Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-28 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

60% 79% +$126

Politics

25% 69% -$36

Crypto

12% 75% -$37

Sports

3% 62% +$10

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-12	-$1	16¢	$-2	-$1	05-30 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$596	305	305	+0	Yes	+$14	04-30 18:48
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$464	238	238	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 19:05
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$454	239	238	+0	Yes	+$14	05-20 01:21
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	5	$418	215	215	+0	Yes	-$2	06-23 00:11
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$292	163	163	+0	Yes	+$32	05-01 18:17
labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	2	$252	128	128	+0	Yes	+$2	06-26 16:22
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	4	$245	134	134	+0	Yes	+$5	06-25 12:06
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$245	247	0	+247	Yes	+$2	05-15 05:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$230	240	0	+240	Yes	+$10	05-06 23:23
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$223	125	125	+0	Yes	+$25	08-05 13:37
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	6	$196	290	0	+290	Yes	+$94	04-19 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	7	$144	111	111	+0	Down	-$6	06-21 02:09
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$135	156	0	+156	No	-$135	05-18 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC	3	$106	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	06-20 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$105	79	79	+0	Up	+$6	06-21 02:04
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$105	118	0	+118	Yes	+$13	06-22 18:49
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$100	53	53	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 13:14
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	1	$92	110	0	+110	Yes	+$19	06-21 02:34
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$86	101	0	+101	Yes	+$15	06-28 17:51
nba den phx 2026 03 24	2	$86	46	46	+0	Nuggets	+$6	03-25 05:44
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$81	41	41	+0	Argentina	+$1	07-04 00:45
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	4	$80	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 18:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$62	38	38	+0	Yes	+$12	04-25 18:00
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$62	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 05:35
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$60	67	0	+67	Yes	+$7	06-19 03:56
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$53	31	31	+0	Yes	+$9	03-16 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:30 UTC	1	$50	70	0	+70	Down	+$20	06-21 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:55 UTC	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	-$50	06-21 01:59
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	Yes	+$11	06-14 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:35 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	06-21 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:51:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde5ba6…
10-26 21:02:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x25591b…
10-26 20:59:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x389adc…
10-17 20:32:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0dd75b…
10-14 19:16:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0xdd2fc6…
08-05 13:37:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x66a8a5…
07-28 15:43:16	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	125	79¢	$99	0x8a20bc…
07-05 22:31:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	27	73¢	$19	0x901dd3…
07-05 18:53:59	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x75ca13…
07-05 18:53:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x37566e…
07-04 00:45:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xbcf683…
07-04 00:41:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa4cc2e…
07-04 00:18:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x384c60…
07-03 23:59:47	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8d465a…
07-03 23:48:38	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfa3c88…
07-03 20:27:47	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x1b5786…
07-01 22:21:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xbd8481…
07-01 13:18:02	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xa6d748…
06-28 17:51:05	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbf743c…
06-28 00:43:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x3a6f80…
06-27 16:16:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6eb2f8…
06-26 17:41:22	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	89¢	$84	0xf37ac8…
06-26 16:51:41	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb80c7e…
06-26 16:45:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x578b53…
06-26 16:41:59	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xe9c2b6…
06-26 16:22:32	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x86eced…
06-25 12:06:38	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0xb40c09…
06-25 12:06:10	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	134	94¢	$125	0x2d3b72…
06-23 00:11:47	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xc7755a…
06-23 00:11:02	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x125c13…
06-22 22:47:04	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x0c9059…
06-22 22:46:34	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x8e0b2a…
06-22 22:46:05	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xabb53b…
06-22 19:39:46	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa0747d…
06-22 18:49:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	118	89¢	$105	0x52d7da…
06-22 18:48:20	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	113	97¢	$109	0xc679a4…
06-22 14:26:37	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x691dd6…
06-21 02:34:41	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	110	83¢	$92	0x60c1ad…
06-21 02:14:56	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x1842bc…
06-21 02:12:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3ac6a4…
06-21 02:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	36	48¢	$17	0xe41c25…
06-21 02:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x807af3…
06-21 02:07:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xe39fa7…
06-21 02:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x568f23…
06-21 02:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfedf97…
06-21 02:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x9a5e57…
06-21 02:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x9c4221…
06-21 02:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37	79¢	$29	0xd3b9d3…
06-21 02:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xb42e44…
06-21 02:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xa5862f…
06-21 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0x88b57d…
06-21 02:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x52f938…
06-21 01:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x80a28c…
06-21 01:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xcb3d6f…
06-21 01:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d11df…
06-21 01:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xd453e9…
06-21 01:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9efb6b…
06-21 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6efb1b…
06-21 01:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xcefba3…
06-21 01:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x87cb49…
06-21 01:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x99d3b9…
06-21 01:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe62535…
06-21 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x039151…
06-21 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xccdd95…
06-21 00:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x86dac1…
06-20 06:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc51fec…
06-20 06:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x692e17…
06-20 06:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x040bcf…
06-20 06:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xedcd62…
06-20 06:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x2e4e88…
06-19 13:09:46	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5bf6e4…
06-19 03:56:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x526f58…
06-14 14:52:51	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x67122f…
06-09 21:27:30	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x71c85b…
06-08 22:56:25	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xf8fa58…
06-04 16:39:33	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xcec2b3…
06-01 19:57:09	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xcd8ef0…
05-30 18:45:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x01b2a8…
05-30 18:44:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x5c46a5…
05-20 01:21:03	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	98¢	$234	0xd0b341…
05-18 19:48:15	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x88230c…
05-18 19:01:23	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xfc6d42…
05-18 18:58:52	Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x02d98a…
05-17 17:06:37	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	92¢	$220	0x8ca94f…
05-15 05:37:16	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0x9cfccf…
05-15 05:35:38	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	42	77¢	$32	0x1b052e…
05-15 05:34:50	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x250a83…
05-15 04:42:43	Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x96158c…
05-12 21:32:18	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0c207a…
05-11 03:44:47	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa36edf…
05-06 23:23:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	240	96¢	$230	0xe744a0…
05-06 03:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0xf9d9d5…
05-06 03:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x08845d…
05-06 03:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x676a94…
05-06 03:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8201fd…
05-05 19:18:36	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x68e1da…
05-05 19:16:50	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8171fd…
05-05 19:09:50	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	118	89¢	$105	0x866afc…
05-05 19:05:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	98¢	$234	0x60263e…
05-05 15:48:16	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2b1042…