¢	$19	0x35a16f…
05-05 04:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	40¢	$20	0x7fc0cb…
05-05 04:58:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x74352d…
05-05 04:50:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	130	40¢	$52	0xb5f919…
05-05 04:50:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xdf0b8b…
05-05 04:47:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x6326a3…
05-05 04:45:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x7d5ac5…
05-05 04:39:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xc0ab1c…
05-05 04:37:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x040978…
05-05 03:55:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x47cf4b…
05-05 03:40:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0xac2caf…
05-03 06:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x66dad8…
04-29 02:23:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x10c9aa…
04-28 14:48:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	91¢	$304	0x75aab0…
04-28 06:46:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	88¢	$93	0xdeac43…
04-28 03:19:48	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xe6b0b4…
04-17 13:49:56	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	409	99¢	$405	0x864081…
04-14 13:48:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x119df3…
04-10 07:23:23	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x079653…
03-27 05:01:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0xd8f2fb…
03-18 13:54:27	will bitcoin reach 84k march 16 22	No	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xf17589…
03-16 22:10:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	98¢	$343	0xcc1de9…
02-09 10:41:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	88¢	$308	0xcec8dc…
01-12 06:31:22	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1080 1119	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0xebfba9…
01-12 05:54:00	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xbfa4c1…
01-12 05:50:16	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbd71be…
01-12 05:49:30	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xca0139…
01-12 05:48:48	will solana dip to 80 january 12 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x346e5a…
01-10 15:54:04	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x9178e0…
01-10 14:52:06	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0x4961ce…
01-10 10:16:36	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x7c6279…
01-06 03:15:47	Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	662	99¢	$657	0xc983f7…
01-05 09:57:53	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	1,369	48¢	$657	0x39087e…
01-05 09:56:17	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	1,399	46¢	$644	0x47aa47…
01-05 09:02:55	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	211	44¢	$93	0xc4c8f3…
01-05 08:11:27	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	700	44¢	$308	0x657602…
01-05 07:42:35	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	700	40¢	$280	0x1e2d80…
01-03 09:37:05	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0xce3b70…
01-03 09:37:03	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0xd02352…
01-03 09:37:03	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	49	54¢	$26	0x767c18…
01-03 07:01:55	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	422	44¢	$188	0x180778…
01-01 15:46:57	will ethereum reach 3600 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfd34b4…
01-01 15:45:53	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x89a37c…
01-01 15:44:45	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xd8ced5…
01-01 15:43:53	elon musk of tweets january 2026 180 199	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x3feb9b…
01-01 15:43:23	will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x12a1ab…
01-01 15:42:51	meta above 610 on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x10c209…