Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$92

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-01

last 11-05 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

86% 60% +$14

Politics

11% 33% -$2

Tech

3% 67% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No		+5	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	11-01 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 12:15
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-29 03:19
will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-14 01:35
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 04:08
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:51
Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $660?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-10 15:34
Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	11-03 12:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-05 02:54
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-15 09:09
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 04:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-18 03:24
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:39
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-15 00:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-05 16:21
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 19:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-27 19:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-14 05:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 07:25
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-22 23:42
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	09-16 10:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	11-02 04:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 13:39
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-09 05:40
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-30 18:49
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 06:06
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 08:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-08 21:40
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-08 00:19
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:54:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x519fc6…
11-04 06:01:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3b02cb…
11-03 22:01:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf0dcc4…
11-03 12:15:45	Will Uber say "Advertising" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4ae987…
11-03 04:12:55	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9d5ca3…
11-02 20:10:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5dcc02…
11-02 12:01:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb0ccf…
11-02 04:01:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8628f…
11-01 19:47:28	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x59cea5…
11-01 05:25:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4e2b6e…
10-30 01:53:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1bde9e…
10-29 17:17:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe63264…
10-29 13:57:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa92d5c…
10-29 03:19:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x640baa…
10-28 15:36:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x30a0eb…
10-27 19:05:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa32345…
10-25 09:15:21	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb54629…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3065a3…
10-23 21:27:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc2a656…
10-23 12:55:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc95e17…
10-16 23:01:57	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x816263…
10-16 12:40:15	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x777717…
10-16 01:51:03	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51a3ab…
10-15 17:11:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x681ced…
10-15 09:09:58	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd287b3…
10-15 00:37:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf0034f…
10-14 01:35:32	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9c4c8b…
10-11 03:05:11	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x254c79…
10-10 17:04:33	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8a0bd9…
10-10 06:41:55	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xca6a1c…
10-09 14:37:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7e2e1b…
10-09 05:40:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb54cc5…
10-08 21:40:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8d41d8…
10-08 13:39:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1cd03c…
10-08 04:31:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x72790f…
10-07 20:26:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4e6f4a…
10-06 12:15:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xab935f…
10-06 04:14:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x365ed5…
10-05 16:21:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b4e7d…
10-05 16:18:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1fad2e…
10-04 23:21:07	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcd181f…
10-02 14:48:59	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x381770…
10-02 05:46:42	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9a89a8…
10-01 11:31:29	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x525a6d…
10-01 03:31:00	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x91fadf…
09-30 18:49:59	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xea7d09…
09-29 09:27:08	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5baf70…
09-28 13:15:00	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x44f5e2…
09-28 05:07:39	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe44e06…
09-27 21:06:03	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x716ccf…
09-27 11:51:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d83d2…
09-27 03:14:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x40a5ad…
09-26 07:39:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x843fdf…
09-23 17:47:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71b859…
09-23 08:06:01	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa09b06…
09-23 07:53:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xafc26f…
09-22 23:42:19	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c3811…
09-22 14:51:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbab395…
09-22 06:42:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa23770…
09-21 22:27:15	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x110aa9…
09-21 14:25:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0a56d8…
09-21 06:06:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x88347c…
09-21 06:03:50	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde8974…
09-20 21:51:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf8e800…
09-20 04:08:19	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x89caca…
09-19 06:29:31	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x582497…
09-18 03:24:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa67ed3…
09-17 17:37:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x818950…
09-17 07:35:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4f2664…
09-16 10:38:31	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5176ce…
09-16 02:38:24	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb54f5b…
09-15 18:38:00	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd31d13…
09-15 09:26:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0f68a2…
09-14 22:19:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfb9610…
09-14 13:44:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe22bb9…
09-14 05:41:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x85be0f…
09-13 21:39:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x314110…
09-11 11:41:06	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6d1bcc…
09-10 23:43:01	will ewy reach 186 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75d1a2…
09-10 15:34:34	Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $660?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x50a0a5…
09-10 07:25:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ad3df…
09-09 22:59:55	will abnb dip to 164 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x619e8d…
09-09 14:34:43	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe580e3…
09-09 06:13:58	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf17b31…
09-08 18:57:21	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa2d6df…
09-08 05:11:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xce5310…
09-08 00:19:42	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6404b8…
09-07 13:02:27	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ed446…
09-03 21:33:15	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x956917…
09-02 15:02:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9687f0…
09-02 05:22:52	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd3e3cf…
09-01 11:19:28	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf62930…