Silly-Education — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

363

Trades

626

lifetime

Volume

$5.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-06 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 51% -$39

Politics

6% 67% +$77

Other

3% 11% -$109

Sports

0% 100% +$35

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-62	-$12	2¢	$-2	+$10	06-13 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$150	105	105	+0	No	+$50	03-17 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$93	139	139	+0	Down	+$43	05-23 11:57
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$84	68	68	+0	Yes	+$44	03-12 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$73	90	90	+0	Down	+$23	05-25 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 10:15 UTC	4	$50	36	36	+1	Down	+$11	03-09 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 09:15 UTC	1	$50	154	0	+154	Down	-$50	03-09 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:35 UTC	4	$46	37	36	+0	Down	+$6	03-10 21:38
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	2	$45	95	95	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$5	05-24 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:40 UTC	4	$45	50	49	+1	Down	+$15	03-10 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:20 UTC	4	$44	39	38	+1	Up	+$5	03-09 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:25 UTC	4	$43	38	37	+1	Up	+$3	03-10 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:40 UTC	4	$38	32	32	+0	Up	-$2	03-11 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:30 UTC	2	$37	28	27	+0	Down	+$18	03-09 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:35 UTC	5	$37	35	34	+0	Down	+$8	03-12 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:55 UTC	3	$36	44	20	+25	Up	-$4	03-09 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:10 UTC	3	$35	41	19	+22	Up	-$5	03-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:25 UTC	2	$35	26	25	+0	Down	+$15	03-09 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:15 UTC	4	$33	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	03-11 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:30 UTC	3	$33	62	35	+27	Up	-$7	03-10 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 05:15 UTC	3	$33	39	22	+17	Down	+$3	03-11 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:55 UTC	2	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	03-09 18:00
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$31	104	104	+0	No	-$19	03-26 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	4	$31	44	44	+0	Up	+$19	03-28 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	3	$31	73	22	+51	Up	+$2	04-08 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:15 UTC	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	03-09 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:00 UTC	2	$30	21	20	+0	Down	+$11	03-10 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:45 UTC	2	$30	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	03-29 05:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$30	54	0	+54	No	-$30	06-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$30	66	0	+66	Up	-$30	05-23 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:40 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	03-10 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 18:25:11	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xe07312…
06-26 18:52:22	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x780ba5…
06-25 20:13:38	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf7b10d…
06-13 12:59:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	54	36¢	$20	0x676814…
06-13 12:58:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0x3d7147…
05-30 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x49f8e9…
05-30 17:59:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x929351…
05-30 17:40:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xd04795…
05-26 18:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x85b44a…
05-26 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x6aa568…
05-25 18:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	90	53¢	$48	0xa41e21…
05-25 18:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xca20a4…
05-25 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x556b69…
05-25 18:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0706ec…
05-24 22:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x16c7fe…
05-24 19:53:57	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	SELL	95	26¢	$25	0xdbee26…
05-24 18:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x28b580…
05-24 18:54:13	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x751cda…
05-23 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	139	49¢	$68	0x79a2b3…
05-23 11:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x90e01a…
05-23 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf80127…
05-23 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x11fe4a…
05-23 11:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfc07ec…
05-23 11:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd672ed…
05-23 11:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6484b1…
05-23 11:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x07f2eb…
05-16 19:59:06	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	7¢	$13	0xad3537…
05-10 17:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe56621…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc0b1ef…
05-03 16:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x767c11…
05-03 03:29:48	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5b411b…
05-02 20:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xaa012c…
05-02 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x293824…
04-30 18:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x80a888…
04-30 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0xabf545…
04-30 17:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x49df15…
04-24 19:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x80b7b7…
04-22 14:47:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8fd92b…
04-21 17:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xe8c3eb…
04-21 17:37:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x431862…
04-17 10:18:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x2d5c18…
04-17 10:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa7f3d6…
04-12 17:12:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x6786f5…
04-12 16:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x67ecf9…
04-11 20:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x836afe…
04-11 20:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x00b943…
04-11 17:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x867173…
04-11 17:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc47e40…
04-11 17:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb09d66…
04-11 16:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x241260…
04-10 15:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x31920e…
04-10 15:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x33021b…
04-09 10:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc35d1a…
04-09 10:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x4300ec…
04-09 10:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xc77e4a…
04-09 10:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbefbaf…
04-08 19:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc655fd…
04-08 19:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xda809b…
04-08 19:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xdf898e…
04-08 19:42:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3945f3…
04-07 12:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa5d1e3…
04-07 12:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0ea08a…
04-06 08:49:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	391	5¢	$19	0x228a3d…
04-05 20:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcd043c…
04-05 18:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x690326…
04-05 18:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x287b91…
04-05 16:42:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	194	3¢	$5	0x6879a0…
04-05 16:40:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	197	3¢	$5	0x0157ad…
04-05 16:38:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ede75…
04-05 16:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1b16a4…
04-05 16:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x6ab7aa…
04-05 16:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x471689…
04-02 20:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x69989a…
04-01 13:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xb7ffb5…
04-01 13:35:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3292f4…
03-31 18:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7b9d90…
03-30 22:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x28b48b…
03-30 21:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd3d28e…
03-29 20:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe573cb…
03-29 20:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb73a86…
03-29 20:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x3448dc…
03-29 20:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0c56df…
03-29 20:07:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x08b080…
03-29 20:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x05aa43…
03-29 20:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x93a7bc…
03-29 19:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x059b5f…
03-29 19:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xdd532e…
03-29 19:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x022e5c…
03-29 15:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfd2f9b…
03-29 15:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x244f3d…
03-29 15:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1e2897…
03-29 13:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1b2b22…
03-29 13:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x2049e1…
03-29 13:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa5a47b…
03-29 13:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7a3554…
03-29 11:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xc5ddbd…
03-29 11:53:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x492ba8…
03-29 11:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x9676bc…
03-29 11:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x49576a…
03-29 11:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x49107f…