Honest-Housing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$456

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

347

Trades

1,204

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$580

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-09 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

52% 56% -$1,021

Sports

30% 69% +$439

Politics

17% 97% +$197

Crypto

0% 10% -$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+500	$492	99¢	$493	+$1	11-08 18:00
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	No	+50	$34	57¢	$29	-$6	10-16 16:49
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+130	$34	15¢	$19	-$15	09-11 18:51
Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	+20	$17	83¢	$17	$0	11-09 04:42
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+158	$58	6¢	$10	-$48	09-20 15:04
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$13	6¢	$6	-$7	08-11 05:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-400	-$14	1¢	$-5	+$9	08-14 04:27
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+30	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	08-23 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$1.8K	1,400	425	+975	No	+$17	03-14 21:39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	28	$1.5K	2,539	110	+2,429	No	+$1,039	05-30 17:20
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	20	$1.4K	900	645	+255	No	-$23	10-27 00:51
Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	12	$1.2K	1,223	0	+1,223	Yes	+$15	11-08 11:36
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	7	$1.0K	1,230	0	+1,230	No	-$1,025	06-15 17:37
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	10	$884	459	459	+0	Yes	+$30	05-03 15:43
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	1	$847	853	0	+853	No	+$5	06-14 03:41
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	10	$846	780	438	+342	No	-$345	07-03 01:05
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	6	$814	754	70	+684	Yes	+$8	08-15 02:30
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$795	428	428	+0	No	+$38	10-26 10:08
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$779	1,189	0	+1,189	Yes	+$410	10-26 10:40
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?	7	$736	374	374	+0	Yes	+$5	05-10 16:33
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$736	755	0	+755	No	+$19	07-06 00:46
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals nico williams gte1	2	$681	683	0	+683	No	+$2	07-02 20:51
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	25	$624	603	143	+460	No	+$112	08-06 22:54
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	2	$606	410	201	+209	No	+$5	01-28 04:52
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$550	370	185	+185	No	+$4	01-26 03:52
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$547	556	0	+556	No	+$9	06-15 14:04
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	11	$537	297	297	+0	Yes	+$15	06-29 19:00
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$528	354	188	+166	No	+$9	05-09 17:36
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$514	520	0	+520	Yes	+$6	06-15 14:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$492	500	0	+500	open	—	11-08 18:00
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$467	401	100	+301	Yes	+$31	05-09 17:36
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	18	$435	2,096	0	+2,096	Yes	-$435	05-16 14:21
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$401	420	0	+420	No	+$19	01-30 10:57
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$395	410	0	+410	No	+$15	01-29 16:48
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$390	397	0	+397	No	+$7	01-26 08:15
Colombia leading at halftime?	5	$386	392	0	+392	Yes	+$6	07-04 02:22
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$370	380	0	+380	No	+$10	01-24 12:26
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$364	1,364	0	+1,364	No	-$364	05-09 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 04:42:46	Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd8e1c9…
11-08 18:28:07	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9146f5…
11-08 18:00:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xee7b92…
11-08 18:00:42	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x951da2…
11-08 17:03:39	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd85f86…
11-08 17:02:04	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x49dd22…
11-08 11:36:54	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x834103…
11-08 09:58:55	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb1643f…
11-08 09:52:01	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1a4283…
11-08 09:29:54	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x438e0d…
11-08 09:26:51	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	773	100¢	$771	0xba5da4…
11-08 09:26:40	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xd2f746…
11-08 09:24:36	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc95631…
11-08 09:12:31	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xca5791…
11-08 09:06:31	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x81bf61…
11-08 09:06:30	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x58e3b4…
11-08 09:06:24	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe75b35…
11-08 09:06:24	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x716005…
11-08 09:06:24	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1212ed…
10-27 00:54:03	Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?	No	BUY	117	92¢	$108	0xdf8c96…
10-27 00:51:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x6f3927…
10-26 10:40:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x3a80eb…
10-26 10:40:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe9e01a…
10-26 10:39:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x9afd13…
10-26 10:38:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x7f4e82…
10-26 10:37:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x8376ad…
10-26 10:37:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x23db76…
10-26 10:33:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xa0670d…
10-26 10:33:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x93a783…
10-26 10:33:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0x5f1552…
10-26 10:33:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x35f4a3…
10-26 10:29:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x0fa423…
10-26 10:29:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xf21ac5…
10-26 10:29:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x9cea3b…
10-26 10:29:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x565448…
10-26 10:29:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0xd883c2…
10-26 10:28:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	59	79¢	$46	0xd80a2c…
10-26 10:28:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xd05901…
10-26 10:10:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	360	68¢	$246	0x8dd35a…
10-26 10:08:48	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$201	0x19a533…
10-16 16:49:36	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xd82cfc…
10-16 16:49:36	Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8230d2…
10-11 15:45:46	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x0be6ea…
10-11 15:40:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x2d925a…
10-11 15:35:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd520b4…
10-11 15:35:39	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x32b3fd…
09-20 15:04:58	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xb7bd86…
09-20 14:48:19	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9b2460…
09-20 14:48:19	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x001f36…
09-20 14:48:18	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xc404fa…
09-20 08:23:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0xbfc175…
09-20 08:21:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$462	0x65cd7f…
09-20 08:19:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x0c51a9…
09-20 06:57:15	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0xd449f6…
09-13 17:18:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x46f157…
09-13 17:16:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe71132…
09-13 17:14:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4ff99c…
09-13 17:14:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaeebc7…
09-13 16:51:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x160045…
09-12 20:42:07	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfe270e…
09-12 20:42:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x838f97…
09-12 20:36:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x421bf5…
09-11 18:51:16	Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	63	26¢	$16	0xa89745…
09-11 16:15:55	Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf63d13…
09-11 13:24:37	Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xdfa181…
09-10 08:50:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x208c43…
09-10 07:56:06	Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd1329d…
09-10 07:43:22	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0x1c8ede…
09-06 16:51:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x49bacd…
09-06 16:06:55	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xd92591…
09-06 15:34:25	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6cf83c…
08-31 20:24:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x328e78…
08-31 20:24:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8319b9…
08-31 19:31:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0cbb29…
08-29 17:57:46	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x45b440…
08-29 17:16:09	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x787760…
08-29 13:03:46	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9fdb2b…
08-29 12:55:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x544059…
08-29 06:37:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xc3a75b…
08-29 04:05:49	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xdcc049…
08-25 17:45:18	Will Bradley Barcola join Arsenal?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x47059c…
08-25 17:36:36	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xae38d6…
08-25 17:36:36	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x58283b…
08-23 17:57:34	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5012c2…
08-23 16:51:15	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0d751f…
08-23 16:51:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x4bf477…
08-23 16:45:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbd1451…
08-23 16:44:13	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8e9c6b…
08-23 16:02:33	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb7ff88…
08-23 14:54:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xab7970…
08-23 14:52:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x75478a…
08-23 14:52:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9f74fc…
08-23 14:52:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x24910c…
08-23 14:36:07	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x8c18c4…
08-23 14:29:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x64df9d…
08-23 14:25:12	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc5c579…
08-23 14:25:03	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd0a91b…
08-23 14:24:49	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd1beb4…
08-22 20:16:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x011cac…
08-22 20:07:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x649c75…